This week’s NFL parlay features two moneyline picks and an alt ATS wager.
The pregame narrative: The Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles are rolling and I expect each to stay in the win column on Sunday. Elsewhere, back the Pittsburgh Steelers as a teased-up road underdog against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Check out my NFL Week 13 parlay picks for Sunday’s action.
NFL Week 13 parlay picks
Go to full NFL Week 13 betting markets.
Parlay: Eagles moneyline + Bills moneyline + Steelers +7.5 (+335)
Eagles moneyline (+137): This could very well be a Super Bowl preview, which speaks to how good both teams have been. But I’ll ride with Philly considering its stellar recent form.
The Eagles have been thrashing teams since their Week 5 bye:
- 7-0 record (5-2 ATS)
- +107 point differential.
- Second in RBSDM.com’s defensive EPA per play
Saquon Barkley has emerged as a legitimate MVP candidate and Jalen Hurts has done a great job taking care of the football.
But it’s Philadelphia’s defence that has my attention. The Eagles have held six of their last seven opponents to 20 points or fewer and are exceptional at stopping the run.
I expect that unit will give Baltimore trouble and don’t trust the Ravens’ secondary to hold up against a red-hot A.J. Brown.
Other parlay picks
Bills moneyline (-334): San Francisco’s injury report is lit up like a Christmas tree. Take a look at some of the players it might be missing this weekend:
- Brock Purdy (questionable) — Limited Wednesday
- Trent Williams (questionable) — DNP Wednesday
- Nick Bosa (questionable) — DNP Wednesday
- Deommodore Lenoir (questionable) — DNP Wednesday
That’s on top of All-Pros Brandon Aiyuk and Talanoa Hufanga being on the injured reserve.
Even if they were all healthy, beating the Bills in Buffalo would be a tall order.
Josh Allen and Co. are destroying teams at Highmark Stadium with a 5-0 record and a +15.8 average margin of victory. And they’re 20-4 straight up at home over the last three seasons.
Steelers +7.5 (-239): The Steelers are coming off a whacky loss to the Browns in a blizzard but they should rebound as a road dog.
Pittsburgh had won five straight games before that and is 11-0 ATS against this number this season.
Mike Tomlin’s group also went 5-1 in divisional games last year and 2-0 against the Bengals. Joe Burrow didn’t play in those games but Pittsburgh was starting Kenny Pickett and Mason Rudolph, so I consider that a wash.
Russell Wilson is a veteran playing some good football and he should have a field day against the Bengals. Cincy’s secondary ranks 23rd in passing yards allowed and defensive EPA per dropback.
NFL picks made at 12:13 p.m. on 11/28/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.