Three big names headline these NFL Week 16 prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Jerry Jeudy is having a breakout season and I expect him to stay hot despite a quarterback change. Two running backs — Saquon Barkley and Bijan Robinson — have my attention against suspect defences.
Check out the best NFL Week 16 prop bets for the upcoming games.
NFL Week 16 prop bets
Go to full NFL Week 16 betting markets.
Best bet: Jeudy over 62.5 receiving yards (-120)
Jeudy won’t have Jameis Winston under centre this week as the journeyman signal-caller has been benched in favour of Dorian Thompson-Robinson.
That’s probably a bad thing for the wideout’s production considering Winston loved to let it fly.
But I don’t envision the Cleveland Browns completely abandoning the pass game.
The Cincinnati Bengals score in droves which will likely force the Browns into doing the opposite. With Nick Chubb out, a Jerome Ford-led backfield won’t be enough to keep pace with Joe Burrow and Co.
And Jeudy has been on a rampage over his last seven games:
- 112.3 yards per game
- 9.9 targets per game
- 7-0 against this line with 70+ receiving yards in 6/7 games
The fifth-year receiver is finally looking like a true No. 1 and this matchup is oozing with potential.
Also, David Njoku missed practice on Thursday, which means even more targets could be coming Jeudy’s way.
Key stat: Cincinnati is allowing the most passing yards per game (271.4) and ranks 26th in RBSDM.com’s defensive EPA per dropback.
Quick picks
Barkley over 95.5 rushing yards (-120): This is a huge number but Barkley isn’t your run-of-the-mill player.
The first-year Philadelphia Eagle leads the NFL in carries (285), rushing yards (1,688), and rushing yards per game (120.6).
He’s averaging 5.9 yards per attempt and has cleared this mark in seven of his last nine games. That includes a 146-yard, two-TD performance against the Washington Commanders in Week 11.
Washington’s rush defence ranks 29th in yards per rush (4.8) and 23rd in rush success rate (42.4%).
Barkley’s MVP case is on life support but I expect him to keep the conversation alive with a statement game.
Robinson over 21.5 receiving yards (-118): Robinson is only in his second season — and is two years younger than Michael Penix Jr. — but he should be a player the rookie quarterback can lean on.
The dynamic tailback has fallen under this total in back-to-back games but had cleared it in nine of 12 prior, and is averaging 29.3 receiving yards on the season.
The New York Giants rank 11th in blitz rate (27.5%) and 13th in pressure rate (23.4%) so I anticipate Penix will be instructed to get the ball out quickly.
New York allows the sixth-most receiving yards per game to opposing RBs (40.29), per CBS Sports.
Picks made at 3:16 p.m. ET on 12/19/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.