The Boston Red Sox search for a series win against the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on Friday night.
The pregame narrative: Boston scraped out a 2-1 win in extra innings last night and has now won three straight games against its rival. New York is favoured to win tonight, though, behind Carlos Rodon (8-4, 2.87 ERA), who is pitching opposite Hunter Dobbins (3-1, 4.20 ERA).
Check out my Yankees vs. Red Sox prop bets for June 14, featuring Ben Rice and Rafael Devers.
Yankees vs. Red Sox prop bets
Best Bet: Rice over 1.5 bases (+100)
You could make a solid argument that Rice is the unluckiest player in baseball.
New York’s leadoff man is batting a paltry .230 this year, but Baseball Savant’s advanced metrics paint a much rosier picture:
- 92nd percentile xBA (.295)
- 96th percentile xSLG (.565)
- 97th percentile xwOBA (.407)
- 97th percentile hard-hit rate (55.2%)
The 65-point delta between Rice’s actual BA and his xBA is the second-largest in MLB. With that said, I like his chances of getting after Dobbins tonight.
Boston’s righty has a 92nd-percentile walk rate (4.2%) and a 21st-percentile K rate (17.9%). That means he doesn’t issue many free passes or miss bats, and the ball should be put in play often.
The left-hitting Rice went 1-for-2 against Dobbins with a single when these teams met last Sunday.
Key Stat: Dobbins has allowed a .303/.337/.505 slash line to LHBs this season.
Best MLB picks
Devers to score (+135): Rodon has been spectacular this year, but Boston’s lineup mashes lefties and Devers will have plenty of opportunities to get aboard as the No. 2 hitter.
The Red Sox have the second-highest batting average (.271) and fifth-highest wRC+ (116) vs. southpaws this season.
Rodon had a tough outing against Boston last weekend, giving up five runs in 5.0 IP while issuing three walks and a hit-by-pitch.
Devers scored two runs in that game, once after getting hit by Rodon and once via a 9th-inning home run against Brent Headrick.
Overall, he has a .400 on-base percentage in 20 plate appearances against Rodon.
Devers has scored 10 runs in 11 games this month.
Yankees vs. Red Sox prop bets made at 1:12 p.m. ET on 06/14/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.