For the second time this season, Victor Wembanyama and Luka Doncic will be on the court for a must-see matchup in Dallas.
The pregame narrative: Doncic had the upper hand when they met last month, notching a 28-point double-double in Dallas’ 11-point win. It just so happens that Wembanyama is coming off a 28-point double-double of his own last night against the Los Angeles Lakers.
Check out our Wembanyama and Doncic props for the Nov. 16 game at American Airlines Center.
Wembanyama and Doncic props
Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.
| NBA prop markets | Betting odds |
| Wembanyama over 23.5 points | -127 |
| Wembanyama under 23.5 points | -105 |
| Wembanyama over 11.5 rebounds | -104 |
| Wembanyama under 11.5 rebounds | -129 |
| Wembanyama over 3.5 assists | +120 |
| Wembanyama under 3.5 assists | -159 |
| Wembanyama over 38.5 PRA | -124 |
| Wembanyama under 38.5 PRA | -108 |
| Wembanyama to record a double-double | -286 |
| Doncic over 29.5 points | +100 |
| Doncic under 29.5 points | -132 |
| Doncic over 8.5 rebounds | -118 |
| Doncic under 8.5 rebounds | -112 |
| Doncic over 8.5 assists | -113 |
| Doncic under 8.5 assists | -118 |
| Doncic over 46.5 PRA | -112 |
| Doncic over 46.5 PRA | -118 |
| Doncic to record a double-double | -186 |
NBA odds as of 9:00 a.m. ET on 11/16/2024.
Go to full NBA betting markets
Doncic’s Mavericks have now gone 5-0 against Wemby’s Spurs since the reigning Rookie of the Year entered the league.
Wemby played in four of those matchups and has struggled to put up big numbers:
- Oct. 25 (last year): 15 points, five rebounds, two assists
- Feb. 14 (last year): 26 points, nine rebounds, five assists
- March 19 (last year): 12 points, 11 rebounds, three assists
- Oct. 24 (this year): 17 points, nine rebounds, one assist
Tonight marks Wemby’s third back-to-back of the season, but that shouldn’t affect his workload much. He played 32-plus minutes in both previous games on zero rest this year, which aligns with his season average.
Doncic, meanwhile, is still searching for his first triple-double of the season. He notched three against the Spurs last year while averaging 51.3 points/rebounds/assists.
The reigning scoring champ has scored 30-plus points in five of his past seven games. But he’s finished below 30 points in three of four career matchups with Wemby on the floor.
Best Wembanyama prop bet
Best bet: Over 2.5 threes (-129)
The Mavericks aren’t an ideal matchup for opposing 3-point shooters, and that showed in Wembanyama’s opening night performance against them (1-for-8).
But after a slow start from beyond the arc, Wemby has really turned up the heat — and the volume.
- First eight games: 1.5 threes per game on 21.4% shooting (7.0 attempts)
- Past five games: 5.2 threes per game on 46.4% shooting (11.2 attempts)
Wemby is talented enough that if he’s firing seven-plus 3s most nights, I’ll at least consider the over at this number. And he’s cruised to the over in four straight games entering Saturday.
Even if the hot streak comes to an end, there should be enough 3-point shot volume for Wemby to have a go at this.
Best Doncic prop bet
Best bet: Over 8.5 assists (-113)
Doncic went under 8.5 assists in six straight games to open the year, but he’s cashed the over in four of six since.
He’s cleared this total in three of five matchups against the Spurs in the Wemby era — landing on exactly eight assists in both unders.
Though Doncic is typically the primary shooter for the Mavericks, now is a good time to defer a bit more to his backcourt companion, Kyrie Irving.
Irving is shooting 63.1% from the floor in his past five games on 16.8 attempts. Doncic, in the same span, is shooting 45.3% on 23.2 shots per game.
Doncic is always a threat to hit this over, and he should be in a great spot if he feeds the hot hand of Irving.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.