The Sacramento Kings host the Minnesota Timberwolves in tonight’s NBA Cup nightcap.
The pregame narrative: Minnesota has lost three straight but I expect it to pick up a win behind Anthony Edwards. Sacramento is likely without DeMar DeRozan, so I’m targeting De’Aaron Fox as well.
Check out my Timberwolves vs. Kings same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 15.
Timberwolves vs. Kings predictions
Go to full NBA betting markets
Parlay: Timberwolves moneyline + Edwards over 24.5 points + Fox over 23.5 points (+300)
Timberwolves moneyline (-121): Minnesota hasn’t been playing its best basketball lately.
After a 6-3 start to the year, the T-Wolves have dropped three straight — two of which were to the lowly Portland Trail Blazers — while averaging just 100.0 points per game.
But tonight represents a prime bounce-back spot for a team that won 56 games last year.
The Kings are 2-2 in their last four with both wins coming against the Kevin Durant-less Phoenix Suns.
They’re a solid basketball team but are likely without DeRozan (back) who is listed as doubtful. The veteran small forward is averaging 22.9 PPG and was playing over 35 minutes a night. Sacramento sixth man Malik Monk is also out.
Minnesota has a clean bill of health and I expect it to dominate tonight.
SGP legs
Edwards over 24.5 points (-215): Edwards is averaging a career-best 27.8 points per game and was going nuclear from 3-point land before shooting 0-for-8 on Wednesday night.
But he still had 24 points despite a goose egg from deep and that just shows his floor as a scorer.
The fifth-year guard hasn’t gone below 21 points this season and has cleared this mark in seven of 12 games. That includes a 32-point outing in a win against Sacramento on Oct. 24.
Let’s circle back to Edwards’ 3-point game.
Prior to Wednesday, he was shooting 45.3% on 11.6 attempts per night. That’s incredible and one bad game won’t change his willingness to let it fly.
Sacramento allows opponents to shoot 37.0% from deep (24th in NBA), so expect Edwards to do some damage.
Fox over 23.5 points (-220): Fox was the alpha dog on Sacramento last season, averaging a team-high 26.6 points and 20.9 field goal attempts per game.
He still leads the team in both categories this year even though his numbers are slightly down to 24.6 PPG and 18.7 FGA.
That said, he should be taking a boatload of shots tonight and that puts him in a good spot to clear this line on volume alone.
Fox has cleared this mark in six of eight games in November while shooting 49.7% from the field.
NBA picks made at 1:47 p.m. on 11/15/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.