The Buffalo Bills are massive home favourites against the New England Patriots in Week 16 on Sunday.
The pregame narrative: I expect Buffalo to cover a two-touchdown spread and Josh Allen to continue his scoring binge. Drake Maye will almost certainly be playing from behind, putting an alternate passing total within reach.
Check out my Patriots vs. Bills same-game parlay predictions for Sunday, Dec. 20 at Highmark Stadium.
Patriots vs. Bills same-game parlay predictions
Go to full NFL betting markets
Parlay: Bills -13.5 + Allen anytime TD + Maye over 174.5 passing yards (+300)
Bills -13.5 (-120): The Bills just waltzed into Detroit and steamrolled the NFC-leading Lions.
The box score might read 48-42 but Buffalo had that game put away with a 21-point lead in the dying minutes of the third quarter.
Detroit managed to rally late which was to be expected from the NFL’s top scoring offence.
But the Patriots don’t have 42 points in their bag — they don’t even have half of that. New England is averaging 17.0 PPG, which is the second-lowest mark in the NFL.
Buffalo is a perfect 6-0 at home, with a +17.3 average margin of victory. Don’t overthink what should be a laugher.
Other parlay picks
Allen anytime TD (-152): I can’t say I’m thrilled with the way Allen is playing these days… but that’s only because I’m holding a Saquon Barkley MVP ticket at 65-to-1.
Buffalo’s quarterback has practically made that wager worthless. Allen is on a rampage, scoring a rushing touchdown in five straight games and eight total in that span.
He’s also making things happen through the air but I like him to stay hot near the goal line.
The 6-foot-5, 237-pound battering ram isn’t afraid to call his own number.
Allen’s 17 rushes within the 10-yard line are second to only Jalen Hurts among quarterbacks and are tied with players like Jahmyr Gibbs and Alvin Kamara.
Maye over 174.5 passing yards (-315): Buffalo gives up the eighth-most passing yards per game (227.8) mostly because its opponents are playing catch up.
New England won’t be able to run the ball and bleed clock if its down big like I expect, meaning Maye will have to sling it.
And the rookie QB has done well to produce behind an awful offensive line.
He has 200-plus passing yards in four straight games and has cleared this total in every contest he’s played start to finish.
Picks made at 2:26 p.m. on 12/20/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.