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Best NBA prop bets April 1: Back OG Anunoby and Paolo Banchero on Tuesday

Paolo Banchero and OG Anunoby headline Tuesday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Banchero and Anunoby stuffed the stat sheet in March, and I expect them to start April on the right foot. Also, bet on Atlanta’s Dyson Daniels to clear a modest point total.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 1.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Banchero over 12.5 rebounds and assists (-105)

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Banchero played at an MVP level in March after a tough start to 2025, giving Magic fans some hope that they could make noise in the playoffs.

29.8 PPG
7.6 RPG
4.4 APG
49.4% shooting

Tonight, Orlando plays a San Antonio Spurs team that has cratered after losing Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox for the season.

San Antonio had the worst defensive rating in March. It has also allowed the second-most rebounds (11.15) and most assists (5.84) per game to power forwards in the last 30 days, per Fantasy Pros.

Orlando is a 4-point road favourite, and I expect Banchero to get plenty of run in what should be a close game.

Key stat: Banchero is 6-4 against this line in his last 10 games, with 10+ RA in nine of those contests.

Best NBA picks

Anunoby over 22.5 points (-115): Jalen Brunson is nearing a return, but it won’t be tonight.

That means there’s an opportunity to target Anunoby, who has been lights out for the New York Knicks in his absence.

In 12 games since March 7 (when Brunson went down with an injury), the forward is averaging 22.8 points.

Anunoby has cleared this mark in six straight games and is averaging 30.5 points on 59.0% shooting in his last four outings.

There is blowout potential tonight as the Knicks are 14.5-point favourites against the Philadelphia 76ers.

But it’s not like Tom Thibodeau is known for resting his stars. In fact, Anunoby just played 37 minutes in a 17-point blowout win on Sunday.

Daniels over 13.5 points (-125): This line isn’t asking much of Daniels, who has been very consistent following the all-star break.

14.5 PPG
51.7% shooting
10+ points in 16/19 games
14+ points 10/19 games

Daniels is coming off a 22-point outing against the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday and gets a Portland Trail Blazers team allowing the sixth-most PPG to opposing shooting guards this season.

NBA prop picks made at 12:20 p.m. ET on 04/01/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 1: Back OG Anunoby and Paolo Banchero on Tuesday

Paolo Banchero and OG Anunoby headline Tuesday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Banchero and Anunoby stuffed the stat sheet in March, and I expect them to start April on the right foot. Also, bet on Atlanta’s Dyson Daniels to clear a modest point total.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 1.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Banchero over 11.5 rebounds and assists (-134)

Banchero played at an MVP level in March after a tough start to 2025, giving Magic fans some hope that they could make noise in the playoffs.

29.8 PPG
7.6 RPG
4.4 APG
49.4% shooting

Tonight, Orlando plays a San Antonio Spurs team that has cratered after losing Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox for the season.

San Antonio had the worst defensive rating in March. It has also allowed the second-most rebounds (11.15) and most assists (5.84) per game to power forwards in the last 30 days, per Fantasy Pros.

Orlando is a 4-point road favourite, and I expect Banchero to get plenty of run in what should be a close game.

Key stat: Banchero is 7-3 against this line in his last 10 games, with 10+ RA in nine of those contests.

Best NBA picks

Anunoby over 22.5 points (-130): Jalen Brunson is nearing a return, but it won’t be tonight.

That means there’s an opportunity to target Anunoby, who has been lights out for the New York Knicks in his absence.

In 12 games since March 7 (when Brunson went down with an injury), the forward is averaging 22.8 points.

Anunoby has cleared this mark in six straight games and is averaging 30.5 points on 59.0% shooting in his last four outings.

There is blowout potential tonight as the Knicks are 14.5-point favourites against the Philadelphia 76ers.

But it’s not like Tom Thibodeau is known for resting his stars. In fact, Anunoby just played 37 minutes in a 17-point blowout win on Sunday.

Daniels over 14.5 points (-120): This line isn’t asking much of Daniels, who has been very consistent following the all-star break.

14.5 PPG
51.7% shooting
10+ points in 16/19 games
14+ points 10/19 games

Daniels is coming off a 22-point outing against the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday and gets a Portland Trail Blazers team allowing the sixth-most PPG to opposing shooting guards this season.

NBA prop picks made at 9:31 a.m. ET on 04/01/2025.

Rockets vs. Lakers SGP predictions March 31: Tail Austin Reaves, Jalen Green in +390 wager

The Houston Rockets play their second game in as many nights, facing off against the Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena on Monday night.

The pregame narrative: This is a rare spot where I feel it’s smart to fade the Rockets. This +390 SGP includes a pick on the Lakers, paired with props on Austin Reaves and Jalen Green.

Check out my Rockets vs. Lakers SGP predictions for March 31.

Rockets vs. Lakers predictions

Parlay: Lakers ML | Reaves 20+ points | Green over 22.5 points (+390)

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Lakers ML (-180): Houston is 9-1 over its last 10 games, but I have a few reasons to fade the away side:

The Rockets played last night in Phoenix, meaning this is the second half of a road back-to-back.

Los Angeles is at full strength, and the trio of Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Reaves is cooking right now.

The Lakers have the third-best home record in the NBA (28-9) behind only the Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder.

James is listed as a game-time decision for Monday but is reported as likely to play. On Saturday, LeBron, Doncic and Reaves combined for 85 points against the Memphis Grizzlies.

This is a really tough spot for Houston. At the same time, it’s a great opportunity for the Lakers to grab a statement win and inch up the standings.

NBA SGP legs

Reaves 20+ points (-167): Of those 85 combined points on Saturday, it was surprisingly Reaves who led the charge. He paced the Lakers with 31 points on 8-of-16 shooting.

The undrafted guard is working his way into debates of the best third option in the league.

And he’s got a real case. Over the past 10 games, he’s averaged 27.3 points on 53.1% shooting and is 9-1 against this line.

Reaves finished with 18 in the outlier, a basket shy of this mark.

He had one previous meeting with the Rockets this season, scoring 21 points on 13 shot attempts.

Reaves has taken on a bigger offensive role, attempting 14-plus shots in 10 of his last 11 games.

As long as he’s efficient, I really like Reaves’ chances of smashing this modest total.

Green over 22.5 points (-112): Green has been crushing it lately, too.

Take a look at his scoring averages over the past 10 games:

25.8 PPG
20.0 FGA
44.0 FG%
23+ points in 8/10

The uptick in production can be chalked up to volume.

Mix in 6.5 free throw attempts per night, and it’s easy to understand why this line is too low for Green at the moment.

He played a below-average 27 minutes yesterday in a blowout win. He still managed to drop 33 points on 9-of-17 from the field.

Since the Rockets have been winning, I don’t see any reason for them to move away from Green as the No. 1 offensive option.

Rockets vs. Lakers predictions made at 1:02 p.m. ET 03/31/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 31: Anthony Davis, Ja Morant headline Monday’s top picks

I’ve got three prop bets for Monday’s eight-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Anthony Davis is playing his way back from injury, and his recent results have me bullish on his points prop. Elsewhere, I have picks on Ja Morant and Keegan Murray.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 31.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Davis over 24.5 points (-106)

There’s a pretty big disclaimer to this pick and it’s that Davis hasn’t topped this total since returning from injury.

His high mark, over three games, is 18. That was in his last outing against the Chicago Bulls. But there are some positives to explore, too.

Davis’ playing time has increased each game, leading to 30-plus minutes on Saturday.

He’s attempted an average of 21 shots per game over the last two but is shooting a woeful 28.6% from the field.

I’d be a fool not to expect better efficiency in his upcoming games, and the Brooklyn Nets feel like the right matchup to get back on track.

The Nets have the eighth-worst defensive rating in the NBA (117.0). Brooklyn has been starting 6-foot-9, 185-pound Ziaire Williams at power forward. He’s there for his sharpshooting, not his defence.

AD should be able to find mismatches in the paint early and often.

Key stat: Davis is 25-17 against this line when playing more than 30 minutes this season.

Best NBA picks

Morant over 30.5 points/assists (-130): The athletic point guard has missed his fair share of time with injury this season.

But when he’s in the lineup, he’s been very productive.

Morant just recently missed six games and came back to immediately make an impact against the Los Angeles Lakers.

He played a full workload of 31 minutes, tallying 22 points, eight rebounds and 10 assists. He took a healthy 23 shots, which is great volume to work with.

Overall, his last 10 games have been excellent:

28.5 points
8.1 assists
4.2 rebounds

Morant shot above 50% in just two of those games. That demonstrates his ability to fill the statsheet when healthy, even with below-average shooting performances.

The Boston Celtics are an elite defensive team, but I can’t pass on this Morant prop.

Murray over 12.5 points (-130): Murray has been playing his best ball of the season and has a great matchup to do damage.

The Indiana Pacers allow the fifth-most points per game to power forwards (24.02), per Fantasy Pros.

Since the all-star break, Murray has averaged 14.1 points on 47.7% from the field and 40.9% from downtown.

That’s encouraging to see when over half of his shot attempts are from beyond the arc.

Over that 19-game sample, he’s 13-6 against this wager.

This game has the second-highest total of any contest tonight (234), so expect an uptick in volume for most players, including Murray.

NBA prop picks made at 12:04 p.m. ET on 03/31/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 31: Anthony Davis, Ja Morant headline Monday’s top picks

I’ve got three prop bets for Monday’s eight-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Anthony Davis is playing his way back from injury, and his recent results have me bullish on his points prop. Elsewhere, I have picks on Ja Morant and Keegan Murray.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 31.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Davis over 23.5 points (-122)

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There’s a pretty big disclaimer to this pick and it’s that Davis hasn’t topped this total since returning from injury.

His high mark, over three games, is 18. That was in his last outing against the Chicago Bulls. But there are some positives to explore, too.

Davis’ playing time has increased each game, leading to 30-plus minutes on Saturday.

He’s attempted an average of 21 shots per game over the last two but is shooting a woeful 28.6% from the field.

I’d be a fool not to expect better efficiency in his upcoming games, and the Brooklyn Nets feel like the right matchup to get back on track.

The Nets have the eighth-worst defensive rating in the NBA (117.0). Brooklyn has been starting 6-foot-9, 185-pound Ziaire Williams at power forward. He’s there for his sharpshooting, not his defence.

AD should be able to find mismatches in the paint early and often.

Key stat: Davis is 25-17 against this line when playing more than 30 minutes this season.

Best NBA picks

Morant over 35.5 points/rebounds/assists (-120): The athletic point guard has missed his fair share of time with injury this season.

But when he’s in the lineup, he’s been very productive.

Morant just recently missed six games and came back to immediately make an impact against the Los Angeles Lakers.

He played a full workload of 31 minutes, tallying 22 points, eight rebounds and 10 assists. He took a healthy 23 shots, which is great volume to work with.

Overall, his last 10 games have been excellent:

28.5 points
8.1 assists
4.2 rebounds
8-2 against this line

Morant shot above 50% in just two of those games. That demonstrates his ability to fill the statsheet when healthy, even with below-average shooting performances.

The Boston Celtics are an elite defensive team, but I can’t pass on this Morant prop.

Murray over 12.5 points (-115): Murray has been playing his best ball of the season and has a great matchup to do damage.

The Indiana Pacers allow the fifth-most points per game to power forwards (24.02), per Fantasy Pros.

Since the all-star break, Murray has averaged 14.1 points on 47.7% from the field and 40.9% from downtown.

That’s encouraging to see when over half of his shot attempts are from beyond the arc.

Over that 19-game sample, he’s 13-6 against this wager.

This game has the second-highest total of any contest tonight (234), so expect an uptick in volume for most players, including Murray.

NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 03/31/2025.

Rockets vs. Suns SGP predictions March 30: Bet on Sengun to shine, Houston to win in +360 SGP

The Houston Rockets aim to stay hot against the middling Phoenix Suns in a Sunday night showdown.

The pregame narrative: Houston is firing on all cylinders and I’m betting it earns a victory over the underachieving Phoenix Suns. A teased-down total catches my attention as does the over on Alperen Sengun‘s points prop.

Check out my Rockets vs. Suns SGP predictions for March 30.

Rockets vs. Suns predictions

Parlay: Rockets ML | Over 216.5 points | Sengun over 20.5 points (+360)

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Rockets ML (-129): Phoenix has had plenty of time to prove it can get it done with this group.

Those expecting the team to play with some urgency down the stretch have been disappointed. The squad is a mediocre 5-5 across its last 10 outings and enters Sunday’s contest off back-to-back losses.

If the Suns do get into the play-in tournament, it’ll have more to do with the Sacramento Kings’ poor play than anything else.

Houston, meanwhile, is hitting its stride at the perfect time. The Rockets have won 11 of their last 12 games, including a 111-104 victory over the Suns on March 12.

I expect defence to decide this contest and it’s the Rockets who I trust to come up with a crucial stop. Houston ranks fourth in defensive rating (109.8) while Phoenix places 26th (116.9).

NBA SGP legs

Over 216.5 points (-195): Houston’s recent uptick in scoring is why I’m targeting the over.

The Rockets have been an offensive juggernaut during this hot streak. They’re averaging 119 points per game during this heater, over five points more than their season-long average (113.7).

The over on this total has cashed in eight of Houston’s last 12 contests.

The Suns, meanwhile, are tailormade to cash this over. They’re a respectable 13th in points per game (114.4) but 22nd in points against per outing (116.0).

Phoenix has gone over this total in 10 of its last 13 games.

Sengun over 20.5 points (+100): Lastly, I’m looking for Sengun to shine in a mouthwatering matchup.

The big man is coming off one of his best offensive performances of the season. He scored 33 points against the Utah Jazz, his second-best output of the 2024-25 campaign.

Sengun fell short of clearing this total in the most recent contest between these squads on March 12, landing on 20 points exactly.

He’s cleared this total in nine of his last 18 games, and there’s added reason to believe he’ll top this total on Sunday.

Phoenix is allowing the third-most points per game to centres (24.9), according to Fantasy Pros.

Rockets vs. Suns predictions made at 2:22 p.m. ET 03/30/2025.

Best NBA props March 30: Picks on Jimmy Butler and Devin Booker

Jimmy Butler highlights Sunday’s NBA prop picks.

The pregame narrative: The newest member of the Golden State Warriors is playing his best basketball down the stretch and I want in. The other two players featured in today’s props are Devin Booker and Jalen Duren.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 30.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Booker over 6.5 assists (-143)

This has been an achievable number for Booker, who has taken his playmaking to a new level.

Over the past eight games, he’s averaged 9.4 assists per game. That’s a huge jump from his 7.1 season average.

This level isn’t limited to only the past several games, however. Since the all-star break, Booker has been averaging 8.2 assists per night. That’s a 20-game sample size.

The Houston Rockets are a good defensive team but this is a line I’m intrigued by, regardless of the matchup.

Key stat: Booker is 14-6 against this line since the all-star break.

Best NBA picks

Butler over 25.5 points/rebounds (-110): Butler has had a roller coaster of a season, but he’s settling in nicely with the Golden State Warriors.

He’s now played just over 20 games with his new team, but I want to focus on his stats over the last 12:

18.3 PPG
6.9 rebounds
8-4 against this line

Butler played 34.3 minutes per game during that time and everything seems to be falling in place for the Warriors.

Golden State has a 17-4 record with Butler in the lineup, showing how important it is for the forward to be involved early and often each night.

The San Antonio Spurs own the sixth-worst defensive rating in the NBA (117.8), so I wouldn’t be surprised if Butler tops this number with points alone.

Duren over 22.5 points/rebounds (-118): Cade Cunningham remains out for the Detroit Pistons so they’ve had to look elsewhere for production.

Dennis Schroder is filling in at point guard and is a formidable replacement in the pick and roll.

That allows Duren to stay active on offence, even without Cunningham in the lineup.

In the Pistons’ last game against the Cleveland Cavaliers, Duren had 16 points and 13 rebounds in a winning effort.

Since the calendar flipped to 2025, the Pistons’ big man has taken his play to a new level:

42 games played
13.4 points/game
11.0 rebounds/game
28-14 against this line

The Minnesota Timberwolves provide a tough matchup for Duren but I view it as a reason to get in on his props at a discount.

NBA prop picks made at 12:40 p.m. ET on 03/30/2025.

Best NBA props March 30: Picks on Jimmy Butler and Devin Booker

Jimmy Butler highlights Sunday’s NBA prop picks.

The pregame narrative: The newest member of the Golden State Warriors is playing his best basketball down the stretch and I want in. The other two players featured in today’s props are Devin Booker and Jalen Duren.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 30.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Booker over 6.5 assists (-124)

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This has been an achievable number for Booker, who has taken his playmaking to a new level.

Over the past eight games, he’s averaged 9.4 assists per game. That’s a huge jump from his 7.1 season average.

This level isn’t limited to only the past several games, however. Since the all-star break, Booker has been averaging 8.2 assists per night. That’s a 20-game sample size.

The Houston Rockets are a good defensive team but this is a line I’m intrigued by, regardless of the matchup.

Key stat: Booker is 14-6 against this line since the all-star break.

Best NBA picks

Butler over 23.5 points/rebounds (-125): Butler has had a roller coaster of a season, but he’s settling in nicely with the Golden State Warriors.

He’s now played just over 20 games with his new team, but I want to focus on his stats over the last 12:

18.3 PPG
6.9 rebounds
8-4 against this line

Butler played 34.3 minutes per game during that time and everything seems to be falling in place for the Warriors.

Golden State has a 17-4 record with Butler in the lineup, showing how important it is for the forward to be involved early and often each night.

The San Antonio Spurs own the sixth-worst defensive rating in the NBA (117.8), so I wouldn’t be surprised if Butler tops this number with points alone.

Duren over 22.5 points/rebounds (-127): Cade Cunningham remains out for the Detroit Pistons so they’ve had to look elsewhere for production.

Dennis Schroder is filling in at point guard and is a formidable replacement in the pick and roll.

That allows Duren to stay active on offence, even without Cunningham in the lineup.

In the Pistons’ last game against the Cleveland Cavaliers, Duren had 16 points and 13 rebounds in a winning effort.

Since the calendar flipped to 2025, the Pistons’ big man has taken his play to a new level:

42 games played
13.4 points/game
11.0 rebounds/game
28-14 against this line

The Minnesota Timberwolves provide a tough matchup for Duren but I view it as a reason to get in on his props at a discount.

NBA prop picks made at 12:40 p.m. ET on 03/30/2025.

Pacers vs. Thunder SGP predictions March 29: Bet on Indiana, Nembhard in +320 SGP

The Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder square off in a battle of playoff contenders.

The pregame narrative: Oklahoma City is having one of the best regular seasons in recent memory, but Indiana enters this game in solid form. I’m backing the Pacers to cover a lofty spread as road underdogs. Additionally, I’m backing the over on the game total and Andrew Nembhard‘s point total.

Check out my Pacers vs. Thunder SGP predictions for March 29.

Pacers vs. Thunder predictions

Parlay: Pacers +13.5 | Over 237.5 points | Nembhard over 10.5 points (+320)

Pacers +13.5 (-195): There’s a reason why the Thunder are such heavy favourites in this contest.

The team has won five of its last six games by 16-plus points, winning 15 of their last 16 outright. Oklahoma City is firing on all cylinders ahead of the playoffs.

But this Indiana offence has come to life. The Pacers scored 162 points in their most recent game, a victory over the Washington Wizards.

They’ve won eight of their last 10 games and have covered this spread in each of those contests.

Their road record is concerning (18-19), but they’ve been good in the spot of a road underdog. Indiana is a solid 11-8 in that scenario this season.

NBA SGP legs

Over 237.5 points (-105): These two offences are liable for a big performance on any night.

Here is how they rank in a number of key offensive categories:

OKC ranks fourth in offensive rating (118.9)

IND ranks eighth in offensive rating (115.6)

OKC places fourth in points per game (119.9)

IND is seventh in points per game (117.2)

OKC has the eighth-fastest pace (100.64)

IND has the seventh-fastest pace (100.66)

The over is typically a great bet to add to an SGP when the Pacers are road dogs. They boast an 11-6-2 overs record in this spot this season.

Indiana has gone over this total in five of its last eight games. I expect both offences to shine in this contest and push this over the number.

Nembhard over 10.5 points (-110): The Thunder shut down pretty much every position on the court.

Here’s where they rank in points allowed for each position:

1st vs. PGs (22.41)
10th vs. SGs (21.87)
3rd vs. SFs (19.81)
6th vs. PFs (21.45)
T-8th vs. Cs (20.85)

Typically, backing players to go over their points prop against OKC is an exercise in futility.

But on a night where I expect Indiana to cover and the over to cash, looking to Nembhard isn’t such a bad idea.

For starters, this total is right in his wheelhouse. Nembhard is averaging 10.2 points per game which puts this total well in reach.

Secondly, Nembhard did well in his lone outing against the Thunder in 2024-25. He totalled a season-high 23 points on Dec. 26.

Lastly, Nembhard is just one game removed from a stellar 16-point outing against the Los Angeles Lakers. I expect him to build on his solid form tonight.

Pacers vs. Thunder predictions made at 11:15 a.m. ET 03/26/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 29: Picks on guards Derrick White and Tyrese Haliburton

The NBA shows seven games on the schedule for Saturday and I have three prop bets for the action.

The pregame narrative: Derrick White is playing big minutes regularly for the Boston Celtics, giving him good value on his props vs. the San Antonio Spurs tonight. Elsewhere, I have picks on Tyrese Haliburton and Keegan Murray.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 29.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: White over 19.5 points/assists (-115)

The biggest concern here is a blowout but White seems to be the guy who logs a lot of playing time, no matter the score.

He’s played 30-plus minutes in 15 of the last 16 games, averaging 34.7 per night. During that time, White averaged 27.7 points/rebounds/assists.

So, the blowout factor certainly seems to be weighing into White’s line, but I don’t see a reason to worry. If anything, I see it as a reason to jump in on a discount.

Earlier this season, White played 39 minutes in a win against the Spurs, recording 28 points/assists.

Key stat: He’s cleared this modest total in three of four games against San Antonio since being traded to the Celtics a few years ago.

Best NBA picks

Haliburton over 9.5 assists (-134): In the Indiana Pacers’ last game against the Washington Wizards, Haliburton had 29 points and six assists. He only played 24 minutes in a 51-point blowout win.

Before that, the point guard had double-digit assists in 12 straight games. That’s a nice floor to work with.

The Pacers are also playing well, going 8-2 over their last 10 games. They should be able to keep this contest close enough to keep the starters in for their normal workloads.

If that’s the case, Haliburton will not have it as easy as he did vs. the Wizards so expect him to get back to his strength, which is passing the ball.

Murray over 12.5 points (-118): How about a pick for the early game?

Murray, much like Haliburton, has a tough matchup, but this number is too low for me to pass on.

If we look at the past 16 games, Murray has been very reliable as a scorer:

14.8 PPG
12-4 against this line

The Orlando Magic are very good defensively, allowing the fewest points per game in the NBA (106.0).

But Murray recently had 28 points against the Thunder, arguably the best defensive team in the league, so I’m not worried about the matchup.

NBA prop picks made at 11:43 a.m. ET on 03/29/2025.