I’ve got a quarterback and a receiver featured in my NFL Week 18 TD picks.
The pregame narrative: Jayden Daniels should have plenty of chances to score in a plus matchup. At the same time, Adam Thielen is a worthwhile play based on his recent production.
Check out the best NFL Week 18 TD picks for Sunday’s football games.
NFL Week 18 TD picks
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Best bet: Daniels anytime TD (+110): Daniels ran all over the Dallas Cowboys earlier this season, and he’s far from the only player to do that.
In Week 12, Daniels rushed seven times for 74 yards and a touchdown. On the season, Dallas has given up a league-high 24 rushing TDs.
Daniels hasn’t rushed for a touchdown in three straight games, but his overall output in that span (274 rush yards on 36 attempts) is superb.
Key stat: Daniels has three-plus red zone carries in three of his past four games.
Quick picks
Thielen anytime TD (+175): Thielen is finishing his age-34 season strong, and he’s clearly the most reliable red zone target for the Carolina Panthers right now.
The 11-year vet has put on a clinic over his past five games:
- 4 TDs
- 1+ red zone targets in 4/5 games
- 6+ targets in 5/5 games
- 5+ catches in 5/5 games
Xavier Legette has only been targeted in the red zone in one of Carolina’s past five games, and tailback Raheem Blackshear was abysmal last week in his first start (eight rushes, 20 yards).
If the Panthers get into the prime scoring area, expect Thielen to be Bryce Young’s primary option.
Picks made at 1:49 p.m. ET on 01/03/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.