The Los Angeles Clippers host the Steph Curry-less Golden State Warriors on Friday.
The pregame narrative: Golden State has done well without Curry but I expect Los Angeles to win tonight. Prop bets on Norman Powell and Dennis Schroder round out this +295 wager.
Check out my Warriors vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 27.
Warriors vs. Clippers predictions
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Parlay: Clippers moneyline + Powell over 22.5 points + Schroder over 1.5 threes (+295)
Clippers moneyline (-177): The Warriors are 4-1 without Curry in the lineup this year but you can’t tell me they’re a better team without him.
- The future Hall of Famer is averaging a team-high 22.5 points and 6.5 assists per game.
- Golden State averages 19.5 more points per 100 possessions with Curry on the floor. That ranks in the 100th percentile of all NBA players this season, per Cleaning the Glass.
On the whole, Golden State has been struggling. It is 4-10 in its last 10 games and 1-5 in its last six.
The Clippers are 10-6 at home and have the fourth-best ATS record (19-11-0) in the NBA. I’ll shave a few points off the home favourites and simply back them to win.
Other SGP legs
Powell over 22.5 points (-132): It will be a travesty if Powell isn’t an all-star this season with the way he’s been playing.
The former Toronto Raptor is averaging 24.1 points per night on stellar 49.5/47.3/83.8 shooting splits.
And he’s really caught fire lately. Take a look at his last four games:
- Dec. 23 vs. Memphis: 29 points
- Dec. 21 vs. Mavericks: 28 points
- Dec. 19 vs. Mavericks: 29 points
- Dec. 16 vs. Jazz: 29 points
Powell is attempting 17.6 shots per game this month which is a great baseline to have volume-wise.
Tonight’s matchup should be favourable. Golden State has allowed the 10th-most PPG to shooting guards this season, according to Fantasy Pros.
Powell scored 20 and 23 points against the Warriors this season, shooting above 50% in both games.
Schroder over 1.5 threes (-195): Someone has to replace Curry’s 10.3 three-point attempts per night, right?
Schroder was lighting it up with the Brooklyn Nets this season before Golden State traded for him.
- 18.4 PPG
- 38.7 3P%
- 2+ threes in 16/23 games
The German PG went a combined 0-for-8 from deep in his first two games with the Warriors but nabbed three triples against the Los Angeles Lakers on Christmas.
He’s a capable 3-point shooter who’s going to be playing a lot of minutes tonight. This seems like a no-brainer addition to the SGP.
Picks made at 11:46 a.m. on 12/27/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.