I’m targeting three big names for these NFL Week 12 prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Jayden Daniels faces the Dallas Cowboys for the first time and I expect him to have a game. Elsewhere, bet on Nico Collins and De’Von Achane to clear their respective receiving and rushing totals.
Check out the best NFL Week 12 prop bets for the upcoming games.
NFL Week 12 prop bets
Go to full NFL Week 12 betting markets.
Best bet: Daniels over 39.5 rushing yards (-118)
Daniels seemingly had the Offensive Rookie of the Year on lock before a pair of rough games against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Philadelphia Eagles.
In those contests, he produced just one touchdown while rushing for a combined 23 yards.
But let’s not forget what the 2024 No. 2 pick was doing before that:
- Led Washington to a 7-2 record
- 13 total TDs, three INTs
- 71.4% completion rate, 106.7 passer rating
- 459 rushing yards (51.0 per game)
Daniels was lighting the league on fire and cleared this line in six of nine contests, landing between 35-39 rushing yards in two of the outliers.
He is electric on the ground and calls his own number often, averaging north of 8.0 rushing attempts per game. The Commanders get a reeling Cowboys defence on Sunday and should lean on the rookie’s legs.
Key stat: Dallas is allowing the second-most rushing yards per game (151.0) and the fourth-most rushing yards per game to quarterbacks, per CBS Sports.
Quick picks
Collins over 73.5 receiving yards (-117): Collins’ first touch in his return from a five-game injured reserve stint was a 77-yard touchdown … that got called back due to a holding penalty.
He ended up finishing under this line with four catches for 54 yards but looked fresh and only played 47% of snaps in a blowout win.
Back at home, I expect Collins to return to his pre-injury form as one of the best receivers in the NFL.
He cleared this line in all five games while averaging 113.4 yards per game.
Collins ranked fourth in targets per routes run last year (32.0%), according to RotoWire, and should be heavily featured in Houston’s offence against the Tennessee Titans.
Achane over 67.5 rushing yards (-115): The New England Patriots used to be a tough team to run against but let’s not live in the past.
New England is giving up the fifth-most rushing yards per game to tailbacks (116.6) at the eighth-highest yards per attempt (4.67).
Achane was on the receiving end of a big hit that knocked him out of the game the last time he played he Pats and naturally fell under this line.
But in the five games since returning, he is 3-2 against this line while averaging 69.4 yards at 5.3 yards per attempt.
I expect Miami to torch its division rival behind a run-heavy game script.
Picks made at 3:20 p.m. ET on 11/21/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.