One wide receiver, one tight end and one running back make up these NFL Week 5 prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Ladd McConkey’s slow start has led to a very attainable receiving total against the Washington Commanders. I expect the Los Angeles Chargers wideout to ball out, and also expect Detroit’s Sam LaPorta to have an outsized role against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Check out my top Week 5 NFL prop bets, featuring a pick on New York Jets running back Breece Hall.
NFL prop bets: Week 5
Best bet: McConkey over 58.5 receiving yards (-118)
Backing McConkey might seem risky on a surface level.
The sophomore has 16 catches on 27 targets for 174 yards through four games, ranking third in each of those categories behind Quentin Johnston and Keenan Allen.
But McConkey still leads the Chargers in route participation (88.7%) and has a great matchup.
Washington’s defence has allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game to wide receivers (154.75) and ranks 28th in EPA per pass.
McConkey plays primarily out of the slot, meaning he’ll avoid lockdown corner Marshon Lattimore, who has played 88% of snaps as the right cornerback so far, per FantasyPoints.com.
McConkey has gone under this mark in three straight games, but he cleared it in 10 of 12 games prior.
This is a supremely talented player, and I think the market has overreacted to a slow start.
Key stat: McConkey is averaging 72.4 receiving yards per game in his career.
Best NFL picks
LaPorta over 39.5 receiving yards (-118): There’s so much star power in Detroit that anyone could pop on a week-to-week basis. That said, this seems like a smash spot for LaPorta.
Cincinnati’s defence is horrendous and has been abused by tight ends.
The Bengals have allowed the fourth-most catches (40) and ninth-most yards (244) to the position group so far.
LaPorta hasn’t done anything special through four games. He’s averaging 44.3 receiving yards per game while going 1-3 against this line, landing on 39 yards in his last outing.
He also closed the 2024 season by clearing this line in six straight. Expect an above-average performance.
Hall over 26.5 receiving yards (-113): I’m backing Justin Fields to throw two touchdowns at +190, and in a perfect world, one of those will come on a wheel route to Hall.
The dynamic tailback is always active in the passing game, logging the fourth-most receptions among RBs last year (57).
This year, he’s averaging 27.0 receiving yards.
Hall and the Jets take on a Dallas Cowboys defence that has allowed the third-most receiving yards per game to RBs (57.0).
Each of the four starting RBs to face Dallas has cleared this line.
NFL prop bets made at 4:07 p.m. ET on 10/02/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.