The Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Angels continue their three-game series on Tuesday night.
The pregame narrative: Boston lost the opener yesterday, after giving up four runs in the eighth inning, but is favoured to rebound with southpaw Garrett Crochet (2.20 ERA) on the mound. Los Angeles counters with a lefty of its own, Tyler Anderson (4.56 ERA), who has gotten rocked in June.
Check out my Red Sox vs. Angels predictions, including Rob Refsnyder and Mike Trout.
Red Sox vs. Angels predictions
Parlay: Red Sox -1.5 | Refsnyder 1+ hits | Trout 1+ hits (+350)
Red Sox -1.5 (-104): This is about as big of a pitching mismatch as you’ll find in baseball.
Crochet has been the acquisition of the season so far, posting a 2.20 ERA and 1.03 WHIP through 16 starts with the Red Sox.
He leads MLB in strikeouts (125) and ranks in the top-third percentile for every single advanced metric provided by Baseball Savant.
On the other end is Anderson, whose 27th-percentile xERA (4.52) is right in line with his actual number.
The lefty has an 8.10 ERA across four starts in June. One of those was against the Red Sox, where he gave up seven hits and five earned runs in 4.1 IP.
Boston ranks fourth in wRC+ versus lefties (119) while Los Angeles is 22nd (80).
MLB SGP legs
Refsnyder 1+ hits (-195): Refsnyder has been terrorizing left-handed pitchers all season.
- .315 batting average
- .611 slugging percentage
- 175 wRC+
Eight of the outfielder’s 10 extra-base hits have come against southpaws. He also has a stellar history against Anderson in limited at-bats (4-for-8, one double).
Refsnyder is batting leadoff for the Sox on the road, meaning he should have ample opportunities at the plate to record a knock.
Trout 1+ hits (-177): Trout is having the worst year of his professional career, but the floodgates have to open sooner or later … right?
The future Hall of Famer is batting a paltry .225 through 52 games after an awful start to the year. He’s been a bit better since returning from injury in late May, slashing .284/.410/.407 with a hit in 16 of 23 outings.
Trout’s 78th-percentile xBA (.279) and 97th-percentile xSLG (.577) indicate there’s a lot left in the tank. I think he can put one into play against Crochet with a platoon advantage.
Red Sox vs. Angels predictions made at 10:45 a.m. ET on 06/24/2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.