The Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders meet for a divisional showdown on Black Friday.
The pregame narrative: Aidan O’Connell is starting for Vegas, and I think Kansas City can win this one by at least a score. Prop bets on Isiah Pacheco and Brock Bowers round out this +310 SGP.
Check out my Raiders vs. Chiefs same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 28.
Raiders vs. Chiefs same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Chiefs -6.5 + Pacheco to score + Bowers over 54.5 receiving yards (+310)
Chiefs -6.5 (-275): Kansas City isn’t playing its best football right now.
The Chiefs have failed to cover this number in four straight and barely beat the Carolina Panthers a week after losing to the Buffalo Bills.
But they’re still 10-1. If you want to see a team playing bad football, look at the Raiders:
- 2-9 record (4-7 ATS)
- Seven straight losses, six by 7+ points
- 29th in scoring defence (28.5 PPG)
- 26th in scoring offence (18.7 PPG)
This is a team without an identity and without a quarterback. Kansas City should roll its division rival back home at Arrowhead.
Other parlay picks
Pacheco anytime TD (-139): I know what you’re thinking: It’s risky backing a guy coming off the IR to score. But I’ll take the plunge.
Pacheco was a TD machine in the latter half of 2023, scoring in four consecutive games to close out the regular season and three of four playoff games.
His smash-mouth running style is made for the goal line, and he’s a capable receiving back, too.
Kareem Hunt is averaging 19.4 touches per game and will probably still get the lion’s share of carries but he’s failed to score in three straight.
In a game that has the potential to get out of hand, I can see Andy Reid getting Pacheco some goal line work.
Bowers over 54.5 receiving yards (-159): Bowers shouldn’t be affected by Minshew’s injury.
The rookie tight end leads his position group in targets (99), receptions (74) and yards (744) and has gone over this mark in seven of 11 games.
Bowers also ranks top 10 in the NFL in route participation (72.6%), snap share (82.9%) and target share (23.7%), according to Player Profiler.
He caught all five of his targets for 58 yards against the Chiefs last month and I expect an even better performance this time.
KC allows the most receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends, per CBS Sports.
Picks made at 1:28 p.m. on 11/28/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.