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Best NBA prop bets March 29: Picks on guards Derrick White and Tyrese Haliburton

The NBA shows seven games on the schedule for Saturday and I have three prop bets for the action.

The pregame narrative: Derrick White is playing big minutes regularly for the Boston Celtics, giving him good value on his props vs. the San Antonio Spurs tonight. Elsewhere, I have picks on Tyrese Haliburton and Keegan Murray.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 29.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: White over 23.5 points/rebounds/assists (-115)

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The biggest concern here is a blowout but White seems to be the guy who logs a lot of playing time, no matter the score.

He’s played 30-plus minutes in 15 of the last 16 games, averaging 34.7 per night. During that time, White averaged 27.7 points/rebounds/assists.

So, the blowout factor certainly seems to be weighing into White’s line, but I don’t see a reason to worry. If anything, I see it as a reason to jump in on a discount.

Earlier this season, White played 39 minutes in a win against the Spurs, recording 35 PRA.

Key stat: He’s cleared this modest total in all four games against San Antonio since being traded to the Celtics a few years ago.

Best NBA picks

Haliburton over 9.5 assists (-129): In the Indiana Pacers’ last game against the Washington Wizards, Haliburton had 29 points and six assists. He only played 24 minutes in a 51-point blowout win.

Before that, the point guard had double-digit assists in 12 straight games. That’s a nice floor to work with.

The Pacers are also playing well, going 8-2 over their last 10 games. They should be able to keep this contest close enough to keep the starters in for their normal workloads.

If that’s the case, Haliburton will not have it as easy as he did vs. the Wizards so expect him to get back to his strength, which is passing the ball.

Murray over 12.5 points (-106): How about a pick for the early game?

Murray, much like Haliburton, has a tough matchup, but this number is too low for me to pass on.

If we look at the past 16 games, Murray has been very reliable as a scorer:

14.8 PPG
12-4 against this line

The Orlando Magic are very good defensively, allowing the fewest points per game in the NBA (106.0).

But Murray recently had 28 points against the Thunder, arguably the best defensive team in the league, so I’m not worried about the matchup.

NBA prop picks made at 8:40 a.m. ET on 03/29/2025.

Hornets vs. Raptors SGP predictions March 28: Quickley, Williams featured in +350 parlay

The Toronto Raptors welcome the Charlotte Hornets for a late-season tank off.

The pregame narrative: The Raptors are a bad team, but they seem to be a tier above the bottom dwellers, so I’ll back the home team on the moneyline. This +350 SGP is rounded out with picks on Immanuel Quickley and Mark Williams.

Check out my Hornets vs. Raptors SGP predictions for March 28.

Hornets vs. Raptors predictions

Parlay: Raptors ML | Quickley over 17.5 points| Williams over 9.5 rebounds (+350)

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Raptors ML (-200): The Raptors fit a certain trend and that’s losing against good teams and beating the bad ones.

Charlotte is definitely in the ‘bad’ category. The team is 18-54 and remains without LaMelo Ball. When Ball doesn’t play, the Hornets are a pitiful 2-23.

That alone should be enough to sell the Raptors, but I’ll break down their recent results, too.

They are 8-5 over the past 13 games.

That includes a 6-1 record vs. teams below Toronto in the standings.

The Raptors are also a pretty respectable 16-21 at home. I expect them to get the job done tonight.

NBA SGP legs

Quickley over 17.5 points (-150): Much like last season, Quickley has come alive in the second half.

Toronto’s point guard has played 16 times since Feb. 9:

20.0 PPG
30.3 MPG
11-5 vs. this line
15+ PPG 15 times

That’s a solid floor to work with against a weak defensive team.

And the Hornets are exactly that. They have the seventh-worst defensive rating in the NBA (117.2) and have given up 124.7 PPG over the last three contests.

Williams over 9.5 rebounds (-200): The seven-footer has been a beast on the glass down the final stretch of the season.

He has double-digit rebounds in 10 of his last 13 games, averaging 11.3 during that time.

Jakob Poeltl will be starting for the Raptors, but he hasn’t played over 27 minutes in 10 straight games. He’s the only big man on the team who has a shot at containing Williams.

Toronto has allowed the third most rebounds to centres over the past 15 games (15.92), per Fantasy Pros.

Hornets vs. Raptors predictions made at 1:33 p.m. ET 03/28/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 28: Take overs on Powell, Towns and Booker

I have three prop bets for Friday’s NBA action.

The pregame narrative: Norman Powell is back to logging big minutes for the Los Angeles Clippers, and I believe he can clear a modest point total. Elsewhere, I have picks on Karl-Anthony Towns and Devin Booker.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 28.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Powell over 17.5 points (-112)

Powell missed almost a month with an injury and has been revamping his workload in the six games since returning.

The good news is, he’s played 30-plus minutes in back-to-back contests for the first time since the middle of February.

In the second of those games, Powell scored 19 points, his most since returning. That was against the New York Knicks, who pose a much bigger threat than the tanking Brooklyn Nets.

Before he got injured, Powell had cleared this line in 18 straight outings. If he plays a full workload again, this is a very achievable number.

The Nets have lost five in a row and have a below-average defensive rating (116.8).

Key stat: In Powell’s first meeting with the Nets this season, he scored 18 points on 7-of-10 shooting. He only played 22 minutes in a 59-point blowout win.

Best NBA picks

Towns over 26.5 points (-118): The Knicks continue to be without Jalen Brunson, which opens up extra shooting volume for other top offensive options.

And there’s no one better to turn to than Towns in this matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks:

The big man has played two games against the Bucks with the Knicks. He scored 30-plus points both times.

Towns shot over 60% from the field in those games and dominated on the glass with 29 total rebounds.

The boards aren’t important for this wager but it shows how confident Towns feels in the paint against the Bucks.

He’s playing good basketball right now, too, averaging 29.4 points over the past five games.

Booker 8+ assists (-112): Booker has flourished in his role as the primary ball-handler and playmaker for the Phoenix Suns.

He has 10+ assists in five of the past seven games.

He averaged 9.9 assists per game during that time.

This is certainly an uptick from his season-long 7.1 APG average, but this isn’t limited to the last several games either.

In 19 games since the all-star break, Booker has averaged 8.3 assists and is 12-7 against this line.

NBA prop picks made at 12:21 p.m. ET on 03/28/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 28: Take overs on Powell, Towns and Booker

I have three prop bets for Friday’s NBA action.

The pregame narrative: Norman Powell is back to logging big minutes for the Los Angeles Clippers, and I believe he can clear a modest point total. Elsewhere, I have picks on Karl-Anthony Towns and Devin Booker.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 28.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Powell over 17.5 points (-108)

Embed: #111842

Powell missed almost a month with an injury and has been revamping his workload in the six games since returning.

The good news is, he’s played 30-plus minutes in back-to-back contests for the first time since the middle of February.

In the second of those games, Powell scored 19 points, his most since returning. That was against the New York Knicks, who pose a much bigger threat than the tanking Brooklyn Nets.

Before he got injured, Powell had cleared this line in 18 straight outings. If he plays a full workload again, this is a very achievable number.

The Nets have lost five in a row and have a below-average defensive rating (116.8).

Key stat: In Powell’s first meeting with the Nets this season, he scored 18 points on 7-of-10 shooting. He only played 22 minutes in a 59-point blowout win.

Best NBA picks

Towns over 26.5 points (-120): The Knicks continue to be without Jalen Brunson, which opens up extra shooting volume for other top offensive options.

And there’s no one better to turn to than Towns in this matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks:

The big man has played two games against the Bucks with the Knicks. He scored 30-plus points both times.

Towns shot over 60% from the field in those games and dominated on the glass with 29 total rebounds.

The boards aren’t important for this wager but it shows how confident Towns feels in the paint against the Bucks.

He’s playing good basketball right now, too, averaging 29.4 points over the past five games.

Booker 8+ assists (+117): Booker has flourished in his role as the primary ball-handler and playmaker for the Phoenix Suns.

He has 10+ assists in five of the past seven games.

He averaged 9.9 assists per game during that time.

This is certainly an uptick from his season-long 7.1 APG average, but this isn’t limited to the last several games either.

In 19 games since the all-star break, Booker has averaged 8.3 assists and is 12-7 against this line.

NBA prop picks made at 10:21 a.m. ET on 03/28/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets March 27: Back Hailburton, Banchero and Vassell

I’ve picked out three prop bets from Thursday’s eight-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Tyrese Haliburton has a prime opportunity to continue his strong play against the Washington Wizards tonight. I’ll also tail Paolo Banchero and Devin Vassell during their respective hot streaks.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 27.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Haliburton over 14.5 rebounds/assists (+100)

The Indiana Pacers’ point guard is back to the stat-stuffing version of himself.

Take a look at his averages over the past 12 games:

12.6 assists (10+ in every game)
3.4 rebounds
9-3 against this line

The passing numbers are well above his season averages, and I don’t expect him to slow down during the final stretch of the season.

On Thursday, he plays the Wizards, and they provide an excellent matchup for point guards. According to Fantasy Pros, Washington gives up the second-most points/assists/rebounds to the position (41.58).

Key stat: In two games vs. Washington this season, Haliburton averaged 20.5 points, 8.0 assists and 3.0 rebounds (33.5 PRA).

Best NBA picks

Banchero over 29.5 points (-106): This is quite a hefty line but Banchero could smash it with the way he’s been playing.

Over the past 13 games, he is averaging:

31.0 points
51.1% shooting

During that time, he’s 9-4 against this line with three different 40-plus point performances.

He comes into Wednesday off the back of four-straight games of 30 or more points and should continue feasting against the Dallas Mavericks’ defence.

The Mavs concede the fifth-most points per game to opposing power forwards (23.88).

Vassell over 18.5 points (-125): With season-ending injuries to De’Aaron Fox and Victor Wembanyama, someone had to step up and fill in the scoring role for the San Antonio Spurs.

That brings me to Vassell, who’s been torching NBA defences.

Since March 4, the dynamic guard has averaged 20.2 points per game on incredible efficiency (49.2% from the field, 44.7% from 3).

The biggest worry here is a blowout with the Cleveland Cavaliers being 15-point favourites at the time of writing.

However, Vassell played 30-plus minutes in 13 of the last 14 games, so I expect him to get his fair share of playing time regardless of the result.

NBA prop picks made at 1:04 p.m. ET on 03/27/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 27: Back Hailburton, Banchero and Vassell

I’ve picked out three prop bets from Thursday’s eight-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Tyrese Haliburton has a prime opportunity to continue his strong play against the Washington Wizards tonight. I’ll also tail Paolo Banchero and Devin Vassell during their respective hot streaks.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 27.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Haliburton over 32.5 points/rebounds/assists (-112)

Embed: #111796

The Indiana Pacers’ point guard is back to the stat-stuffing version of himself.

Take a look at his averages over the past 12 games:

21.1 points
12.6 assists (10+ in every game)
3.4 rebounds
9-3 against this line

The scoring and passing numbers are well above his season averages, and I don’t expect him to slow down during the final stretch of the season.

On Thursday, he plays the Wizards, and they provide an excellent matchup for point guards. According to Fantasy Pros, Washington gives up the second-most points/assists/rebounds to the position (41.58).

Key stat: In two games vs. Washington this season, Haliburton averaged 20.5 points, 8.0 assists and 3.0 rebounds (33.5 PRA).

Best NBA picks

Banchero over 28.5 points (-110): This is quite a hefty line but Banchero could smash it with the way he’s been playing.

Over the past 13 games, he is averaging:

31.0 points
51.1% shooting

During that time, he’s 9-4 against this line with three different 40-plus point performances.

He comes into Wednesday off the back of four-straight games of 30 or more points and should continue feasting against the Dallas Mavericks’ defence.

The Mavs concede the fifth-most points per game to opposing power forwards (23.88).

Vassell over 17.5 points (-125): With season-ending injuries to De’Aaron Fox and Victor Wembanyama, someone had to step up and fill in the scoring role for the San Antonio Spurs.

That brings me to Vassell, who’s been torching NBA defences.

Since March 4, the dynamic guard has averaged 20.2 points per game on incredible efficiency (49.2% from the field, 44.7% from 3).

The biggest worry here is a blowout with the Cleveland Cavaliers being 15-point favourites at the time of writing.

However, Vassell played 30-plus minutes in 13 of the last 14 games, so I expect him to get his fair share of playing time regardless of the result.

NBA prop picks made at 9:53 a.m. ET on 03/27/2025.

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Celtics vs. Suns SGP predictions March 26: Back Phoenix on alt spread, Durant to score at +310

The Boston Celtics and Phoenix Suns wrap up Wednesday’s six-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Jayson Tatum is officially listed as doubtful after suffering an ankle injury against the Sacramento Kings on Monday night. Take the Suns to cover an alternate spread alongside prop bets on Kevin Durant and Derrick White in this +310 SGP.

Check out my Celtics vs. Suns SGP predictions for March 26.

Celtics vs. Suns predictions

Parlay: Suns +10.5 | Durant 25+ points | White 4+ threes (+310)

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Suns +10.5 (-315): It doesn’t appear that Tatum’s ankle injury is severe, which is good news for Celtics fans. But with Boston’s playoff seeding practically locked up, it wouldn’t make sense to risk furthering the injury tonight.

Boston has won 11 of its last 12 games, with six coming by 11-plus points. Without Tatum, though, I expect a much tighter affair.

The Celtics are 5-1 without Tatum this year, but only one of those wins was by more than 10 points.
Phoenix has won six straight home games, most recently beating the Cleveland Cavaliers and Milwaukee Bucks.

The Suns are fighting for their play-in lives and currently hold a 0.5-game lead over the Dallas Mavericks for the West’s final spot.

It would be a disgrace for them to get blown out at home against a shorthanded Celtics squad tonight.

NBA SGP legs

Durant 25+ points (-121): This could be Durant’s last year with the Suns, and if it is, he’s going out with a bang.

The future Hall of Famer is averaging 26.8 points per game (sixth-most in the NBA) on stellar 52.8/42.6/83.4 shooting splits.

He’s scored at least 20 points in 52 of 59 games, which is an insane scoring floor for a 36-year-old.

Durant has cleared this number in 61.0% of games this season, including each of his last three, where he’s averaging 35.3 PPG.

White 4+ threes (-114): I backed White to cash this wager in one of today’s best NBA prop bets and will double-dip for this SGP.

Check out what the shooting guard has done from 3-point land this season.

3.5 threes on 38.5% shooting
3+ threes in 50 of 68 games
4+ threes in 31 of 68 games

Without Tatum in the lineup, and in a plus matchup, I expect White to over-index. Phoenix’s opponents are shooting 37.5% from 3-point range since the all-star break (seventh-highest in the NBA).

Celtics vs. Suns predictions made at 11:15 a.m. ET 03/26/2025.

Raptors vs. Nets SGP predictions March 26: Back Toronto ATS and Scottie Barnes at +320

The Toronto Raptors close out a two-game road trip on Wednesday against the Brooklyn Nets.

The pregame narrative: Toronto has been good against lower-seeded opponents, so I’ll back the away team to cover the spread. This +320 SGP also includes picks on Scottie Barnes and Ziaire Williams.

Check out my Raptors vs. Nets SGP predictions for March 26.

Raptors vs. Nets predictions

Parlay: Raptors +2.5 | Barnes over 30.5 points/rebounds/assists | Williams 2+ threes (+320)

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Raptors +2.5 (-113): These teams certainly fit the tanking category, but the Raptors refuse to roll over.

Toronto is 5-5 over its last 10 games, including a 5-1 record against teams lower in the standings.

That’s the case with the Nets, one of four teams below the Raptors in the Eastern Conference.

They’re doing a better job at tanking, losing seven of their last eight games. Brooklyn will also be without Cameron Johnson, who scores 18.9 points per game.

The Nets are 3-14 without Johnson in the lineup this season.

NBA SGP legs

Barnes over 30.5 points/rebounds/assists (-127): Barnes had one of his best games of the season against the Nets on Jan. 1:

33 points
13 rebounds
5 assists
14-of-18 shooting

He smashed this line, covering the number with points alone. That level of production isn’t needed on Wednesday, but anything close would do.

Barnes has been good against this wager recently, too. He has cleared this mark in three straight games, averaging 36.7 PRA.

The Raptors’ young star is worried more about winning than tanking and this is a great matchup to fill the statsheet.

Brooklyn has the 11th-worst defensive rating (116.9) and grabs the second-fewest rebounds per game (41.2).

Williams 2+ threes (-245): Williams missed a game on March 22 but returned against the Dallas Mavericks a couple of days later and hit two threes in reduced playing time.

With Johnson out, I predict Williams will return to his normal workload. Including his 21 minutes on Monday, he’s averaging 30.4 minutes over his past eight appearances.

During that run, Williams has been lighting it up from 3-point range:

3.1 makes on 7.4 attempts per game (42.4%)
2+ threes in 6 of 8 games

Someone needs to step up and replace Johnson’s 7.2 three-point attempts and Williams seems the most likely candidate.

Raptors vs. Nets predictions made at 9:40 a.m. ET 03/26/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 26: Back guards Reaves, White and Grimes on Wednesday

Three guards headline Wednesday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Quentin Grimes is on a roll and has an A-plus matchup against the Washington Wizards. Bet on him to score and take the overs on props for Austin Reaves and Derrick White.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 26.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Grimes over 25.5 points (-125)

Can life get any worse for Dallas Mavericks fans? After trading away Luka Doncic and having Kyrie Irving suffer a season-ending ACL tear, Grimes has become an elite scorer for the Philadelphia 76ers.

The guard was dealt from Dallas with a second-round pick for Caleb Martin at the trade deadline.

Martin is averaging 4.6 points in five appearances with the Mavs, and this is what Grimes has done in March with the Sixers:

28.0 PPG
19.5 FGA/game
51.7 FG%
39.8 3PT%
25+ points in 10 of 12 games

That includes 46 points against the Houston Rockets, 30 against the Minnesota Timberwolves and 28 against the Oklahoma City Thunder — all of which sit inside the top six for defensive rating.

Tonight, he goes up against the NBA-worst Wizards, who have just 15 wins in 71 games.

The Wizards are 28th in defensive rating and allow the second-most PPG to shooting guards, according to Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Grimes is 6-1 against this line in his last seven games, scoring 25 points in the outlier.

Best NBA picks

Reaves over 4.5 assists (-130): Reaves dropped a career-high 45 points when he last played the Pacers. But there was a massive caveat: LeBron James and Doncic were sidelined.

Both are expected to suit up tonight, and I think that should push Reaves into more of a facilitation role.

The guard is averaging 5.4 helpers since Doncic first suited up on Feb. 10 and is 11-7 against this line.

He’s had at least four assists in six straight games and has cleared this mark in five of those contests. Indiana likes to play fast, and I expect it to dictate the tempo at home.

More possessions mean more assist opportunities for Reaves.

White 4+ threes (-118): White is the type of player you win championships with. The point guard isn’t the first or second option when Boston is fully healthy, but he’s become a quintessential 3 and D player.

White takes 68% of his shots from 3-point range, per Cleaning the Glass.
He’s averaging 3.5 threes on 38.5% shooting.
White has 3+ threes in 50 of 68 games.

That’s a fantastic floor to work with, and he should perform above that baseline tonight against the Phoenix Suns.

Phoenix’s opponents are shooting 37.5% from deep since the all-star break (seventh-highest in the NBA).

NBA prop picks made at 9:18 a.m. ET on 03/26/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 26: Back guards Reaves, White and Grimes on Wednesday

Three guards headline Wednesday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Quentin Grimes is on a roll and has an A-plus matchup against the Washington Wizards. Bet on him to score and take the overs on props for Austin Reaves and Derrick White.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 26.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Grimes over 25.5 points (-122)

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Can life get any worse for Dallas Mavericks fans? After trading away Luka Doncic and having Kyrie Irving suffer a season-ending ACL tear, Grimes has become an elite scorer for the Philadelphia 76ers.

The guard was dealt from Dallas with a second-round pick for Caleb Martin at the trade deadline.

Martin is averaging 4.6 points in five appearances with the Mavs, and this is what Grimes has done in March with the Sixers:

28.0 PPG
19.5 FGA/game
51.7 FG%
39.8 3PT%
25+ points in 10 of 12 games

That includes 46 points against the Houston Rockets, 30 against the Minnesota Timberwolves and 28 against the Oklahoma City Thunder — all of which sit inside the top six for defensive rating.

Tonight, he goes up against the NBA-worst Wizards, who have just 15 wins in 71 games.

The Wizards are 28th in defensive rating and allow the second-most PPG to shooting guards, according to Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Grimes is 6-1 against this line in his last seven games, scoring 25 points in the outlier.

Best NBA picks

Reaves over 4.5 assists (-143): Reaves dropped a career-high 45 points when he last played the Pacers. But there was a massive caveat: LeBron James and Doncic were sidelined.

Both are expected to suit up tonight, and I think that should push Reaves into more of a facilitation role.

The guard is averaging 5.4 helpers since Doncic first suited up on Feb. 10 and is 11-7 against this line.

He’s had at least four assists in six straight games and has cleared this mark in five of those contests. Indiana likes to play fast, and I expect it to dictate the tempo at home.

More possessions mean more assist opportunities for Reaves.

White 4+ threes (+103): White is the type of player you win championships with. The point guard isn’t the first or second option when Boston is fully healthy, but he’s become a quintessential 3 and D player.

White takes 68% of his shots from 3-point range, per Cleaning the Glass.
He’s averaging 3.5 threes on 38.5% shooting.
White has 3+ threes in 50 of 68 games.

That’s a fantastic floor to work with, and he should perform above that baseline tonight against the Phoenix Suns.

Phoenix’s opponents are shooting 37.5% from deep since the all-star break (seventh-highest in the NBA).

NBA prop picks made at 9:18 a.m. ET on 03/26/2025.