The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Florida Gators kick off the Elite Eight on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: Florida was my pick to win it all, and I expect the Gators to advance in a tough matchup with Alijah Martin filling the basket. On the other end, bet on Texas Tech’s Darrion Williams to do the same.
Check out the best Texas Tech vs. Florida prop bets for March 29.
Texas Tech vs. Florida prop bets
Best Bet: Martin over 13.5 points (-130)
Walter Clayton Jr. is Florida’s top dog — there’s no disputing that.
But Martin is exactly what a championship team needs, a steady No. 2 who hits his shots and takes care of the basketball.
The senior guard is averaging 14.6 PPG this season and has turned up the heat since conference tournament play began:
- 15.3 PPG
- 55.0% shooting
- 5-1 vs. this line
Martin just cleared this line in the Sweet 16, scoring 14 points on 4-of-10 shooting.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders will prioritize stopping Clayton, and I’m hoping that results in quality looks for Martin.
Key stat: Martin has scored 10+ points in nine straight games, clearing this line six times.
Best March Madness picks
Williams over 15.5 points (-106): Teams have thrown the kitchen sink at slowing down Texas Tech’s JT Toppin, and the Big 12 Player of the Year has been happy to defer to Williams.
Toppin led the Red Raiders in points and field goal attempts per game during the regular season, but Williams has taken centre stage in the tournament:
- Toppin stats: 19.0 PPG, 13.0 FGA/game
- Williams stats: 20.3 PPG, 19.7 FGA/game
Williams has been nowhere near as efficient as Toppin, but he’s letting it fly, which I love to see. The 6-foot-6, 225-pound forward has scored 20-plus points in back-to-back games.
If you’re looking to poke holes in Florida’s defence, you could say it fouls a lot (17.4/game, 221st in D-1).
Williams gets to the line often and is shooting an exceptional 84.1% from the stripe this year.
Texas Tech vs. Florida prop picks made at 4:30 p.m. ET on 03/28/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.