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Dolphins vs. Rams Week 10 MNF best bets and odds: Expect Stafford to lead Los Angeles to a win

The Miami Dolphins head west for a meeting with the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night football.

The pregame narrative: L.A. has its offensive playmakers back and I’m expecting the Rams to continue to roll with another win at home. The over on Matthew Stafford’s passing prop is also a good bet with his receivers healthy.

Check out my Dolphins vs. Rams best bets for Monday Night Football on Nov. 11.

Dolphins vs. Rams best bets

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Best Bet: Rams -1 (-113)

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I backed the Rams in this week’s ATS picks but I have a chance to elaborate further.

To start, Los Angeles is 8-2 in its last 10 games with both Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp active and it is understandable why.

Both are among the elite receivers in football and Kyren Williams has turned into one of the more consistently good running backs in the league.

Since getting their star pass catchers back, the Rams are 2-0 with big wins over the Seattle Seahawks and Minnesota Vikings.

Miami started the season as a strong defensive team but the cracks are starting to form. It’s allowed an average of 28.5 points over the last two weeks.

Tua Tagovailoa has returned but things haven’t gotten better for the 2-6 Dolphins. They are 0-2 since he returned and although the offence has improved, the injury-riddled defence is struggling to contain opponents.

Key stat: The Rams are 3-1 at home while the Dolphins are 1-3 on the road.

Quick pick

Stafford over 248.5 passing yards (-113): Stafford is celebrating his receivers coming back by slinging the football.

The Rams’ quarterback attempted 78 passes across the last two weeks while completing 50 of them for 577 yards, easily clearing this line in both contests.

Miami has been good for most of the season at containing QBs as they allow the fourth-fewest passing yards per game (183.1)

However, as mentioned before, there are cracks in the foundation and Kyler Murray and Josh Allen combined to average 270 yards against Miami across the last two weeks.

I don’t know if there is an offensive core that offers more than the Rams when fully healthy and I predict Stafford to continue being the top beneficiary.

Picks made at 3:08 p.m. ET 11/09/2024.

Bills vs. Colts Week 10 same-game parlay predictions: Take the over on the game total, Jonathan Taylor rushing line in +310 ticket

The Buffalo Bills continue to roll into a matchup with the Indianapolis Colts.

The pregame narrative: Both sides can put up points and I’d rather back the over on a teased-down game total than pick a winner. I’m adding in Jonathan Taylor and Dalton Kincaid props to create an SGP for this Sunday afternoon clash.

Check out my BIlls vs. Colts same-game parlay predictions for Week 10 below.

Bills vs. Colts same-game parlay predictions

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Parlay: Over 40.5 points + Taylor over 74.5 rushing yards + Kincaid over 4.5 receptions (+310)

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Over 40.5 points (-250): To start, Buffalo has gone over this total in every game this season so it’s safe to assume its offence will be there. There are also a few holes in the Bills’ defence for the Colts to exploit.

Here are some of Buffalo’s defensive stats this season on a per-game average:

19.2 points against (eighth-fewest)
348.7 yards against (16th-most)
40.4% third down conversion rate (12th-highest)

The Bills are a great team but its defence isn’t elite by any means. That is the reason opposing teams have been able to do their part for the overs.

Indianapolis allows the third most yards per game (400.3) so it also wouldn’t be shocking if the Bills covered most of this total on their own.

Other parlay picks

Taylor over 74.5 rushing yards (-134): One player who I’m confident in against the Bills’ defence is Taylor.

The star running back averages 83.7 ground yards per game. He’s rumbling right now, clearing this line in five of his past six outings.

Taylor missed this mark against the Minnesota Vikings last week but they are the NFL’s second-best team against the run (81.9 rushing yards per game).

He averages 4.8 yards per carry and the Colts should lean on his talent throughout this game.

Kincaid over 4.5 receptions (-112): Indianapolis allows consistent production to tight ends and the Bills may be without two top receivers.

Keon Coleman has already been ruled out and Amari Cooper is questionable which means he’s banged up at the very least.

That opens the door for Kincaid. The Colts allow the third-most receptions to tight ends per game (6.33), per CBS Sports, and Josh Allen is playing at an elite level.

Kincaid hasn’t had much success against this line, only clearing it twice, but this is a pick based on prediction and I like the tight end’s chances of having a great game.

Picks made at 1:17 p.m. on 11/09/24.

NHL best bets Nov. 9: Fade the Oilers against the Canucks, bet on offence in Rangers vs. Red Wings

Tonight’s NHL schedule is loaded with 12 games and I’m sharing my best bet plus an additional pick on a game total.

The pregame narrative: The Edmonton Oilers are back at full strength but I still can’t get behind them against the streaking Vancouver Canucks. I also like the New York Rangers and Detroit Red Wings game to go over 6.5 goals.

Find my NHL best bets for Nov. 9 below.

NHL best bets

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Best Bet: Canucks moneyline (-106)

Connor McDavid has returned for the Oilers but they’ve been bad with and without their captain this season.

Edmonton has the best player in the world but its West Coast rival has put together one of the better rosters in the NHL.

The Canucks have also been blessed with Kevin Lankinen while Thatcher Demko recovers from injury. The Finnish goalie has a .923 SV% and 2.08 GAA to pair with a 7-0-2 record.

Overall, Vancouver is a great defensive team, allowing the fifth-fewest shots (26.9) and eighth-fewest goals (2.92) per game.

On the other side, the Oilers can’t find the offensive chemistry that carried them to the Stanley Cup Final last season. Edmonton scores the third-fewest goals per game (2.36).

Eventually, the offence will get going and improve on its league-worst 7.1 shooting percentage but I can’t see it turning around on the road against the red-hot Canucks.

Key stat: Vancouver is 7-1-1 in its last nine games.

Quick pick

Rangers/Red Wings over 6.5 goals (-134): New York’s offence has slowed down since starting the season on a tear but this is a great matchup to pot some goals.

The Red Wings allow the third most shots against per game (32.6) and turn to Ville Husso in net tonight which hasn’t gone well.

Husso made one start this season and allowed four goals on 14 shots to the Pittsburgh Penguins in a game that ended 6-3. He’s the third-string goalie but an injury to Alex Lyon has forced Detroit’s hand.

The Rangers turn to Jonathan Quick who’s been great in his transition to a backup goalie. But he’s not as impactful as Igor Shesterkin which gives me confidence the Red Wings can have their own success on offence.

NHL best bets made at 11:19 a.m. ET 11/09/2024.

NHL best bets Nov. 9: Fade the Oilers against the Canucks, bet on offence in Rangers vs. Red Wings

Tonight’s NHL schedule is loaded with 12 games and I’m sharing my best bet plus an additional pick on a game total.

The pregame narrative: The Edmonton Oilers are back at full strength but I still can’t get behind them against the streaking Vancouver Canucks. I also like the New York Rangers and Detroit Red Wings game to go over 6.5 goals.

Find my NHL best bets for Nov. 9 below.

NHL best bets

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Best Bet: Canucks moneyline (-104)

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Connor McDavid has returned for the Oilers but they’ve been bad with and without their captain this season.

Edmonton has the best player in the world but its West Coast rival has put together one of the better rosters in the NHL.

The Canucks have also been blessed with Kevin Lankinen while Thatcher Demko recovers from injury. The Finnish goalie has a .923 SV% and 2.08 GAA to pair with a 7-0-2 record.

Overall, Vancouver is a great defensive team, allowing the fifth-fewest shots (26.9) and eighth-fewest goals (2.92) per game.

On the other side, the Oilers can’t find the offensive chemistry that carried them to the Stanley Cup Final last season. Edmonton scores the third-fewest goals per game (2.36).

Eventually, the offence will get going and improve on its league-worst 7.1 shooting percentage but I can’t see it turning around on the road against the red-hot Canucks.

Key stat: Vancouver is 7-1-1 in its last nine games.

Quick pick

Rangers/Red Wings over 6.5 goals (-104): New York’s offence has slowed down since starting the season on a tear but this is a great matchup to pot some goals.

The Red Wings allow the third most shots against per game (32.6) and turn to Ville Husso in net tonight which hasn’t gone well.

Husso made one start this season and allowed four goals on 14 shots to the Pittsburgh Penguins in a game that ended 6-3. He’s the third-string goalie but an injury to Alex Lyon has forced Detroit’s hand.

The Rangers turn to Jonathan Quick who’s been great in his transition to a backup goalie. But he’s not as impactful as Igor Shesterkin which gives me confidence the Red Wings can have their own success on offence.

NHL best bets made at 11:19 a.m. ET 11/09/2024.

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Maple Leafs picks vs. Canadiens Nov. 9: Bet on Toronto to win behind productive night from Marner

The Toronto Maple Leafs play their second game in as many nights against the Montreal Canadiens.

The pregame narrative: The Canadiens are amongst the NHL’s worst defensive teams and I expect Mitch Marner to be productive in Auston Matthews’ absence. Toronto is on a roll right now, as well, so I’m backing them on the puck line at plus money.

Check out our Maple Leafs picks vs. Canadiens for the game on Nov. 9.

Maple Leafs picks vs. Canadiens

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Best Bet: Marner over 2.5 shots (-112)

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Marner can be very hit-or-miss against this line. He has 18 points in 15 games this season but that only includes three goals on 2.6 shots per game.

However, Montreal provides an intriguing matchup for opposing forwards.

The Canadiens allow the sixth most shots per game (31.8) in the NHL and if we remember, the Leafs peppered the Habs with 48 shots despite being shut out, 1-0, earlier this season.

Toronto’s top winger cleared this line with three shots against the Detroit Red Wings yesterday and I believe there will be an uptick tonight.

Key stat: Marner had six shots on opening night vs. the Canadiens.

Quick picks

Leafs -1.5 (+125): Sam Montembeault and the Habs started the season exceptionally well, but it’s gone south since then.

Since Montembeault’s otherworldly performance on opening night, the goalie has come back down to earth and now owns a .892 SV% and 3.46 GAA for the season.

The Quebec native has allowed four or more goals in four of 10 starts this season. He is not the confirmed starter but this is a team problem and not an individual one.

Backup Cayden Primeau hasn’t been any better (.861 SV%, 4.39 GAA) and the Canadiens allow the most goals against per game (4.07) in the league.

Additionally, the Leafs are rolling right now, winning four of their last six games and covering this puck line in each victory.

NHL picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 11/09/24.

NHL best bets Nov. 7: Fade offence in Canucks vs. Kings, expect Panthers to steamroll Predators

Today’s NHL schedule is loaded with 12 games and I got three picks for you.

The pregame narrative: The Florida Panthers host the Nashville Predators on a back-to-back and I like the home team to win comfortably. Elsewhere, I’m fading offence in the Vancouver Canucks and Los Angeles Kings game while backing Nino Niederreiter to score a point.

Find my NHL best bets for Nov. 7 below.

NHL best bets

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Best Bet: Canucks/Kings under 5.5 goals (-106)

These teams are two of the more defensively sound teams in the NHL.

The Canucks allow the fifth-fewest shots (26.8) per game while the Kings allow the third-fewest (25.5). A low amount of shots tonight would limit the scoring chances for both sides.

Additionally, Vancouver’s Kevin Lankinen has been a plus in goal for his team in the absence of Thatcher Demko.

The Finnish goalie ranks 22nd among 71 eligible goalies with 1.5 goals saved above expected, per Money Puck.

Both the Canucks (16.7%) and the Kings (17.0%) have a bottom-12 powerplay which makes it easy to fade offence here.

Key stat: Eight of the last 10 games played between the Canucks and Kings have finished with five or fewer total goals.

Quick picks

Panthers -1.5 (+120): The Predators are on a road back-to-back and things don’t get any easier against Florida.

The Panthers have won five straight games, covering this puck line in each win. They have a victory over the New York Rangers and two against the Dallas Stars in the span.

Florida hasn’t played since Saturday which may be a concern to some but I’d rather back the well-rested Panthers over the struggling Predators on the second half of a road back-to-back.

Nashville had high aspirations coming into this season after having a productive summer but things have yet to click and I can’t picture a turnaround against the reigning Cup champs.

The Preds score the fourth-fewest goals per game (2.38) and allow the seventh-most (3.38). They’ve struggled in the early part of the season with a 4-8-1 record.

Juuse Saros will get the night off after playing in last night’s loss to the Washington Capitals. That leaves Scott Wedgewood and he’s struggled in his two starts, allowing seven goals on 48 shots (.854 SV%).

Florida comes in the better-rested and more talented team which has my giddy to back them on the puck line.

Niederreiter to record a point (+120): I’m going to keep this one short and simple.

The Jets are 12-1-0 and their offence leads the NHL in goals scored per game (4.77).

Niederreiter has contributed 12 points in 13 games and plays on the second power play. That includes scoring at least a point in seven of the last nine games and the Colorado Avalanche provides a juicy matchup.

The Avs concede the most goals per game (4.15) and starting goalie Alexander Georgiev has been awful. He’s allowed a whopping 10.2 goals above expected which unsurprisingly is the worst in the league.

For context, the next closest is Connor Ingram who’s allowed 6.7 goals above expected. Yeah, Georgiev has been that bad.

And considering the other top-six forwards on Colorado all carry -129 odds or wider, I like the value on Niederreiter as plus money.

NHL best bets made at 1:03 p.m. ET 11/07/2024.

NHL best bets Nov. 7: Fade offence in Canucks vs. Kings, expect Panthers to steamroll Predators

Today’s NHL schedule is loaded with 12 games and I got three picks for you.

The pregame narrative: The Florida Panthers host the Nashville Predators on a back-to-back and I like the home team to win comfortably. Elsewhere, I’m fading offence in the Vancouver Canucks and Los Angeles Kings game while backing Nino Niederreiter to score a point.

Find my NHL best bets for Nov. 7 below.

NHL best bets

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Best Bet: Canucks/Kings under 6 goals (-121)

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These teams are two of the more defensively sound teams in the NHL.

The Canucks allow the fifth-fewest shots (26.8) per game while the Kings allow the third-fewest (25.5). A low amount of shots tonight would limit the scoring chances for both sides.

Additionally, Vancouver’s Kevin Lankinen has been a plus in goal for his team in the absence of Thatcher Demko.

The Finnish goalie ranks 22nd among 71 eligible goalies with 1.5 goals saved above expected, per Money Puck.

Both the Canucks (16.7%) and the Kings (17.0%) have a bottom-12 powerplay which makes it easy to fade offence here.

Key stat: Nine of the last 10 games played between the Canucks and Kings have finished with six or fewer total goals.

Quick picks

Panthers -1.5 (+132): The Predators are on a road back-to-back and things don’t get any easier against Florida.

The Panthers have won five straight games, covering this puck line in each win. They have a victory over the New York Rangers and two against the Dallas Stars in the span.

Florida hasn’t played since Saturday which may be a concern to some but I’d rather back the well-rested Panthers over the struggling Predators on the second half of a road back-to-back.

Nashville had high aspirations coming into this season after having a productive summer but things have yet to click and I can’t picture a turnaround against the reigning Cup champs.

The Preds score the fourth-fewest goals per game (2.38) and allow the seventh-most (3.38). They’ve struggled in the early part of the season with a 4-8-1 record.

Juuse Saros will get the night off after playing in last night’s loss to the Washington Capitals. That leaves Scott Wedgewood and he’s struggled in his two starts, allowing seven goals on 48 shots (.854 SV%).

Florida comes in the better-rested and more talented team which has my giddy to back them on the puck line.

Niederreiter to record a point (+128): I’m going to keep this one short and simple.

The Jets are 12-1-0 and their offence leads the NHL in goals scored per game (4.77).

Niederreiter has contributed 12 points in 13 games and plays on the second power play. That includes scoring at least a point in seven of the last nine games and the Colorado Avalanche provides a juicy matchup.

The Avs concede the most goals per game (4.15) and starting goalie Alexander Georgiev has been awful. He’s allowed a whopping 10.2 goals above expected which unsurprisingly is the worst in the league.

For context, the next closest is Connor Ingram who’s allowed 6.7 goals above expected. Yeah, Georgiev has been that bad.

And considering the other top-six forwards on Colorado all carry -129 odds or wider, I like the value on Niederreiter as plus money.

NHL best bets made at 11:39 a.m. ET 11/07/2024.

Bengals vs. Ravens Week 10 same-game parlay predicitions: Expect Flowers, Jackson and Burrow to be productive on Thursday Night Football

The Cincinnati Bengals visit the Baltimore Ravens in an AFC North showdown.

The pregame narrative: The Bengals and Ravens have loads of offensive talent so I’m finding value in three player props. I like Zay Flowers to go over his receiving total along with picks on quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow to round out the +320 ticket.

Check out my Bengals vs. Ravens same-game parlay predictions for Week 10 below.

Bengals vs. Ravens same-game parlay predictions

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Parlay: Flowers over 54.5 receiving yards + Jackson over 233.5 passing yards + Burrow over 269.5 passing yards (+320)

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Flowers over 54.5 receiving yards (-141): The second-year receiver is making his mark as Jackson’s favourite target.

Flowers has topped 100 receiving yards in four of the past five weeks, averaging 72.7 yards per game for the season.

He leads the Ravens in receptions (46) and targets (67) and his 27.7% target share ranks ninth in the NFL, according to Player Profiler.

Fans saw what Flowers could do against the Bengals in Week 5. He caught seven of 12 targets for 111 yards. That kind of volume is something I can get behind.

Other parlay picks

Jackson over 233.5 passing yards (-114): This goes somewhat hand-in-hand with the first leg as Jackson also has a good shot to clear this total.

The Ravens’ QB is having an MVP-calibre season as he’s passed for 280-plus yards in five straight games.

Jackson is third in the league in passing yards (2,379) and has developed into an elite passer to complement his athleticism.

In that Week 5 game against the Bengals, he threw for 348 yards on 42 attempts. However, Jackson doesn’t need that volume to be productive.

Last week, he attempted just 19 passes but still crushed this line, going for 280 passing yards.

Burrow over 269.5 passing yards (-115): As good as the Ravens’ defence is against the run, it can be vulnerable to good passers.

Baltimore allows the least amount of rushing yards (75.7) while also allowing the most passing yards (280.9) per game.

It’s quite the anomaly and Burrow has taken advantage before. In his first meeting with the Ravens, he threw for 392 yards and five touchdowns in a 41-38 loss.

Additionally, four of the last five starting QBs to face Baltimore have cleared this line. Bo Nix fell short last week but still managed to put up 233 yards in a 41-10 blowout loss.

Burrow is several tiers above Nix and he should continue his excellent season on Thursday Night Football.

Picks made at 10:07 a.m. on 11/06/24.

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson boxing odds Nov. 15: Former heavyweight champ is sizeable underdog

Jake Paul and Mike Tyson will step into the ring this fall at AT&T Stadium.

The latest: Paul (10-1) is in the early stages of his boxing career while Tyson (50-6-0-2) hasn’t fought in a sanctioned bout since 2005. This fight was postponed from its original July date and fans are hoping Tyson is still in good enough health to compete next Saturday.

Check out our Paul vs. Tyson odds for their fight on Nov. 15.

Paul vs. Tyson odds

Paul/Tyson betting markets	Betting odds
Paul to win	-250
Tyson to win	+175

Boxing odds as of 2:19 p.m. on 11/11/2024.

Go to full Paul/Tyson betting markets.

“Iron” Mike Tyson is a thing of the past but the 58-year-old still has the name value to sell a big fight.

And that’s what he has coming up against one of boxing’s most popular names.

Tyson’s lone bout since 2005 came against Roy Jones Jr. in 2020. The contest ended in a split draw, although many believed Tyson should have been declared the winner.

This fight was originally billed to take place in July but the former heavyweight champ withdrew due to health issues after suffering a medical emergency on a flight.

Now Paul is a bigger favourite than he was for the original contest. But that hasn’t slowed Tyson’s confidence.

https://twitter.com/BoxingKingdom14/status/1852453813095116975

The “Problem Child” has made a career from having the advantage in his bouts. He strictly boxes either retired fighters or current fighters who spent most of their careers in lower weight classes.

Paul had that luxury against Tyson’s replacement, Mike Perry.

The former UFC fighter spent the majority of his time with the promotion competing at 170 pounds. Their bout in July was at 200 pounds and Paul walked away with a sixth-round TKO.

Paul is well deserving of being the -250 favourite. But a lot of fan sentiment appears to be behind Tyson, who would throw a wrench in Paul’s boxing career with a victory.

CFL semifinal playoff picks and predictions: Back Blue Bombers and Argos to reach Grey Cup

I have a pick for both CFL division finals this weekend.

The pregame narrative: The Winnipeg Blue Bombers were the hottest team coming into the playoffs and I expect them to earn a spot in the Grey Cup. The Toronto Argonauts’ offence has been exceptional and I like their value as the underdog against the Montreal Alouettes in the Eastern Final.

Check out my CFL playoff picks and predictions for the semifinal playoff games on Nov. 9.

CFL playoff picks

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Best Bet: Blue Bombers -4 (-110)

Winnipeg started the season 2-6 before going on an incredible 9-1 run to close things out. The loss came at the hands of the streaking Argonauts who I’ll touch on later.

The Saskatchewan Roughriders had a roller-coaster season, going on two separate four-game winning streaks but finishing with a pedestrian 9-8-1 record.

Playing at home has been beneficial for the Bombers as they went 5-1 over their last six home games. They also went 4-1-1 against this spread in that span.

One of those contests was against the Riders and Winnipeg handled business, winning by five.

Additionally, Bombers quarterback Zach Collaros knows how to win in the playoffs as his team looks for its fifth straight Grey Cup appearance.

Key stat: Winnipeg had a league-best +81 point differential this season.

Quick pick

Argonauts moneyline (+110): Toronto put on a show last week, beating the Ottawa Redblacks, 58-38. Chad Kelly completed 90% of his throws (18-for-20) including four touchdown passes and no turnovers.

After starting his season late, Kelly has found his form when it matters most. He contributed nine total TDs over the past three weeks without throwing an interception.

Since Week 17, the Argos have won against the Alouettes and Blue Bombers and look like last season’s offensive powerhouse.

Toronto is 4-1 over that time with the one loss coming in the last regular season game with most starters resting.

Montreal started the season 10-1 but has only won two of the seven games since.

In this same semifinal matchup a season ago, Toronto lost as a sizeable favourite. But with the odds flipped this time around, I believe the Argos will get their revenge in Montreal.

Picks made at 3:51 p.m. ET on 11/06/24.