The Buffalo Bills continue to roll into a matchup with the Indianapolis Colts.
The pregame narrative: Both sides can put up points and I’d rather back the over on a teased-down game total than pick a winner. I’m adding in Jonathan Taylor and Dalton Kincaid props to create an SGP for this Sunday afternoon clash.
Check out my BIlls vs. Colts same-game parlay predictions for Week 10 below.
Bills vs. Colts same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Over 40.5 points + Taylor over 74.5 rushing yards + Kincaid over 4.5 receptions (+310)
Over 40.5 points (-250): To start, Buffalo has gone over this total in every game this season so it’s safe to assume its offence will be there. There are also a few holes in the Bills’ defence for the Colts to exploit.
Here are some of Buffalo’s defensive stats this season on a per-game average:
- 19.2 points against (eighth-fewest)
- 348.7 yards against (16th-most)
- 40.4% third down conversion rate (12th-highest)
The Bills are a great team but its defence isn’t elite by any means. That is the reason opposing teams have been able to do their part for the overs.
Indianapolis allows the third most yards per game (400.3) so it also wouldn’t be shocking if the Bills covered most of this total on their own.
Other parlay picks
Taylor over 74.5 rushing yards (-134): One player who I’m confident in against the Bills’ defence is Taylor.
The star running back averages 83.7 ground yards per game. He’s rumbling right now, clearing this line in five of his past six outings.
Taylor missed this mark against the Minnesota Vikings last week but they are the NFL’s second-best team against the run (81.9 rushing yards per game).
He averages 4.8 yards per carry and the Colts should lean on his talent throughout this game.
Kincaid over 4.5 receptions (-112): Indianapolis allows consistent production to tight ends and the Bills may be without two top receivers.
Keon Coleman has already been ruled out and Amari Cooper is questionable which means he’s banged up at the very least.
That opens the door for Kincaid. The Colts allow the third-most receptions to tight ends per game (6.33), per CBS Sports, and Josh Allen is playing at an elite level.
Kincaid hasn’t had much success against this line, only clearing it twice, but this is a pick based on prediction and I like the tight end’s chances of having a great game.
Picks made at 1:17 p.m. on 11/09/24.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.