Friday night’s NBA action wraps up in the Mile High City, where the Denver Nuggets host a shorthanded Brooklyn Nets squad.
The pregame narrative: Brooklyn just lost three straight home games by 14-plus points, so this one could get ugly. But I still like Ben Simmons and Nic Claxton to produce for the visitors, while Nikola Jokic has been money from beyond the arc all season.
Check out my Nets vs. Nuggets same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 10.
Nets vs. Nuggets predictions
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Parlay: Jokic 2+ threes + Simmons 8+ assists + Claxton 6+ rebounds (+250)
Jokic 2+ threes (-155): Whenever I’m researching a same-game parlay involving the Nuggets, I have to at least check the price on this prop.
More often than not, it comes out looking like a value to me.
- Jokic has seriously upped his 3-point volume this year, averaging 4.8 attempts per game (his career average is 3.0).
- Has the added volume hurt his efficiency? No, actually, it’s had the opposite effect. Jokic is shooting a league-best 47.3% from deep (his career average is 35.9%).
- The three-time MVP has 2+ threes in 22/31 games this season (71.0%).
Jokic has one game this year where he didn’t attempt a 3-pointer, and that was on Oct. 29 against the Nets.
In fairness, Brooklyn is a relatively stingy squad in this facet, yielding the third-fewest attempted 3s per game (36.1).
Then again, the Nets also allow the third-highest opponent 3-point percentage (37.7%).
Jokic has been too effective this year to go silent beyond the arc again. He’s listed as questionable with an illness, but if he plays, he should cash this bet.
SGP legs
Simmons 8+ assists (-134): This pick asks Simmons to outperform his season assists average (6.9), but Denver provides a plus matchup that should give him a good chance.
The Nuggets allow the third-most assists to opposing point guards (10.3/game), per Betting Pros, as well as the most assists overall (29.5/game).
Denver plays at the fifth-fastest pace in the NBA, which is a primary driver of those data points. More possessions lead to more opportunities for assists.
As stated, this line requires an above-average output from Simmons. But he’s been solid against this line recently.
In his past 13 games, Simmons has averaged 7.3 APG and hit this milestone eight times.
Claxton 6+ rebounds (-420): Claxton posted a season-high 12 rebounds against the Nuggets back in October, and that’s when he was coming off the bench.
The 6-foot-11 centre has enjoyed a starter’s role for the better part of two months, and he routinely hits this mark.
- 6+ rebounds in 22/31 games this season
- 7.4 RPG since Dec. 1
Maybe you’re asking yourself if it’s worth it to add a -420 leg to an SGP. In this case, the Claxton leg takes this ticket from +170 odds to +250, and that’s compelling enough for me.
Since March 2023, Claxton has hit this mark in all five games against the Nuggets, averaging 10.2 rebounds.
Picks made at 3:40 p.m. ET 01/10/2025
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.