The Seattle Seahawks host the Green Bay Packers in a Sunday Night Football game with massive playoff implications.
The pregame narrative: The Seahawks need a win to stay ahead of the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC West while the Packers aim to solidify their place as one of the conference’s top wild-card teams. I like Zach Charbonnet to be active in the receiving game and Josh Jacobs to have a big workload.
Check out my Packers vs. Seahawks prop picks for Sunday Night Football on Dec. 15.
Packers vs. Seahawks prop picks
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Best Bet: Charbonnet over 29.5 receiving yards (-107)
Kenneth Walker III is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game after missing a full week of practice. If he can’t play, which seems likely, Charbonnet should feast.
Seattle’s RB2 took the lead role last weekend and exploded for 134 rushing yards and 59 receiving.
He was relatively quiet the few weeks before but has been a solid pass-catcher all season. Check out his numbers across 13 games:
- 2.7 receptions and 3.3 targets/game
- 20.3 receiving yards/game
- 25+ receiving yards five times
The second-year product out of UCLA has only cleared this line in three of 13 contests but we have to consider Walker’s workload.
Walker averages 3.8 catches, 4.5 targets, and 27.1 receiving yards per game. Those looks will be going Charbonnet’s way, who logged an 80% snap count last week with Walker sidelined.
Charbonnet averaged 35.3 receiving yards and cleared this total twice in three games without Walker this year. I like his chances of staying hot in a plus matchup.
Key stat: Green Bay allows the fourth-most receiving yards per game to RBs (43.5), per CBS Sports.
Quick pick
Jacobs over 18.5 rushing attempts (-113): The Packers have been feeding Jacobs recently and it’s been working.
Green Bay’s bell-cow back has logged 18-plus carries in four straight games, totalling 291 yards and eight touchdowns.
Seattle’s defence gives up the 10th-fewest passing yards per game and ranks ninth in RBSDM.com’s defensive EPA per dropback.
But the group is much more susceptible on the ground, allowing the 12th-most rushing yards while ranking 16th in defensive EPA per rush.
Matt LaFleur isn’t shy to give Jacobs a heavy workload and I think Sunday will be no different. I also can’t picture Seattle blowing out Green Bay, who has only lost by more than five points once this year.
A neutral or favourable game script would certainly help Jacobs’ case.
Picks made at 1:57 p.m. ET 12/14/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.