One running back, one tight end, and one wide receiver make up this week’s NFL prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Saquon Barkley returns to the Meadowlands for the first time since leaving the New York Giants in free agency and I expect him to show out. Elsewhere, back Brock Bowers and Xavier Legette to clear their receiving totals.
Check out the best NFL Week 7 prop bets for the upcoming games.
NFL Week 7 prop bets
Go to full NFL Week 7 betting markets.
Best bet: Barkley over 83.5 rushing (-114)
Who doesn’t love a little revenge game?
Barkley stated that he has “no hate” toward his former team this week but in the summer, the running back thought New York’s contract negotiations were “a little disrespectful” and “kind of like a slap in the face.”
Is he upset or is it water under the bridge? Who’s to say … what I do know is that the Eagles should use Barkley early and often on Sunday.
The two-time Pro Bowler had his worst offensive output of the year coming out of the bye, totalling just 47 rushing yards on 18 carries (2.6 YPC).
But he still got the lion’s share of carries and was remarkably efficient in the four games prior, clearing this mark in each contest while averaging 108.6 yards at 5.95 YPC.
The Giants have a much better rush defence than pass defence and I think Philly can jump out to an early lead with A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith back in the mix. That game script would work in Barkley’s favour, though he should still get looks even in a tight game.
Outside of a 33-16 blowout loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers where the Eagles had to abandon the run, Barkley has received at least 17 rush attempts per game.
Key stat: Barkley ranks third in rushing yards per game (96.4)
Quick picks
Bowers over 59.5 receiving yards (-114): “Look at me, I’m the captain now:” Bowers, probably.
Davante Adams is now a New York Jet and Jakobi Meyers is trending towards missing another game. Bowers has logged at least 79% of snaps since Adams went down with a hamstring “injury” and has 22 targets in the last two games.
The rookie blew by this total in both contests, logging 97 yards against the Denver Broncos and 71 yards against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Denver and Pittsburgh boast elite secondaries and the same can’t be said about the Los Angeles Rams.
L.A. has allowed the third-most receiving yards per game to tight ends (59.0) and ranks 31st in defensive EPA per dropback, per RBSDM.com.
Legette over 40.5 receiving yards (-117): Things are ugly in Carolina but let’s forget about that for a moment.
The Panthers take on a Washington Commanders team which is off to a 4-2 start despite its atrocious secondary. Washington ranks 28th in defensive EPA per dropback and has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game to WRs (169.6).
Legette is 2-4 against this line but hauled in 6-of-10 targets for 66 yards against the Cincinnati Bengals, whose pass defence is just a smidge better than Washington’s.
Diontae Johnson leads the team in targets (55) but didn’t practice Wednesday or Thursday due to an ankle injury. Legette should be the No. 1 option on Sunday.
Picks made at 12:57 p.m. ET on 10/17/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.