Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs look to keep their undefeated record intact on Monday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: Mahomes is missing several of his top weapons and takes on a New Orleans Saints team with a formidable defence. The MVP frontrunner is expected to get the job done, though, and his Chiefs are -5.5 favourites at Arrowhead Stadium.
Check out our Patrick Mahomes props, odds and best bet for Week 5 of Monday Night Football.
Patrick Mahomes props
Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.
| Mahomes prop markets | Betting odds |
| Over 233.5 pass yards | -133 |
| Under 233.5 pass yards | -115 |
| Over 19.5 rushing yards | -109 |
| Under 19.5 rushing yards | -120 |
| Over 255.5. passing/rushing yards | -114 |
| Under 255.5 passing/rushing yards | -114 |
| Over 1.5 passing TDs | -106 |
| Under 1.5 passing TDs | -124 |
| Anytime TD scorer | +300 |
| Over 0.5 interceptions | -121 |
| Under 0.5 interceptions | -107 |
NFL odds as of 12:30 p.m. ET on 10/07/2024.
Mahomes tops the MVP odds board despite a mediocre start to the season.
And that’s not holding the three-time Super Bowl champion to his own standards — he’s truly been average.
Mahomes has completed 68.6% of his passes for 226.0 yards per game with six touchdowns and five interceptions. He ranks 15th in RBSDM.com’s EPA per play, right in between Justin Fields and Jared Goff.
But KC’s quarterback has engineered game-winning drives when needed, which is worth its weight in gold. Mahomes will be tested on MNF against a Saints defence that allows the seventh-fewest points per game.
Best Mahomes prop bet
Best Bet: Mahomes over 19.5 rushing yards (-109)
I backed Mahomes to clear his rushing total in my MNF prop bets and same-game parlay. Let’s triple down.
Kansas City is missing Isiah Pacheco, Rashee Rice and Hollywood Brown. Those are three huge playmakers. With Travis Kelce not performing up to his standards I expect the Saints’ defence, which ranks fourth in EPA per play, to have a solid game plan.
If yards don’t come easy for the Chiefs, Mahomes should need to improvise.
When he needs to get the job done, there are few QBs that are better at extending broken plays. Mahomes has only cleared this line once this season but went over it line in 13 of 20 games last year.
Pick made at 11:59 a.m. ET on 10/07/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.