Two running backs are featured in my wild-card weekend TD picks.
The pregame narrative: The playoffs are here and fans are treated to six exciting matchups this weekend. I like Josh Jacobs and J.K. Dobbins to all score in their respective wild-card games.
Check out my favourite NFL TD picks for this weekend’s wild-card games.
NFL TD picks
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Best bet: Jacobs anytime TD (-120): The price on this prop immediately caught my eye.
Jacobs went on a tear in the second half of the season, scoring in 10 of the final 11 games.
This is a tough matchup, no doubt, but Jacobs has been matchup-proof all year. Plus, bettors get a playable line because of it.
Philadelphia gave up the second-fewest points per game this season (17.8), but Green Bay’s offence shouldn’t be slept on.
The Packers finished with averages of 27.1 points and 146.8 rushing yards per game.
Jacobs’ rushing attempts prop is set at 17.5, giving an idea of how much volume the running back will see.
If he’s anywhere around that line, I like the prospects of a few of those touches being near the Eagles’ end zone.
Key stat: Since Week 8, Jacobs is tied for second in the NFL with 43 red zone carries and leads the league with 13 TDs, per Fantasy Pros.
Wild-card touchdown scorer picks
Evans anytime TD (-108): Evans had another outstanding year, joining Jerry Rice as the only receiver in NFL history with 11 consecutive 1,000-yard seasons.
The 31-year-old wideout was productive in all areas:
- 11 TDs
- 71.7 yards/game
- 13 red zone targets
It’s worth noting that Evans missed three games with an injury, too.
The Washington Commanders don’t have the best defence, either.
They have a below-average scoring defence (23.0 points/game) that got torched by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 37-20, in Week 1.
Evans had two TDs in that game.
Dobbins anytime TD (+110): Dobbins played in just 13 games (11 starts) but was productive when called upon.
The tailback scored nine times and was a vital part of the Los Angeles Chargers offence in his first year with the team.
His opponent, the Houston Texans, is better against the pass than it is against the rush. The Texans have an average scoring defence, giving up 21.9 points per game.
Dobbins averaged 17.5 touches during the regular season and is sure to be heavily involved with a spot in the AFC Divisional Round on the line.
He possesses the ability to break loose for a long run and split the tackles near the goal line. I like this spot at plus money.
Picks made at 2:49 p.m. ET on 01/07/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.