Trey McBride headlines this week’s NFL TD picks.
The pregame narrative: McBride and the Arizona Cardinals are expected to blow out the bottom-feeding Tennessee Titans at home. I’m backing him to find the end zone at plus money.
Check out my top Week 5 NFL TD picks, featuring Miami Dolphins RB Ollie Gordon II.
NFL TD picks: Week 5
Best bet: McBride anytime TD (+125)
Marvin Harrison Jr. had his mini breakout game during Thursday Night Football in Week 4, but McBride is still the needle mover on Arizona’s offence.
The third-year TE leads the team in snaps (236), targets (35), receptions (24), and receiving yards (234).
That’s only materialized in a single touchdown, which should change against a truly awful team.
- The Titans are 0-4 and are on a 10-game losing streak dating back to last season.
- Tennessee is giving up are giving up 30 points per game this year.
- It was just out-possessed by almost 40 minutes by the Houston Texans in a 26-0 loss.
McBride should have ample opportunities to find the end zone as Arizona marches down the field repeatedly.
Best NFL touchdown bets
Gordon II anytime TD (+300): I love the value here on Gordon to find the end zone.
The rookie is cutting into DeVon Achane’s role as a lead back, equalling the number of red zone carries (six apiece) over the last two weeks.
In that span, he has two carries inside the five-yard line, while Achane has zero.
But this is more about Miami’s opponent, the Carolina Panthers.
Carolina was the worst team against the run last year, and hasn’t improved through a month this season.
The Panthers rank 24th in EPA per rush and are giving up 1.3 rushing TDs per game (fifth-most in the NFL).
NFL TD picks made at 10:45 a.m. ET on 10/03/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.