On Tuesday night, the Toronto Blue Jays look to move to 5-0 in the second half with a matchup against the New York Yankees.
The pregame narrative: A groundswell of buzz is building around the Jays, who are 4.0 games clear of the Yankees atop the talented AL East. Max Scherzer, who gets the start for Toronto tonight, tossed five solid innings vs. New York in a home win last month.
Check out my Yankees vs. Blue Jays best bet for July 22, featuring George Springer.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays best bet
Best Bet: Springer over 1.5 total bases (+105)
When there’s a pitcher on the mound with little-to-no MLB experience, it can be difficult to know where to turn in the prop market.
Yankees starter Cam Schlittler has just one big-league start to his name. But there’s still enough to draw upon that makes me interested in Springer tonight.
Firstly, Springer is ripping it up this month:
- In 14 starts, he has a .333/.403/.667 slash line and is 8-6 vs. his bases prop.
- His strikeout rate is down (15.0%, compared to 19.3% on the season) and his hard-hit rate is up (52.0%, compared to 47.0% on the season).
- Springer has a .326 xBA, per Baseball Savant, which is nearly aligned with his .333 actual BA.
So before even thinking about Schlittler, there’s a lot to like about how the veteran outfielder is performing these days.
I do think this is a compelling matchup for Springer, though, based on Schlittler’s pitch mix.
It’s only one game, but Schlittler threw nothing but four-seam fastballs, sliders and sweepers against right-hitting players in his MLB debut.
Against righty pitchers, Springer has a .531 SLG (.614 xSLG) this season when seeing those exact pitch types.
Key stat: Schlittler’s fastball averages 97.1 mph, and Springer can handle the heat. Facing pitches thrown 97 mph or harder this year, Springer is 9-for-23 (.391) with a .652 SLG.
Blue Jays best made at 12:01 p.m. ET on 07/22/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.