NHL prop picks Nov. 14: Back Kaprizov, Michkov and Buchnevich on Thursday

NHL prop picks

Thursday’s NHL schedule has 10 games, which means there will be plenty of options for prop picks.

The pregame narrative: Kirill Kaprizov is taking the league by storm and has a good matchup to go off again tonight. Elsewhere, take Matvei Michkov and Pavel Buchnevich to both register a point.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 14 below.

NHL prop picks

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Best Bet: Kaprizov to record 2+ points (+100)

Kaprizov has been on fire this season. Here are some notable numbers:

  • The Minnesota winger has 28 points in 15 games
  • In the past three games, he has seven points

And tonight, he plays the NHL’s worst defence. Montreal allows the most goals per game (4.13) and has allowed four or more goals in three consecutive outings.

Kaprizov leads Wild forwards in average ice time (22:10) by a wide margin and has contributed to 52.8% of all Minnesota goals this season.

Key stat: He is 9-6 against this line.

Quick pick

Michkov to record a point (-117): The rookie is having a great season. He scored 12 points in his first 14 career games.

Michkov recorded three points in his last two games after going pointless in the previous four.

I expect his momentum to continue for a couple of reasons:

  • Michkov is playing on the first power play line and leads the Flyers with an average of 3:33 PP time per game
  • He has seven points in as many road games this season

Despite being a rookie, Michkov is clearly one of the more talented offensive players on Philadelphia and I love his value here.

Buchnevich to record a point (-134): Lastly, I’m looking for a way to fade the Buffalo Sabres and I like this number for one of the St. Louis Blues’ top wingers.

The Blues are one of the worst offensive teams in the NHL, scoring the seventh-fewest goals per game, but there’s reason to be concerned with the Sabres’ defence tonight.

Buffalo turns to Devon Levi, who has struggled mightily this season.

  • Levi has a 4.10 GAA and .866 SV%
  • He has stopped the fifth-fewest goals above expected (-5.7), per Money Puck

The 22-year-old goalie allowed 10 goals across his last two starts and followed that up by letting in two goals on four shots in a relief appearance against Montreal on Monday.

There’s nothing to show me that Levi is going to turn things around anytime soon, and I’m expecting Buchnevich to take advantage.

NHL picks made at 10:28 a.m. on 11/14/2024.

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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.