Avery Perri

Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.

Thunder vs. Clippers SGP predictions March 23: Ride with Harden and Holmgren at +290

Thunder vs. Clippers prediction

Two Western Conference stalwarts close Sunday’s NBA slate when the Los Angeles Clippers host the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The pregame narrative: Each team is riding a five-game winning streak heading into this contest, though I feel comfortable enough with the Clippers to bank a few extra points. In the prop market, look for James Harden and Chet Holmgren to fill the basket.

Check out my Thunder vs. Clippers SGP predictions for March 23.

Thunder vs. Clippers predictions

Parlay: Clippers +6.5 | Harden 20+ points | Holmgren 15+ points (+290)

Embed: #111616

Clippers +6.5 (-205): Los Angeles is finally healthy, and surprise, surprise … L.A. is playing its best basketball of the season.

The Clippers are 8-1 in their last nine games, picking up wins over the Cleveland Cavaliers, New York Knicks and Memphis Grizzlies.

Betting against OKC is scary, especially considering the team is 10-1 in March.

But L.A. has thrived in the home underdog role all season, going 8-4 ATS with a -0.8 average point differential.

The Clippers have yet to play the Thunder with a healthy lineup this year but lost by six in OKC when Norman Powell and Harden were playing.

NBA SGP legs

Harden 20+ points (-129): Harden is turning back the clock and I want in.

The veteran guard is averaging 27.0 PPG in March, scoring 20-plus points in 10 straight games. That’s his highest monthly scoring average since November by nearly five points.

Harden has averaged at least 20.0 PPG in every month this season, though, so this would be an attainable ask even in those “down” months.

OKC is a great defensive team, which is baked into this price point. But if Harden keeps firing at his current volume (17.0 shots/game in March), I like his chances.

Holmgren 15+ points (-159): I anticipate this to be a dogfight, meaning Holmgren will likely play big minutes.

The Thunder have understandably treated their big man with kid gloves after a concerning injury to start the year, but Mark Daigneault isn’t afraid to give him some run when it matters.

  • In the past two weeks, Holmgren played north of 30 minutes against the Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks. He scored 23 and 16 points, respectively, in those matchups.
  • Holmgren is 6-2 against this line when playing 30+ minutes this season.

The power forward has also taken 10-plus shots in six of seven games this month, giving us a solid baseline volume to work with.

Thunder vs. Clippers predictions made at 1:30 p.m. ET 03/23/2025.

Spurs vs. Raptors SGP predictions March 23: Back RJ Barrett and Stephon Castle at +310

Spurs vs. Raptors predictions

Sunday’s matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and Toronto Raptors is more about draft positioning than anything else.

The pregame narrative: Toronto is nearing the home stretch of its tank for a top pick, but the team’s no-quit attitude has me backing it to cover an alternate spread. Prop bets on RJ Barrett and Stephon Castle round out this +310 wager.

Check out my Spurs vs. Raptors SGP predictions for March 23.

Spurs vs. Raptors predictions

Parlay: Raptors +5.5 | Barrett 2+ threes | Booker 2+ threes (+310)

Embed: #111614

Raptors +5.5 (-265): Toronto is “back on track” heading down the home stretch.

The Raptors have lost three straight games following a three-game winning streak, though two of those defeats came by just three points.

That means Toronto has covered this number in nine of its last 10 games.

San Antonio had championship aspirations but those were lost after Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox suffered season-ending injuries.

The Spurs have won four of their last six, but two of those were against the injury-riddled Dallas Mavericks and Philadelphia 76ers.

Toronto has more of its stars playing than usual and is a deserved favourite on Sunday. Teasing the Raps through to a 5.5-point underdog seems pretty safe to me.

NBA SGP legs

Barrett 2+ threes (-125): Barrett is shooting a healthy 42.3% from beyond the arc in March and has a reliable floor as a 3-point shooter.

  • 1+ threes in 21 straight games
  • 2+ threes in 11 of those games

The Spurs are a miserable 29th in defensive rating since Wembanyama went down with an injury. In that span, opponents are shooting 37.4% from deep (seventh-highest mark in the NBA).

Barrett is averaging 2.1 threes on 39.1% shooting in 26 home games this year. He should have a soid opportunity to perform above that baseline against San Antonio.

Castle 20+ points (-165): The Spurs will be a force for years to come and Castle is the perfect No. 3 scoring option alongside Wembanyama and Fox.

And it’s been encouraging to see the 2024 No. 4 overall pick step it up in their absence.

Castle is averaging 20.4 PPG in March and has scored 20-plus in three of five games since Fox went down. In that span, he’s attempting 16.2 field goals per night — well north of his season-long average (11.3).

I love this play from a volume standpoint alone.

It also helps that the Raptors allow the sixth-most PPG to shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros.

Spurs vs. Raptors predictions made at 12:30 p.m. ET 03/23/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 23: Fade Russell Westbrook, back Quentin Grimes on Sunday

NBA prop bets

Two guards headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Russell Westbrook will have an outsized opportunity to produce against the Houston Rockets with Nikola Jokic sidelined — but I’m still fading his lofty PRA total. Elsewhere, back Quentin Grimes to keep scoring.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 23.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Westbrook under 23.5 points/assists (-120)

Westbrook is averaging 12.3 points and 6.3 assists this season, putting him well below this total.

Obviously, he’ll have more chances to produce without Jokic, which is baked into this higher-than-usual line.

But Westbrook has gone under this mark more often than not without the three-time MVP and draws a nightmare matchup against the Rockets.

  • Westbrook is averaging 14.8 and 6.2 assists (21.0 P/A) in nine games without Jokic this season. In those contests, he is 4-5 vs. this line.
  • Houston allows the eighth-fewest points and fourth-fewest assists to shooting guards per game, according to Fantasy Pros.

The Rockets have the fifth-best defensive rating since the all-star break (12-4 record) and should dictate the pace of this game with Jokic out.

Key stat: Westbrook has gone under this mark in three of his last four games without Jokic.

Best NBA picks

Grimes over 26.5 points (-118): Grimes is on a Linsanity-type run for the Philadelphia 76ers.

The sixth-year journeyman guard was acquired just before the trade deadline and has been the team’s leading scorer in March with Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid sidelined:

  • 28.2 PPG
  • 19.6 FGA/game
  • 52.9/40.9/71.0
  • 25+ points in 9 of 11 games

Grimes is shooting the ball a ton, which has raised his scoring floor considerably. What makes this even more remarkable is that he was averaging just 10.2 PPG in 47 appearances with the Dallas Mavericks.

Tonight, his 76ers take on an Atlanta Hawks team allowing the third-most PPG to shooting guards.

NBA prop picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET on 03/23/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 23: Fade Russell Westbrook, back Quentin Grimes on Sunday

NBA prop bets

Two guards headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Russell Westbrook will have an outsized opportunity to produce against the Houston Rockets with Nikola Jokic sidelined — but I’m still fading his lofty PRA total. Elsewhere, back Quentin Grimes and Jalen Duren.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 23.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Westbrook under 29.5 PRA (-118)

Embed: #111604

Westbrook is averaging 12.3 points, 5.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists this season, putting him well below this total.

Obviously, he’ll have more chances to produce without Jokic, which is baked into this higher-than-usual line.

But Westbrook has gone under this mark more often than not without the three-time MVP and draws a nightmare matchup against the Rockets.

  • Westbrook is averaging 14.8 points, 7.7 rebounds and 6.2 assists (29.0 PRA) in nine games without Jokic this season. In those contests, he is 4-5 vs. this line.
  • Houston allows the eighth-fewest points and fourth-fewest assists to shooting guards per game, according to Fantasy Pros.

The Rockets have the fifth-best defensive rating since the all-star break (12-4 record) and should dictate the pace of this game with Jokic out.

Key stat: Westbrook has gone under this mark in three of his last four games without Jokic.

Best NBA picks

Grimes over 27.5 points (-107): Grimes is on a Linsanity-type run for the Philadelphia 76ers.

The sixth-year journeyman guard was acquired just before the trade deadline and has been the team’s leading scorer in March with Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid sidelined:

  • 28.2 PPG
  • 19.6 FGA/game
  • 52.9/40.9/71.0
  • 25+ points in 9 of 11 games

Grimes is shooting the ball a ton, which has raised his scoring floor considerably. What makes this even more remarkable is that he was averaging just 10.2 PPG in 47 appearances with the Dallas Mavericks.

Tonight, his 76ers take on an Atlanta Hawks team allowing the third-most PPG to shooting guards.

Duren to record a double-double (-115): Keep an eye on today’s injury report between the New Orleans Pelicans and Detroit Pistons. Zion Williamson and Yves Missi are both listed as questionable, and their possible absences could move this line into unplayable range.

New Orleans is in full tank mode, so I wouldn’t be surprised if both sit out today. But even if the duo plays, I like Duren’s chances of recording a double-double.

The third-year centre is averaging 11.5 points and 10.3 boards this year and has a double-double in seven of 11 games this month.

The Pelicans give up the most rebounds and fifth-most points per game to centres.

NBA prop picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET on 03/23/2025.

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March Madness parlay predictions March 22: Back UCLA, Creighton on alt spreads in +355 wager

March Madness parlay predictions

Saturday’s March Madness action marks the beginning of the second round, and I’ve built a three-leg parlay with spots to the Sweet 16 on the line.

The pregame narrative: The backbone of this +320 wager has the Wisconsin Badgers beating the BYU Cougars in a pick’em. I’ve also teased the UCLA Bruins and Creighton Bluejays up as underdogs.

Check out my March Madness parlay predictions for NCAA basketball action on March 22.

March Madness parlay predictions

Parlay: Wisconsin moneyline | UCLA +7.5 | Creighton +12 (+355)

Wisconsin moneyline (-112): If you’ve been reading our March Madness content, you’ll know my colleague Jordan Horrobin is bullish on Wisconsin’s national title hopes — and that’s rubbed off on me.

The Badgers are a veteran team with strong offensive fundamentals:

  • Wisconsin has the best throw percentage in the country (82.7%) and ranks 17th in offensive turnover rate (14.2%), per KenPom.com.
  • The roster’s 2.60 years of average D-1 experience ranks 45th in the nation.

One knock on Wisconsin’s game would be that it relies too heavily on the 3 ball. But this is a perfect matchup for Greg Gard’s team to let it fly, as BYU ranks a pitiful 249th in 3-point defence.

The Cougars have a great offence with most of their damage being done inside the arc. Fortunately for us, the Badgers rank 31st in 2-point defence.

College basketball parlay picks

UCLA +7.5 (-182): UCLA looked like a juggernaut on Thursday, smashing the No. 10 Utah State Aggies by 25 points in a game which was never close.

The Bruins started their first year of Big 10 conference play on a four-game losing streak (three of which were East Coast road games) but are peaking at the right time.

  • UCLA won 11 of its last 15 games to close the regular season.
  • The Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.

UCLA’s defence is large and extremely disruptive and I expect it to go blow-for-blow against a Tennessee team which also places defence first.

Rick Barnes led the Volunteers to the final four last year but the squad has been winning by the skin of its teeth lately.

Tennesse is 3-7 vs. this number in its last 10 games. The outlying wins came by eight, nine and 10 points.

Creighton +12 (-182): Auburn beat the wheels off No. 16 Alabama State in its tournament opener which was expected.

But I’m putting the Tigers on upset watch for Saturday’s game against the No. 9 Bluejays.

Auburn lost three of its last four games heading into the tournament and narrowly scraped by the Ole Miss Rebels in its SEC tournament quarterfinal win.

Creighton has an impressive 7-6 Quad 1 record and has covered this number in 11 of those games. Its offence can catch fire and its defence is anchored by four-time Big East Defensive Player of the Year Ryan Kalkbrenner.

I don’t anticipate a sweat with this number.

March Madness parlay predictions made at 1:58 p.m. ET 03/21/2025

March Madness parlay predictions March 22: Back UCLA, Creighton on alt spreads in +320 wager

March Madness parlay predictions

Saturday’s March Madness action marks the beginning of the second round, and I’ve built a three-leg parlay with spots to the Sweet 16 on the line.

The pregame narrative: The backbone of this +320 wager has the Wisconsin Badgers beating the BYU Cougars in a pick’em. I’ve also teased the UCLA Bruins and Creighton Bluejays up as underdogs.

Check out my March Madness parlay predictions for NCAA basketball action on March 22.

March Madness parlay predictions

Parlay: Wisconsin moneyline | UCLA +8.5 | Creighton +12.5 (+320)

Embed: #111537

Wisconsin moneyline (-113): If you’ve been reading our March Madness content, you’ll know my colleague Jordan Horrobin is bullish on Wisconsin’s national title hopes — and that’s rubbed off on me.

The Badgers are a veteran team with strong offensive fundamentals:

  • Wisconsin has the best throw percentage in the country (82.7%) and ranks 17th in offensive turnover rate (14.2%), per KenPom.com.
  • The roster’s 2.60 years of average D-1 experience ranks 45th in the nation.

One knock on Wisconsin’s game would be that it relies too heavily on the 3 ball. But this is a perfect matchup for Greg Gard’s team to let it fly, as BYU ranks a pitiful 249th in 3-point defence.

The Cougars have a great offence with most of their damage being done inside the arc. Fortunately for us, the Badgers rank 31st in 2-point defence.

College basketball parlay picks

UCLA +8.5 (-215): UCLA looked like a juggernaut on Thursday, smashing the No. 10 Utah State Aggies by 25 points in a game which was never close.

The Bruins started their first year of Big 10 conference play on a four-game losing streak (three of which were East Coast road games) but are peaking at the right time.

  • UCLA won 11 of its last 15 games to close the regular season.
  • The Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.

UCLA’s defence is large and extremely disruptive and I expect it to go blow-for-blow against a Tennessee team which also places defence first.

Rick Barnes led the Volunteers to the final four last year but the squad has been winning by the skin of its teeth lately.

Tennesse is 2-8 vs. this number in its last 10 games. The outlying wins came by nine and 10 points.

Creighton +12.5 (-190): Auburn beat the wheels off No. 16 Alabama State in its tournament opener which was expected.

But I’m putting the Tigers on upset watch for Saturday’s game against the No. 9 Bluejays.

Auburn lost three of its last four games heading into the tournament and narrowly scraped by the Ole Miss Rebels in its SEC tournament quarterfinal win.

Creighton has an impressive 7-6 Quad 1 record and has covered this number in 11 of those games. Its offence can catch fire and its defence is anchored by four-time Big East Defensive Player of the Year Ryan Kalkbrenner.

I don’t anticipate a sweat with this number.

March Madness parlay predictions made at 1:58 p.m. ET 03/21/2025

UConn vs. Oklahoma first-round SGP predictions: Bet on the Sooners ATS and Jalon Moore

UConn vs. Oklahoma predictions

The two-time reigning champion UConn Huskies kick off their tournament against the Oklahoma Sooners.

The pregame narrative: It’s been a tough year for Dan Hurley’s Huskies and I expect the Sooners to keep this game close, if not win. Prop bets on Oklahoma’s Jalon Moore and UConn’s Liam McNeeley round out this +270 wager.

Check out my UConn vs. Oklahoma SGP predictions for their first-round matchup on March 21.

UConn vs. Oklahoma predictions

Parlay: Oklahoma +9.5 | Moore 10+ points | McNeeley 15+ points (+270)

Embed: #111525

Oklahoma +9.5 (-200): There’s a chance I look incredibly stupid betting against the back-to-back champs but I just can’t see UConn winning by a large margin tonight.

The Huskies are 10-15-1 ATS when favoured this season and have struggled to beat good opponents handily.

  • UConn is 6-6 in Quad 1 games and has failed to cover a -9.5 spread in each of those victories, according to BBall.net.
  • Oklahoma, meanwhile, is 7-11 in Quad games and has covered a +9.5 spread in 11 of those contests.

I would also venture to say the Sooners are peaking at the right time. OU is 4-3 in its last seven games with the three losses coming by a combined five points. And all but one of those games were against Quad 1 opponents.

UConn’s defence struggles to defend the 3-point line (35.1 opponent 3PT%, 257th in D-1) and is undisciplined (18.0 fouls/game, 269th in D-1).

Oklahoma’s offence ranks 34th in 3PT% (37.0) and eighth in FT% (79.4), and those are two areas where I expect it to thrive.

NCAA SGP legs

Moore 10+ points (-182): Moore seems like a solid candidate to expose those defensive weaknesses.

  • Moore is averaging 16.0 PPG while shooting 39.1% from deep.
  • He’s shooting 83.5% from the line and is averaging 5.0 free-throw attempts per game.

The senior forward has reached this 10-point milestone in 30 of 33 games this season with all three outliers being games where he played 26 or fewer minutes.

Porter Moser is going to need his veteran to play big minutes in this one and I say Moore answers the bell.

McNeeley 15+ points (-215): Now let’s back one of UConn’s forwards to clear a point milestone.

The Sooners have a great 3-point defence but struggle to defend the interior and don’t block a lot of shots.

McNeely — the Big East Freshman of the Year — has become a mainstay in Hurley’s lineup and went on a nice run to close out the season.

He averaged 15.4 PPG in his last 15 games while taking a healthy 13.3 shots, most of which came from inside the 3-point line.

UConn vs. Oklahoma predictions made at 12:00 p.m. on 03/21/25

Friday’s best March Madness first-round prop bets: Back Oregon’s Nate Bittle, Florida’s Walter Clayton Jr.

March Madness prop bets

I’m backing three players to do damage during Friday’s March Madness slate.

The pregame narrative: Florida has taken a top seed largely thanks to the play of Walter Clayton Jr. and I expect the first-team All-American guard to shine. I also have wagers on Oregon’s Nate Bittle and New Mexico’s Nelly Junior Joseph.

Check out the best March Madness prop bets for March 21.

March Madness prop bets

Best bet: Bittle over 8.5 rebounds (+115)

I can’t really wrap my head around this line.

Bittle is playing his best basketball at the right time and has a massive size advantage over everyone else in this game.

The 7-foot senior is the only player listed above 6-foot-9 on either team outside of Kai Yu, a freshman on the No. 12 Liberty Flames who has played a total of 45 minutes this season.

Liberty’s biggest weakness is on the glass, and I expect Bittle to feast.

  • The Flames rank 298th in D-1 in rebounding rate, according to TeamRankings.
  • They also rank 347th in average height, per KenPom, with no starters or rotational players standing above 6-foot-8.

Bittle is coming off an 11-rebound performance in the Big Ten tournament against a Michigan State Spartans team which ranks third in rebounding rate — now imagine what he can do against the undersized Flames.

Key stat: Bittle has 7+ rebounds in seven of his last eight games, clearing this mark four times.

Best March Madness picks

Clayton over 17.5 points (-120): In my opinion, the biggest risk to this wager is a blowout where Clayton doesn’t play big minutes.

But we haven’t seen Todd Golden rest his star much all season and I don’t see why it would happen now.

Clayton is averaging 32.4 minutes per game and has only played sub-30 minutes in six of 32 games this season. He’s made good use of that playing time, averaging a team-high 17.5 PPG.

The guard has scored 20 points in four of his last five games against much tougher opponents than the 16-seeded Norfolk State Spartans.

Norfolk State ranks 213th in adjusted defensive efficiency and should get walked over on Friday.

In college, I like to see players who shoot 3s efficiently and make their free throws. Clayton does both well, shooting 37.7% from deep and 85.7% at the line.

Joseph 15+ points (+100): The 10-seeded New Mexico Lobos and 7-seeded Marquette Golden Eagles seem destined for a dog fight, and Joseph should be at the centre of it.

The fifth-year senior is averaging 14.0 PPG this season and almost exclusively does his damage in the paint.

At 6-foot-10, 245 pounds, Joseph is built like an old-school bruiser with a modern scoring touch.

Marquette ranks 199th in 2-point defence (51.3%) and 241st in rebounding rate (48.8%). As long as Joseph stays out of foul trouble, I like him to score and clean up on second chances.

March Madness prop bets made at 9:10 a.m. ET on 03/21/2025.

Friday’s best March Madness first-round prop bets: Back Oregon’s Nate Bittle, Florida’s Walter Clayton Jr.

March Madness prop bets

I’m backing three players to do damage during Friday’s March Madness slate.

The pregame narrative: Florida has taken a top seed largely thanks to the play of Walter Clayton Jr. and I expect the first-team All-American guard to shine. I also have wagers on Oregon’s Nate Bittle and New Mexico’s Nelly Junior Joseph.

Check out the best March Madness prop bets for March 21.

March Madness prop bets

Best bet: Bittle 8+ rebounds (-113)

Embed: #111520

I can’t really wrap my head around this line.

Bittle is playing his best basketball at the right time and has a massive size advantage over everyone else in this game.

The 7-foot senior is the only player listed above 6-foot-9 on either team outside of Kai Yu, a freshman on the No. 12 Liberty Flames who has played a total of 45 minutes this season.

Liberty’s biggest weakness is on the glass, and I expect Bittle to feast.

  • The Flames rank 298th in D-1 in rebounding rate, according to TeamRankings.
  • They also rank 347th in average height, per KenPom, with no starters or rotational players standing above 6-foot-8.

Bittle is coming off an 11-rebound performance in the Big Ten tournament against a Michigan State Spartans team which ranks third in rebounding rate — now imagine what he can do against the undersized Flames.

Orgeon’s centre has gone over this in three straight, logging double-digit boards twice.

Key stat: Bittle has 7+ rebounds in eight of his last nine games, clearing this mark five times.

Best March Madness picks

Clayton 20+ points (+120): In my opinion, the biggest risk to this wager is a blowout where Clayton doesn’t play big minutes.

But we haven’t seen Todd Golden rest his star much all season and I don’t see why it would happen now.

Clayton is averaging 32.4 minutes per game and has only played sub-30 minutes in six of 32 games this season. He’s made good use of that playing time, averaging a team-high 17.5 PPG.

The guard has scored 20 points in four of his last five games against much tougher opponents than the 16-seeded Norfolk State Spartans.

Norfolk State ranks 213th in adjusted defensive efficiency and should get walked over on Friday.

In college, I like to see players who shoot 3s efficiently and make their free throws. Clayton does both well, shooting 37.7% from deep and 85.7% at the line.

Joseph 15+ points (+112): The 10-seeded New Mexico Lobos and 7-seeded Marquette Golden Eagles seem destined for a dog fight, and Joseph should be at the centre of it.

The fifth-year senior is averaging 14.0 PPG this season and almost exclusively does his damage in the paint.

At 6-foot-10, 245 pounds, Joseph is built like an old-school bruiser with a modern scoring touch.

Marquette ranks 199th in 2-point defence (51.3%) and 241st in rebounding rate (48.8%). As long as Joseph stays out of foul trouble, I like him to score and clean up on second chances.

March Madness prop bets made at 9:10 a.m. ET on 03/21/2025.

Bucks vs. Lakers SGP predictions March 20: Fade L.A. without Doncic, back Giannis at +375

Bucks vs. Lakers predictions

The Milwaukee Bucks are favoured on the road against a depleted Los Angeles Lakers squad.

The pregame narrative: Luka Doncic and LeBron James are out, which makes Milwaukee a compelling moneyline pick. Prop bets on Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard round out this +375 wager.

Check out my Bucks vs. Lakers SGP predictions for March 20.

Bucks vs. Lakers predictions

Parlay: Bucks moneyline | Giannis 14+ rebounds | Lillard under 3.5 threes (+375)

Embed: #111502

Bucks moneyline (-235): The absence of LeBron and Doncic takes away from this game’s star power, but I’m sure it’s music to Milwaukee’s ears.

The Bucks could use a cupcake win after dropping five of their last seven games.

In addition to being without its two best players, L.A. is playing its sixth game in eight nights. I love what Austin Reaves and Dalton Knecht have been doing but can’t see them willing the Lakers to a victory in this spot.

These teams met last week with Doncic in the lineup, and Milwaukee won by 20 points.

NBA SGP picks

Giannis 14+ rebounds (+125): Most of my parlay’s value comes from backing Giannis on this plus-money wager — and I think the Greek Freak will be up to the task.

Los Angeles’ starting centre is Jaxson Hayes, who has been good but not great for the Lakers.

You can’t really blame him, though, as the reclamation project was thrust into the role after L.A. traded away Anthony Davis and failed to acquire another big man.

The Lakers are 22nd in rebounding rate since James went down with an injury and things will only get tougher without Doncic, who is averaging 8.8 boards with L.A.

Giannis had 12 rebounds in 30 minutes against the Lakers last week.

Lillard under 3.5 threes (-159): Los Angeles’ only route to keeping this game close will be tightening up on defence, so I think Lillard is worth fading at this number.

The Lakers have been great at defending the perimeter this season, holding opponents to a 34.8% 3-point percentage (third-best in the NBA).

Lillard is hardly lighting the league on fire from deep, too, with two or fewer 3s in five of his last six games.

He went 2-for-8 against the Lakers on March 20.

Bucks vs. Lakers predictions made at 2:00 p.m. ET 03/20/2025.