Three Canadians are in action during the second round at Wimbledon on Wednesday.
The pregame narrative: Felix Auger-Aliassime clawed back from a 2-1 set deficit to win his opener and is favoured to beat German Jan-Lennard Struff. Leylah Fernandez is also expected to advance to the third round, while Gabriel Diallo is in tough against fifth-seed Taylor Fritz.
Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 2.
Wimbledon predictions: July 2
Best Bet: Auger-Aliassime -1.5 sets (-122)
I think this is a no-brainer, and believe there’s some good value backing Auger-Aliassime to win in straight sets at +230.
The Canadian is having a great year, reaching three ATP singles finals on hard court and winning two of them. He struggled mightily on clay, but is back on grass, which is historically his best outdoor surface:
- FAA has a 65.13% win rate on grass.
- He is 6-3 on grass this year, winning three of those matchups in straight sets.
Struff, meanwhile, has really been fighting it. The 35-year-old is a miserable 6-17 this season, getting destroyed on clay and hard court.
He is 2-2 on grass and did advance to the third round at Wimbledon last year, but he’s just 30-37 lifetime on this surface (44.78%).
Key stat: Auger-Aliassime beat Struff 6-3, 6-0, 4-6, 6-1 at the Australian Open earlier this year.
Diallo Wimbledon prediction vs. Fritz
Fritz -1.5 sets (-141): Fritz showed everyone that he has plenty of dog in him after erasing a 2-0 set deficit against the hard-serving Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in Round 1.
The match lasted over 3.5 hours and took two days to complete, but the American got it done.
Now, he has another stern test in Diallo, who won his first ATP singles title two weeks ago. I think Fritz can handle it.
Diallo’s greatest asset is a strong serve (83.2% service games won, 19th in serve rating), but Fritz just handled the best server on the planet.
Perricard was sending the ball in at over 150 mph and ranks first on the ATP in serve rating.
The rest of Diallo’s game is rugged, and quite honestly, not up to par with someone like Fritz, who is 9-1 on grass this year and just defended his Lexus Eastbourne Open title.
Best bet for Fernandez vs. Siegemund
Fernandez -1.5 sets (-124): Fernandez has to be feeling good about her chances against Germany’s Laura Siegemund.
The Canadian has become quite the grass player, sporting an 11-6 record over the last two years. She’s also won four of her last six matches on the surface.
Fernandez’s most recent loss was to Jasmine Paolini at the Bad Homburg Open, but it was extremely competitive. She lost both sets in a tiebreak to the Italian, who is seeded fourth at this tournament and reached the final last year.
You simply can’t knock Fernandez for that performance.
And it seems Siegemund’s best years of tennis are behind her, as the 37-year-old has an 11-16 record this year.
Both players are also slated to play a doubles match tomorrow, and that should favour Fernandez.
Wimbledon predictions made at 12:45 p.m. on 07/01/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.