For Saturday night’s matchup between the Phoenix Suns and Indiana Pacers, I’m going big with a +450 same-game parlay.
The pregame narrative: The Suns are sliding right now, and I don’t think a trip to the Midwest is going to get their new year off to a good start. In the player prop market, I think Kevin Durant and Pascal Siakam are both in good spots to contribute.
Check out my Suns vs. Pacers same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 4.
Suns vs. Pacers predictions
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Parlay: Pacers moneyline + Durant over 26.5 points + Siakam over 2.5 assists (+450)
Pacers moneyline (-121): After finishing as the No. 6 seeds in their respective conferences last year, the Pacers and Suns are on a play-in trajectory — or worse.
In a battle of sub-.500 squads, Indiana’s home-court advantage means something to me. Or rather, Phoenix’s disadvantage of playing on the road.
The Suns are 5-9 away from Footprint Center, which includes a 1-8 record as road underdogs.
Road underdogs are supposed to lose, so that shouldn’t be much of a surprise. But it’s also not a surprise why Phoenix is an underdog on Saturday.
On Dec. 19, the Pacers beat the Suns in the desert, 120-111, as 6-point underdogs. That was the first of six losses in a seven-game span for Phoenix.
Indiana, meanwhile, is 7-3 in its past 10.
SGP legs
Durant over 26.5 points (-132): Phoenix’s recent struggles haven’t rubbed off on Durant. He’s the only reason things haven’t been even uglier.
During the Suns’ 1-6 skid, Durant has put up big minutes and big scoring numbers:
- 32.1 PPG
- .500/.405/.857 shooting
- 27+ points in 6/7 games
In a losing effort against the Pacers, Durant had 37 points on 15-of-27 shooting. None of his teammates even hit the 20-point threshold.
With Bradley Beal questionable to go tonight, Durant could see even more opportunities. But he’s already doing plenty with what he has.
Indiana has hit the over in five straight games, and another high-scoring environment would be a boon for this pick.
Siakam over 2.5 assists (-167): Playing alongside Tyrese Haliburton, Siakam isn’t asked to pass the rock as often as he was in Toronto.
Still, this line is too low for a guy who’s averaging 3.4 assists per game and playing in a plus matchup.
The Suns allow 5.1 APG to opposing power forwards, per Betting Pros, which is the fourth-most in the NBA.
Siakam has cashed this bet in eight of his past 11 games — including the Dec. 19 matchup against Phoenix.
Picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET 01/04/2025
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.