Two running backs and one star receiver make up Week 17’s NFL TD picks.
The pregame narrative: Justin Jefferson is coming alive at the right time of the season and I believe he will score this weekend. I also like the value on tailbacks James Cook and Tank Bigsby.
Check out the best NFL Week 17 TD picks for Sunday’s football games.
NFL Week 17 TD picks
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Best bet: Cook anytime TD (-127)
The Bills’ running back has picked up any slack left behind by Stefon Diggs by tallying 16 touchdowns in 14 games.
In the past 10 weeks, Cook has 11 scores, including back-to-back 100-yard performances against the Detroit Lions and New England Patriots in Weeks 15 and 16.
Cook is averaging an impressive 5.1 yards per carry and he’s only scored eight touchdowns from inside the red zone, per Fantasy Pros.
That means the tailback has scored half his touchdowns from outside the red zone which highlights his big play ability.
The New York Jets provide a fairly tough matchup but it’s clear to me at this point that Cook is matchup-proof — I want in on these odds.
Key stat: Cook has scored a TD in eight of his past 10 games.
Quick picks
Jefferson anytime TD (-121): From Weeks 12-16, Jefferson has been a beast near the end zone catching all seven of his red zone targets.
Jordan Addison has turned into a top WR2 for the Minnesota Vikings but this is still Jefferson’s offence.
Over the past three weeks, Jefferson has:
- 24 catches
- 349 yards
- Five touchdowns
It appears JJettas is at 100% health again and he looks like the best receiver in the league going into the playoffs.
The Green Bay Packers provide a tough matchup but that’s the reason for the modest odds.
If the Vikings want to win this weekend, Jefferson will need to make his mark and I believe he’ll do so with another score.
Bigsby anytime TD (+140): The Jacksonville Jaguars’ leading rusher is seeing another uptick in volume.
Bigsby ran the ball 10-plus times in three straight weeks. He scored in two of those games.
He rushed seven times in the red zone since Week 13 and now gets a matchup where the Jaguars can potentially do damage.
The Tennessee Titans allow the 10th most rushing yards (129.9) per game and the second-most points (27.8).
Travis Etienne has yet to score a rushing touchdown this season and I suspect the Jaguars keep going to Bigsby who’s more of a between-the-tackles runner.
Picks made at 3:49 p.m. ET on 12/27/2024.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.