There are just two NHL games on Wednesday but I still found three prop picks worth a look.
The pregame narrative: Brady Tkachuk hasn’t scored in three straight but has a great matchup to get back on track. I also like picks on Owen Power and Troy Terry.
Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 11.
NHL prop picks
Go to full NHL betting markets.
Best bet: Tkachuk to score 1+ goal (+105)
Ottawa’s captain was the subject of some false trade rumours that were shut down by the Ottawa Senators’ front office immediately — but Tkachuk may still be playing with some extra ferocity.
Not that he needs any motivation. Tkachuk fills up all portions of the stat sheet with 13 goals, 16 assists, 106 hits, 50 penalty minutes, and 117 shots this season.
I want to focus on that last stat. His 4.3 shots per game average leads the NHL ahead of names like Auston Matthews, David Pastrnak and Nathan MacKinnon.
That’s the production of someone who should be scoring 40-plus goals every season.
Tkachuks never had 40 but is right around the pace this season and can make up ground in a soft matchup with the Anaheim Ducks.
- Anaheim allows the most shots per game (32.9)
- Ottawa generates the third-most shots per game (30.9)
Unfortunately, the over on Tkachuk’s 3.5 shot prop is unplayable at its price (-200) but why not take him to score instead at plus money?
Key stat: Tkachuk has eight goals in 15 home games this season.
Quick pick
Power to record 1+ point (+112): This pick is based on opportunity.
Buffalo’s top defenceman Rasmus Dahlin landed on the injured reserve yesterday and will be out for the foreseeable future.
Dahlin has already missed three games and here’s Power’s stats in those games:
- 25:48 average time on ice
- Cashed this wager twice
The huge uptick in ice time (22:26 season average) gives Power more opportunity to be involved in the offence.
Power has zero powerplay points on the season but has been skating with the first PP unit in Dahlin’s absence so that’s surely to change.
And it’s not like the New York Rangers are to be feared right now. They are 2-8 in their last 10, allowing 40 goals over that span.
Terry over 2.5 shots (-106): I was watching the Ducks’ last game against the Montreal Canadiens on Monday and Terry was clearly the most explosive player on Anaheim’s offence.
That’s not a hot take by any means as the winger’s 21 points are eight more than second-place Frank Vatrano (13).
However, it seems the Ducks’ coaching staff took longer to realize than most. Terry is averaging 18:41 of ice time per game but has played 21 or more in four of the past five games.
Over that time, Terry is 4-1 against the line with 24 shots (4.8 per game).
Picks made at 9:31 a.m. 12/11/2024.
Looking to get started? Sign up here.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.