One wide receiver, one tight end, and a running back are featured in these NFL Week 3 prop bets.
The pregame narrative: The New Orleans Saints are rolling and I like Chris Olave to clear his receiving total. Elsewhere, bet on Brock Bowers to stay hot and fade Kyren Williams against the San Francisco 49ers.
Check out the best NFL Week 3 prop bets for the upcoming games.
NFL Week 3 prop bets
Go to full NFL Week 3 betting markets.
Best bet: Olave over 60.5 receiving yards (-115)
Klint Kubiak has the Bayou buzzing.
Through two games, the Saints lead the NFL in points per game (45.5) and offensive EPA per play. They just rolled into Jerry World and dismantled the Dallas Cowboys. Up next is a tasty matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Olave didn’t do much in the season opener but he caught four of six targets for 81 yards last weekend.
Bettors shouldn’t let Rashid Shaheed’s hot start fool them — Olave is still the alpha dog in the receiving room.
The Ohio State product logged 1,000-plus receiving yards in each of his first two seasons and had a 38% target share against Dallas.
The Saints didn’t need to throw the ball much in the second half but I imagine the Eagles will do a better job of keeping pace than the Cowboys.
And if they do, this has all the makings of a shootout.
Philadelphia’s secondary was atrocious coming down the stretch last year and hasn’t looked much better so far. It has allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game and ranks 25th in defensive EPA per dropback.
Key stat: Olave was targeted in 46.2% of his routes ran last week.
Quick picks
Bowers 45.5 receiving yards (-113): Would it be hyperbolic to say Bowers is already TE1? Because from a numbers standpoint, he is.
The rookie leads all tight ends in targets (17), receptions (15) and receiving yards (156). He cleared this total in both games and has been the perfect safety blanket for Gardner Minshew.
Bowers had 98 yards against the Baltimore Ravens last week and now gets the Carolina Panthers.
Carolina has allowed the sixth-most targets to tight ends (15) and the eighth-most yards (104).
Williams under 65.5 rushing yards (-114): Williams posted 1,144 rushing yards last year at a 5.0 YPC clip, but the early results in 2024 aren’t encouraging.
Los Angeles’ lead back put up 50 yards on 18 touches (2.5 YPC) against the Detroit Lions and 25 yards on 12 touches against the Arizona Cardinals (2.1 YPC).
The Rams don’t have Cooper Kupp or Puka Nacua, which should force Sean McVay into a run-heavy scheme. But the San Francisco 49ers can counter by stacking the box and making Matthew Stafford beat them with a decimated WR room.
Williams had 52 yards in 14 carries in his lone start against the Niners last year.
Picks made at 11:55 a.m. ET on 09/19/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.