The Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens close the divisional round with a heavyweight showdown.
The pregame narrative: It wouldn’t surprise anyone if either team went on a Super Bowl run. With two MVP candidates clashing, I’ll bank a touchdown-plus with the home team. Bets on Josh Allen and Derrick Henry round out this +350 wager.
Check out my Ravens vs. Bills same-game parlay predictions for the game on Jan. 19.
Ravens vs. Bills same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Bills +7.5 + Allen anytime TD + Henry over 89.5 rushing yards (+350)
Bills +7.5 (-335): Let’s address the elephant in the room: Buffalo was embarrassed by Baltimore earlier this season.
The Ravens secured a 35-10 blowout win, out-gaining the Bills by nearly 200 yards.
But that was way back in Week 4. And it was in Baltimore. Since then, Buffalo is 10-3, covering this number in each game.
The Bills were unstoppable at home this season and I expect them to put forth a much better showing with a trip to the AFC championship on the line.
- Buffalo is 9-0 at Highmark Stadium this season, winning by an average of 17.4 points.
- In those games, Josh Allen accounted for 24 touchdowns (19 passing, five rushing) with just four turnovers.
Allen has largely been a stud in the postseason — more on that in a moment — and I expect him to win this quarterback duel.
Other parlay picks
Allen anytime TD (-115): Allen hasn’t advanced any further than Jackson in the postseason, but his numbers are much, much better:
- Allen (6-5 record): 23 passing TDs, 5 rushing TDs, 4 INTs, 102.3 passer rating
- Jackson (3-4 record): 8 passing TDs, 3 rushing TDs, 6 INTs, 81.2 passer rating
I expect Allen to will the Bills to victory, and that starts with him taking charge in the red zone.
Buffalo’s QB has been a battering ram at the goal line this year, turning 18 carries within the 10-yard line to 10 touchdowns.
Allen found the end zone in six of his last eight regular season games and has great odds to score on Sunday.
Henry over 89.5 rushing yards (-167): Buffalo’s rush defence is suspect.
The unit allowed 4.5 yards per carry (tied for 22nd in the NFL) and gave up 199 yards to King Henry earlier this year.
Most teams didn’t put up gaudy rushing totals against the Bills, but that’s because they were often playing from behind.
I like Buffalo to win this game but believe Baltimore will keep it close.
A neutral game script for Henry should give him enough runway to clear this teased-down total.
Last week, he rumbled for 186 yards on 26 carries against the Pittsburgh Steelers. That marked the fourth straight game where he went over 135 rushing yards.
On the season, Henry is 11-7 against this line while averaging 117.0 rushing yards per game.
Picks made at 12:23 p.m. ET on 01/17/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.