Category: NBA

Toronto Raptors 2024-2025 futures odds and best bet: Expect Raps to improve, top win total

Toronto Raptors futures odds

There’s nowhere to go but up for the Toronto Raptors this season.

After a disastrous 25-win campaign, Toronto runs it back with a young core and a clear path moving forward. Led by Scottie Barnes, I’m bullish on the Raptors improving and topping their modest win total.

Check out our Raptors futures odds for the 2024-25 NBA season.

Raptors futures odds

For a full list of Raptors futures: Click here

Best bet: Over 30.5 wins (+100)

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Toronto is coming off its worst campaign since 2011-2012 but I predict better results this year.

In the season before the Raptors drafted Barnes fourth overall, they won 27 games due to dysfunction in the lineup and a lack of direction after winning an NBA title and Kawhi Leonard’s departure.

Last season’s team mirrored that lack of direction for different reasons.

Eventually, the front office decided to go young and moved Pascal Siakam and OG Annunoby for RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley and other assets.

In their stints with the Raps, both midseason pickups showed promise.

Barrett averaged 21.8 points on 55.3% shooting from the field and 39.2% from three. The Canadian appears to be comfortable on home soil and lived up to the promise that made him a third overall pick out of Duke in 2019.

If he can build off the 32-game stretch he had with Toronto, Barrett could quickly turn into a real asset.

Quickley, meanwhile, looked like a future all-star at times, averaging 18.6 points and 6.8 assists on 39.5% from 3-point range.

Then, of course, there’s Barnes, who took another leap last year.

Barnes averaged 19.9 points, 8.2 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 1.3 steals and 1.5 blocks with a career-high 56.6 true shooting percentage.

He’s already an elite defender and playmaker for his size. His lack of a weakness makes him a strong contributor to winning basketball games.

While Barnes missed 22 games last year with a hand injury, he played 70-plus games in his other two seasons.

I feel confident a full season with this core is good for more than a modest 30.5 wins.

Playoff odds

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Am I confident the Raptors will make the playoffs? Not necessarily, but there’s value there for those looking for a plus-money future.

On top of the improving core, Toronto added an array of tough defenders through trade and the draft.

This is the deepest the bench has been in a few years. Moving forward, it’s hard to see the odds getting much juicier than this.

Don’t be surprised if the Raptors sneak into a play-in spot over a declining team like the Chicago Bulls. The path from there is much easier to make the playoffs.

Other Raptors markets

While the Raptors are far from a contender, you can still bet on them to surprise.

Raptors to win the Atlantic:

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Raptors to win the East:

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Raptors to win the NBA Finals:

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From a player standpoint, there are more intriguing options.

One of them is Barnes to win Most Improved Player.

Philadelphia 76ers guard Tyrese Maxey took a big leap from his third to fourth year in the league to win last season’s award, something Barnes will look to replicate.

Barnes has the seventh-shortest odds in a market that’s led by betting favourite Victor Wembanyama.

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NBA odds as of 1:43 p.m. on 10/17/24.

The 5 best NBA futures bets for the 2024-25 season: Predictions on team win totals, player props and more

NBA futures

NBA opening night is just around the corner, so let’s dive into some futures bets.

The latest: No one came close to touching the Boston Celtics last season and they’re primed for another dominant run. I’m backing the defending champs to top the East alongside two win total picks and individual awards bets on Jonathan Kuminga and Victor Wembanyama.

Check out the best NBA futures bets to place ahead of the new season.

NBA futures

Best bet: Celtics to earn No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference (-125)

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Boston finished 14 wins clear of the New York Knicks last year for the East’s top seed … 14!

I understand winning at a 78% clip isn’t sustainable and New York made some big offseason splashes, but come on. How much regression can we really expect?

The Celtics’ core remains completely intact. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown form one of the best one-two combos in the league while Derrick White and Jrue Holiday were good enough to make the U.S. Olympic team.

Kristaps Porzingis is a beast (when healthy) and the roster is loaded with useful depth players.

Realistically, only a few teams — including the Knicks — can challenge Boston for the East’s top spot. The Milwaukee Bucks are in that category, but I cannot trust that team with Doc Rivers at the helm. Another is the Cleveland Cavaliers, but they haven’t finished higher than fourth in the J.B. Bickerstaff era.

Boston’s net rating (+11.7) was more than double that of any other Eastern Conference team. Simply put: Don’t bet against these guys.

Best win total bets

Suns over 46.5 wins (-130): Can the Suns stay healthy? Because if they can, they should blow by this total.

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Granted, that’s a big “if.”

Kevin Durant and Devin Booker played 75 and 68 games, respectively, last year. That’s a lot for star-calibre players in the modern NBA. Bradley Beal — the third piece of Phoenix’s “Big Three” — only played in 53 games.

Even with some injury misfortune, the Suns managed 49 wins.

Durant and Booker are still one of the most efficient scoring duos in the NBA, and that’s something I’m happy to bet on. A coaching change also inspires some confidence. Frank Vogel was fired after an embarrassing sweep in the first round of the playoffs and was replaced by Mike Budenholzer.

Coach Bud cleared this total in four of his final five seasons with the Milwaukee Bucks.

Raptors under 30.5 wins (-132): The Raptors are going to be awful, full stop.

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This is a team focused on the draft lottery and not the play-in, which would be the ceiling if literally everything broke Toronto’s way.

Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley and RJ Barrett are all solid players but depth doesn’t exist north of the border. Outside of those three players and Jakob Poeltl, nobody on the Raptors’ current roster averaged more than 10.0 PPG last season.

Toronto lost 15 straight games last season and ended with just 25 wins. The Raps play in the same division as the Celtics, Knicks and Philadelphia 76ers, which won’t help.

NBA futures: Top player props

Kuminga to win Most Improved Player (+1,000)

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Last year, I backed Tyrese Maxey to win the NBA’s MIP at 14-to-1. It cashed. Sorry, I just had to do a little victory lap there.

I’m going back to that market again with Jonathan Kuminga.

The Golden State forward took a massive leap in his third year, averaging 16.1 points per game on 52.9% shooting. Mind you, he only played 26.4 minutes a night and was somehow getting benched in favour of Draymond Green.

I really can’t see that happening again, especially with Klay Thompson out of the picture.

The Warriors are going to need secondary scoring badly, and Kuminga is the guy to deliver. Playing with Steph Curry should help his case.

Wembanyama to record a 50-point game (+150)

I thought long and hard about recommending Wembanyama to win the Defensive Player of the Year at -200 but can’t get behind that price.

So let’s look at his offensive abilities, instead.

The 2023 No. 1 pick is borderline unguardable and averaged 21.4 points per game in his rookie season (while only playing 29.7 minutes a night). He scored 30-plus points 11 times and had 40 points once — against the defensively sound New York Knicks.

A 50-burger used to mean something in the NBA but not anymore.

There were 20 instances of players hitting the 50-point milestone last season, with guys like Malachi Flynn and Zach LaVine getting into the mix.

In my mind, this isn’t a matter of “if” for Wemby. It’s a matter of “when.”

NBA futures picks made at 2:40 p.m. ET on 10/14/24.

NBA opening night odds, Oct. 22: Boston hosts New York, Minnesota visits LeBron James and the Lakers

NBA odds

NBA opening night provides two exciting matchups.

The latest: The New York Knicks start the season with a game against the reigning champs, the Boston Celtics. Later on, the new-look Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Los Angeles Lakers.

Check out the latest NBA odds for Tuesday, Oct 22.

NBA opening night odds

Full NBA betting markets: Click here

New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics

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Things couldn’t have gone better for the Celtics last season. They finished with the NBA’s best record and won the NBA Championship. It was the first of what fans hope is many for the core of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown.

New York is trying to catch up with Boston and made a big move this offseason to do so. The front office acquired talented two-way forward Mikal Bridges, pairing him with fellow Villanova alumni Jalen Brunson.

Then the Knicks went out and traded Julius Randle and other assets for Karl Anthony Towns.

Boston is the rightful five-point favourite here but watch out for New York to take another leap this season after an eventful offseason.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers

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For better or for worse, the story headlining opening night for the Lakers will revolve around the James family as Bronny is rumoured to make his NBA debut earlier than most expected.

LeBron will be the oldest player in the NBA this season and he’s still among the elite. James led the USA Olympic Team to a gold medal this summer and was undoubtedly their best player.

Minnesota made headlines recently, too, with the aforementioned trade of Towns. Some argue the Wolves got better by completely turning the keys over the Anthony Edwards and adding better role players.

With all the question marks on both sides, this is surely to be exciting game to open the season.

Bronny James futures odds for 2024-25 NBA season: Points, 3-pointers and other statistical milestones

Bronny James futures odds for 2024-25 NBA season

The highly anticipated rookie season of Bronny James is right around the corner.

The latest: All eyes have been on LeBron James’ son since he was drafted with the 55th pick by the Los Angeles Lakers. Bronny played one collegiate season at USC before making the jump to the pro ranks.

Check out the latest futures odds for Bronny James for the 2024-25 NBA season.

Bronny James futures odds

James has been packing out Summer League games in Las Vegas. That is great to see after his health scare that happened nearly a year ago.

The 19-year-old suffered a cardiac arrest last summer in preparation for his freshman season at USC, causing him to miss the start of the season.

James would go on to average 4.8 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 2.1 assists across 25 games for the Trojans in 2023-24. He then declared for the draft and was selected late in the second round by the Lakers.

Bronny James futures odds: Points

MarketOdds
To score 20 points in any regular season game+800
To score 25 points in any regular season game+2,000
To score 30 points in any regular season game+6,000

These totals seem lofty for a late second-round pick, but with the way basketball is played nowadays, it isn’t impossible. These totals are doable in the fast-paced nature of the modern NBA as long as the rookie gets a solid run.

With a new coach in the fold in JJ Redick, spots are up for grabs in the rotation. If Bronny can prove he belongs on an NBA floor, he’ll likely have chances to score in bunches.

James’ 3-point milestone odds

FutureOdds
To make four 3-point field goals in any regular season game+500
To make five 3-point field goals in any regular season game+1,000

The 19-year-old fits into the three-and-d archetype. As with his points props, he’ll first need to earn playing time for these totals to be attainable.

Regardless of how much run he gets, it’s difficult to imagine James being the one creating offence with the ball in his hands regularly. He should, however, be in position for a ton of catch-and-shoot threes.

James only shot 27% from distance in college, which means opponents may leave him open to let it fly. Bronny’s jumper will need improvement throughout the summer and across the season, and who better to learn from than a former 3-point specialist in Redick?

Other milestone odds

FutureOdds
To record 10 assists in any regular season game+4,000
To record a double-double in any regular season game+4,000
To record a triple-double in any regular season game+25,000

These are the least likely milestones for James to hit, which makes perfect sense.

Double-doubles and triple-doubles are uncommon milestones for most rookies — especially ones selected well after the lottery picks.

If Bronny was a big man, it might be a different story. But at 6-foot-2, he’s a bit undersized even for a guard.

As for the 10-assist achievement, that will be a starkly uphill climb for a player who won’t be pulling the strings for the Lakers’ offence.

NBA odds as of 3:30 p.m. on 07/16/24.

USA vs. France Olympic men’s basketball props: Back LeBron James in the gold medal game

USA vs. France props

Team USA is a huge favourite over France in the gold-medal game and I expect its most decorated player to shine.

The pregame narrative: LeBron James is on the cusp of a third gold medal. He’s led the United States in assists this tournament and is a good bet to clear his total on Saturday. I’m also fading Bam Adebayo’s rebound total.

Check out our USA vs. France props for the Olympic men’s basketball gold medal game on Aug. 10.

USA vs. France props

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

USA vs. France propsOddsBet now ⬇️
James over 8.5 assists-112Add to betslip
Adebayo under 4.5 rebounds-143Add to betslip

Go to full USA/France betting markets

Best Bet: James over 8.5 assists (-112)

LeBron is still the gold standard, even at 39 years old.

The veteran put up a 16-point triple-double to help the United States escape disaster against Serbia in the semifinal. He played a team-high 32 minutes and was instrumental in engineering the team’s 13-point fourth-quarter comeback.

In the quarterfinals, LeBron also cleared this line with nine assists agianst Brazil. And that was in a blowout where he played just 17 minutes.

France has the home crowd at its back and some supremely talented players. I expect this game to be closer than the 17-point spread indicates.

That means the King should be playing closer to 30 minutes than 20 and that means he’ll have plenty of opportunities to dish out helpers to his all-star studded cast.

LeBron is tied with Nikola Jokic for the most assists per game this tournament (8.2). He’s cleared this mark in three of five games and is primed to do that again.

Key stat: LeBron’s 8.3 assists per game was the fourth-best mark in the NBA last year.

Other picks

Adebayo under 4.5 rebounds (-143): You’re going to have to pay some juice on this line but I believe this is worth it.

Adebayo is a solid player but there are simply too many cooks in Steve Kerr’s kitchen.

Anthony Davis has been having a fantastic tournament defensively and Joel Embiid just had a monster game to close out Serbia. Getting those two minutes should be Kerr’s priority and that leaves Adebayo as the odd man out.

The Miami Heat centre played 10 minutes in the semifinal and logged just one counting stat (an assist) in his cardio game.

Picks made at 3:00 p.m. ET on 08/09/2024.

Germany vs. Serbia Olympics men’s bronze medal basketball odds and best bet: Fade offence and take the under

Germany vs. Serbia best bet

Germany and Serbia have a chance to walk away from the Olympics with a medal as the nations battle for bronze.

The pregame narrative: Serbia pushed Team USA to its limits but lost in the end and now opens as the favourite over Germany in the bronze medal game. The Germans are the best defensive team in the tournament and the under on the game total is my best bet.

Check out our Germany vs. Serbia odds and best bet for the Aug. 10 bronze medal game.

Germany vs. Serbia odds

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

Germany vs. Serbia marketsBetting odds
Germany moneyline+118
Serbia moneyline-143
Germany +2.5-109
Serbia -2.5-112
Over 169.5 points-110
Under 169.5 points-110

Go to full Germany vs. Serbia betting markets.

Best Bet: Under 169.5 points (-110)

Serbia is a good offensive team but I think the size and strong defence of the Germans will prevail here.

Germany has held opponents to 71.4 points per game thus far. That’s well under half the total that would be needed to beat this number.

That includes holding French star Victor Wembanyama to 11 points of 4-of-17 shooting in the semis. The 7-foot-4 big man settled for eight 3-point attempts and made one.

The team is active on the defensive end and plays at a slow pace on offence. That limits opportunities for points for both sides.

For example, Germany scored just 76 points against Greece in the quarterfinals despite shooting a very respectable 47.5% from the field and 31.0% from three.

Serbia scored 90 points against the States but took 71 shots. That’s just under 12 more than Germany’s opponents have averaged through five games against its defence (59.6).

In the end, the Germans will dictate approximately half the possessions in this ball game. If they slow it down to their standard pace, this should be a low-scoring contest.

Key stat: Germany’s games have had an average of 139.8 points scored.

Pick as of 2:30 p.m. ET on 08/09/2024.

USA vs. France Olympics men’s gold medal basketball odds and best bet: Back the underdogs ATS

USA vs. France best bet

After surviving a huge scare in the semifinals, Team USA is heavily favoured over host nation France in the Olympic men’s basketball tournament gold medal match.

The pregame narrative: Facing a 13-point deficit in the fourth quarter, the U.S. surged back for a dramatic win over Serbia. The Americans are 17-point favourites over Victor Wembanyama and France, who upset Canada and Germany to get here.

Check out our USA vs. France odds and best bet for the gold medal game on Aug. 10.

USA vs. France odds

France vs. Canada marketsBetting odds
France moneyline+900
USA moneyline-2,000
France +17-113
USA -17-108
Over 176.5 points-110
Under 176.5 points-110

Go to full USA vs. France betting markets.

Best Bet: France +17 (-113)

Serbia had an almost literally golden opportunity to dethrone Team USA in the semifinals, but a total meltdown in the bright lights of crunch time quashed that hope.

Do I think that game can wake up the Americans a bit? Similar to how some uneasy results in pre-tournament play led to a dominant run through the quarterfinals? For sure.

But I also know that France will have a raucous home crowd behind it. I’m not calling for an upset here, but France should hang a little closer than this.

Look at what France did as an 8-point underdog against Canada and as a 5-point underdog against Germany. Victor Wembanyama was atrocious as a scorer in both games and it didn’t matter.

Wemby shot a combined 6-for-27 (and 1-for-14 from 3-point range) in those matchups.

But teammates like Isaia Cordinier (6-for-10 from 3-point range) and Guerschon Yabusele (39 points) picked up the slack to help beat a pair of deeply talented teams.

Now just imagine if Wembanyama turns in a better performance.

Either way, I don’t think playing the what-if game is necessary. France has found other avenues to score, and Wemby provides elite value as a defender regardless of what he’s doing on the offensive end.

The USA has coasted to victory in most of its games. But the gold medal match should be more competitive than the spread indicates.

Key stat: France has covered this spread in all 13 international games it’s played in 2024.

Pick as of 1:40 p.m. ET on 08/09/2024.

Nikola Jokic Olympics props for Serbia vs. Germany: Bronze medal men’s basketball odds and best bet

Jokic Olympics props

Nikola Jokic leads Serbia into the bronze medal game in the final days of the Paris Olympics.

The pregame narrative: Serbia led in its semifinal game against the USA for most of the contest but ultimately fell short in the final minutes and will now play for bronze. I’m predicting the offence to once again run through Jokic and taking the over on his assist prop as my best bet.

Check out these Jokic Olympics props for the Aug. 10 bronze medal game between Serbia and Germany.

Jokic Olympics props vs. Germany

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

Jokic marketsBetting odds
Over 20.5 points-118
Under 20.5 points-118
Over 10.5 rebounds-118
Under 10.5 rebounds-118
Over 7.5 assists-139
Under 7.5 assists+100
Over 1.5 blocks+165
Over 3.5 steals/blocks+100
Over 38.5 points/rebounds/assists-139
Under 38.5 points/rebounds/assists+100
To record a double-double-250
To record a triple-double+400

Go to full Serbia vs. Germany betting markets.

Best Jokic prop bet

Best bet: Over 7.5 assists (-139)

Jokic was the focal point of Serbia’s offence in its close game with the USA. The Serbian star didn’t necessarily fill up the bucket with 17 points but he created for others and recorded 11 assists.

The US fields one of the bigger rosters at the Olympics and Joel Embiid was able to lead the charge in defending Jokic — but his required attention led to chances for others.

Germany is another team in this tournament that has some size. In the semis against France, the German defence held Victor Wembanyama to 11 points on 4-of-17 shooting. The big man did, however, lead his team in assists with four.

Jokic is a true unicorn who exploits anything the defence leaves him. I predict Germany to put more effort into slowing down the NBA MVP which will force him to lean into his tremendous passing ability.

The Serbian star is averaging 8.2 assists per game at the Olympics. That average is weighed down by his four-assist outlier performance against South Sudan.

He didn’t play a full workload in many of those games either. For example, he dished out nine helpers in 23 minutes in his game against Puerto Rico.

If Serbia wants to come away with a medal, Jokic needs to be on the floor as much as possible.

The elevated minutes should give him ample opportunity to rack up assists.

Key stat: Jokic has dished out eight-plus assists in all but one game at the Olympics.

Pick as of 10:55 a.m. ET on 08/09/2024.

Victor Wembanyama Olympics props for France vs. USA: Gold medal men’s basketball odds and best bet

Victor Wembanyama props

Victor Wembanyama and France are one win away from gold.

The pregame narrative: France pulled off back-to-back upsets over Canada and Germany and now faces its toughest test in the star-studded United States. Wembanyama will need to completely take over to lead his country to victory as 17-point underdogs.

Check out these Victor Wembanyama props for the Aug. 10 gold medal game between France and USA.

Victor Wembanyama props vs. USA

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

Wembanyama marketsBetting odds
Over 15.5 points-118
Under 15.5 points-118
Over 9.5 rebounds-125
Under 9.5 rebounds-112
Over 3.5 assists-139
Under 3.5 assists+100
Over 2.5 blocks+165
Over 3.5 steals/blocks-118
Over 28.5 points/rebounds/assists-139
Under 28.5 points/rebounds/assists+100
To record a double-double — Yes-155
To record a double-double — No+110

Go to full France vs. USA betting markets.

Best Wembanyama prop bet

Best bet: Under 15.5 points (-118)

This is a line Wembanyama routinely blew by in his rookie NBA season, but I think it’s far too high against Team USA.

The 7-foot-4 phenom has looked his age in France’s last two matchups.

He scored seven points on 2-of-10 shooting against Canada and followed that up with 11 points on 4-of-17 shooting against Germany.

You could argue that he should go over this line if he keeps the volume up. But the Americans are loaded with show-stopping defenders like Anthony Davis and Bam Adebayo.

Wembanyama is going to be the focal point of Steve Kerr’s defensive game plan and I expect him to be double-teamed at all times.

That should open up shots for the rest of France’s team, which makes the over on his 3.5 assist total (-139) another intriguing option.

If other French players are open, so be it. But I would be shocked to see the USA give Wembanyama any easy, uncontested looks.

Key stat: Wembanyama has gone under this total in three straight games.

Pick as of 10:55 a.m. ET on 08/09/2024.

How to bet on the Raptors: Point spreads, totals and player props

How to bet on the Raptors

Have you ever wondered how to bet on the Toronto Raptors? If the answer to that question is yes, you’ve come to the right place

The good thing for those new to the betting space is that it doesn’t matter whether the Raptors are playing at their championship level from 2019 or as poorly as they were during the dark days of the Kevin O’Neill era. There are betting options every time they take the court.

-> New to NBA wagering? Sign up at NorthStar Bets to get the latest odds, insights and betting tools throughout the season.

-> New to NBA wagering? Sign up at NorthStar Bets to get the latest odds, insights and betting tools throughout the season.

Many markets, thanks to player props, don’t even require you to pick them to win or lose. Let’s dive in and check out the ways you can wager on Canada’s favourite team. 

How to bet on the Raptors

You will have a wide range of betting markets to choose from any time the Raptors play. Deciding what to wager on comes down to a number of factors every night — the opponent, the location, trends, the health of the roster, and so on — but you won’t be short on options. 

We’ll take a look at the common markets that sportsbooks make available and offer strategies on how to find the best value when betting on the Raptors.

-> Before you get started, create your NorthStar Bets account to explore live odds and daily NBA markets.

-> Before you get started, create your NorthStar Bets account to explore live odds and daily NBA markets.

How to bet on the Raptors moneyline

If you’ve decided that you believe the Raptors will beat their opponent then you have a couple of options on how to make that bet. You can wager on the Raptors to win the game outright, which would simply require them to defeat the other team. That’s known as a moneyline bet.

How much the Raptors won by or if they required overtime to secure the victory wouldn’t matter.

Sportsbooks will either list the Raptors as a favourite or underdog for any game they play. This is universal across all the major sports. The favourite will have a minus (-) sign before its odds, while the underdog will come with a plus (+) marker. 

-> Want to see current NBA moneyline prices? Check the latest at NorthStar Bets

-> Want to see current NBA moneyline prices? Check the latest at NorthStar Bets

Against an elite team, like the Golden State Warriors, the Raptors would be large underdogs. But at home against the Charlotte Hornets, Toronto would surely be a sizeable favourite. At home against the Atlanta Hawks, the line would likely be fairly even. 

Here’s an example of how those odds would be presented:

Warriors (-370) vs. Raptors (+255)
Hornets (+190) vs. Raptors (-175)
Hawks (+120) vs. Raptors (-125)

Those odds tell you what your potential earnings would be if you won your bet and the implied probability of each team’s chances of winning that contest. Both of those things are important when determining which team to bet on. Let’s take a look at what that would mean if you backed the Raptors for those bets.

OddsWagerWinProbability
-125$125$10055.56%
-175$175$10063.64%
+255$100$25528.17%

For reasons such as Stephen Curry, we wouldn’t recommend taking the Raptors on the moneyline against Golden State. 

While a more difficult matchup than the Hornets game, the return on investment is noticeably greater for that Hawks contest. To win $100, you have to wager $50 more for that Charlotte game compared to Atlanta.

As for the Hornets, taking a team at -175 on the moneyline isn’t the most ideal way to bet on this contest. But that brings us to our next section, which is how to bet the Raptors on the point spread. 

Point spread

The point spread is another way you can bet on a team to win. The difference between betting on the spread and the moneyline is that the team you pick to win has to do it by a certain amount of points. A team can also lose outright, but win on a spread pick if the margin of defeat is within a certain amount of points. 

Let’s stick with our Raptors and Hornets example to better illustrate the spread and why it would be a better play than the moneyline in this particular instance. 

On the ML (short for moneyline), we see the Raptors are a -175 favourite. But on a point spread, in which they might be favoured to cover 6.5 points, their odds would change since there is a greater degree of difficulty in beating a team by seven points (which would be needed with a 6.5-point spread) than a single point. 

The point spread is often the better bet for teams that are heavy favourites on the moneyline. Photo by Mary Altaffer/AP.

Most spreads have the same odds, typically set at -110. So the line would look like this: 

Raptors -6.5 (-110)
Hornets +6.5 (-110)

If you picked the Raptors on the spread, you would win your ticket if they won by seven or more points. Let’s say you picked the Hornets, they could lose by six points or fewer or win the game, and you would cash your bet. 

-> Ready to try spread betting? Join NorthStar Bets and explore live, moving lines daily.

-> Ready to try spread betting? Join NorthStar Bets and explore live, moving lines daily.

Point spread vs. moneyline

Taking the Raptors against a struggling Hornets team on the spread at -110 odds would be a better bet than getting them at -175 on the ML. 

How did we come to that conclusion? For starters, the Raptors are the better team and playing at home. We’ve decided we think their chances of winning the game are higher than Charlotte’s, and so did the sportsbook that we used for our example based on that 63-plus percent probability of winning. 

With that established, we want to determine where the best value is. For us, that’s taking the Raptors on the spread because it’s not a foregone conclusion that they would win this game, and if we’re backing them to win we want to avoid the amount of juice (commission the sportsbook gets for taking the bet) we are paying.

With that said, we don’t believe a 6.5-point spread is too difficult for them to cover in this matchup and it would also produce a greater return on investment. 

It’s important to find the value and not blindly back favourites. Photo by Frank Gunn/CP

We know that it would take a $175 wager to win $100 at -175 odds on the moneyline. For the point spread bet, you would need to spend $110 to win $100. Put another way, you would make more than $30 extra on the spread versus the ML for every $100 spent. 

You can also wager on alternative spreads. That 5.5 number was the main spread, but sportsbooks will give you the option to bet at different numbers in either direction (say 4.5, 7.5, etc). The -110 odds would change as a result. 

When looking at spreads and totals, make sure to check how each team fares in those categories. Many sites track a team’s record against the spread (ATS) and how often they go over or under the point total set by the operator. These can be useful tools when determining which side to place your bet on. 

Speaking of the over/under, we will now take a look at how to bet on Raptors totals.

Totals

Let’s stay with the Raptors and Hornets example. Generally speaking, most sportsbooks set the total of an NBA game somewhere between 200-230 points. That’s the total number of combined points between the two teams. You’d be able to choose whether you think the teams will go over or under that number. 

You will see totals referred to as the over/under and O/U. They all mean the same thing.

The O/U for this matchup might be listed at 217.5. Both options are typically set at -110 odds, like the spread. If you want to bet on this market, then you have the option to select the over, which would require the teams to combine for 218 points or more, or take the under. You would cash your bet if they scored 217 points or fewer. 

-> Compare totals across every NBA matchup when you sign up for NorthStar Bets

-> Compare totals across every NBA matchup when you sign up for NorthStar Bets

How the teams fare offensively and defensively and who’s available for the matchup are certain things you will want to research before making your decision. 

You can also bet on a team’s total as well. A team total would be set lower since it doesn’t account for the opponent’s production.

If you’re confident the Raptors are going to put up a lot of points but aren’t as sure about how much the Hornets will contribute, you may find betting the over on the team total is a better option for you. This might be a number of around 110.5.

Like the spread, you can bet on alternative game totals as well. 

How to bet Raptors props

Props are another way to bet and involve wagering on certain game or individual outcomes that have nothing to do with the winner or loser of the contest. 

You could make a bet that is isolated to the beginning of the game and pick the team that will score 15 points first or wager the over/under on how many points Scottie Barnes will score.

There are many options, but in this section, we will focus on player props.

Most sportsbooks have a number of different prop offerings, including markets on a player’s point, rebound, and assist totals. The 3-point market is also popular. These props give the bettor the option to wager on the O/U number that is established by the sportsbook. 

There are a number of player prop bets you can make on Toronto stars like RJ Barrett. Photo by Frank Gunn/CP.

Going back to Barnes, his points prop might be listed at 21.5, giving you the option to take the over or under. A lesser scorer, such as Gradey Dick, might see his point prop set at 12.5. 

Assist, rebound, and 3-point props follow the same format. Many sportsbooks will also give the option to wager on a player’s total combined point, rebound, and assist numbers or a combination of the two. Barnes’ point + rebound + assist prop would be set at something like 36.5 and you’d be able to wager on either side.

-> Check out the latest player props every day at NorthStar Betsfrom betting triple-doubles to points and more

-> Check out the latest player props every day at NorthStar Bets – from betting triple-doubles to points and more

The over/under odds are sometimes in the same range, but they will often shade to one side as well. That means the sportsbook, for example, may set an over at -140 (believing it’s the more likely outcome) and the under at +120. 

Specials

You’ll be given the option to bet on certain specials that may be geared around one player or feature multiple outcomes that essentially make it a pre-built parlay. 

For instance, in addition to betting the over/under on Barnes’ 21.5 points prop, a sportsbook could also give you the option of placing a wager on him scoring 30-plus points at say +250. 

You may also see a special that combines the game outcome, team total, and a player’s point total. It could look like this:

Raptors to win, over 217.5 points, Barnes to score 20-plus points (+185). 

-> Build your own NBA same-game parlay when you join NorthStar Bets

-> Build your own NBA same-game parlay when you join NorthStar Bets

You might be inclined to make this wager because you’ve decided you’re confident that the Raps will win, combine with Orlando to hit the over on the total, and that Barnes is a good bet to score 20 or more points. Certain sportsbooks will present you with different combinations or allow you to build your own (known as a same-game parlay). 

But remember: You would need all three of those outcomes to be correct in order to win and it’s more difficult to win that sort of ticket compared to a single-event wager. 

There are many more ways to bet on the Raptors. Parlays, futures and live betting are all among the additional popular betting markets.

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-> Ready to put your NBA knowledge to use ? Sign up for NorthStar Bets to access live odds, props, parlays and exclusive Canadian Insights all season long

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