NHL prop picks Nov. 15: Back Dylan Larkin, Ivan Barbashev

NHL prop picks

I’m targeting two players from Friday’s five-game NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: Dylan Larkin is leading the Detroit Red Wings in shots and should continue to pile them up tonight. Elsewhere, Ivan Barbashev is a good bet to find the stat sheet.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 15 below.

NHL prop picks

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Best Bet: Larkin over 3.5 shots (+115)

Detroit finds itself near the bottom of the Atlantic Division once again after a mediocre start to the year.

Picking up points against bad teams like the Anaheim Ducks will be crucial, and I expect the Red Wings’ captain to lead the charge tonight.

Anaheim allows the most shots per game (35.5) and the most chances per 60 (78.0), according to Natural Stat Trick.

The gap between the Ducks and the second-worst team in chances allowed per 60 (San Jose Sharks, 69.07) is the same as the gap between the Sharks and the 19th-ranked Washington Capitals.

Yeah, they just don’t play defence over there.

Larkin started this season off by going under this number in seven consecutive games. But he’s cleared it in five of eight games since and paces the Red Wings with 42 shots on goal.

Key stat: Larkin had five SOG the last time he played the Ducks.

Quick pick

Barbashev to record a point (-118): Barbashev is having a breakout season with the Vegas Golden Knights, logging eight goals and 17 points in 16 games.

He’s skating on the top line alongside Jack Eichel and Pavel Dorofeyev while getting power play time with the second unit.

The Russian has a point in three of his last four games with five total in that span.

Tonight, he’s going up against the Utah Hockey Club, a team allowing the 12th-most shots (29.5) and goals (3.25) per game.

Connor Ingram seems to be the likely candidate in goal and he ranks outside the top 45 in GAA and SV%.

NHL picks made at 11:49 a.m. on 11/15/2024.

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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.