Today’s 14-game NHL slate provides plenty of options for prop picks.
The pregame narrative: Connor McDavid is on a tear right now and I like him to score against the Utah Hockey Club. I also like the value on Miro Heiskanen’s point prop.
Check out my NHL prop picks for Nov. 29.
NHL prop picks
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Best bet: McDavid to score a goal (+100)
McDavid is playing like he’s inspired by Alex Ovechkin’s chase of the all-time NHL goal record.
The Oilers captain has scored in six of the last eight games, tallying eight goals total in that span.
In November, McDavid has 18 points in nine games. But since his odds to score two-plus points is -134, I’d rather take the risk on him potting another goal.
Utah isn’t a strong defensive team, allowing the 13th-most goals per game (3.14).
The Hockey Club also takes the most penalty minutes per game (12.5) and has a pedestrian 77.4% penalty kill success rate.
There’s a real chance McDavid makes a run for the Hart Trophy, and if so, he’ll need to stay hot as a scorer.
Key stat: McDavid is 6-3 against this prop since returning from injury earlier this month.
Quick pick
Heiskenen to record a point (-125): Heiskanen has started the season slow by his standards but I have good reason to get behind the Stars’ defenceman tonight.
- Heiskanen has points in three straight games.
- Colorado allows the third-most goals per game (3.65).
The Avs are a weird case. They are 2-1 in the last three games but allowed 13 goals in that span. Overall, the team has allowed four-plus goals 11 times this season.
A major reason for Colorado’s inconsistency is goaltending. Alexandar Georgiev has a 7-5 record despite owning a pitiful 3.27 GAA and .875 SV% and the third-worst goals saved above expected (-7.6).
Heiskanen leads the Stars in time on ice with 24:53 per game. I like his chances of getting on the score sheet against the Avalanche.
NHL picks made at 1:16 p.m. on 11/29/2024.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.