Victor Wembanyama and Julius Randle are featured in my NBA prop bets for Wednesday.
The pregame narrative: Wemby always sees a high line on his blocks prop, but tonight it comes with a price (and a matchup) that entices me. Elsewhere, I expect Randle’s shooting woes to continue against the Phoenix Suns.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Jan. 29.
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Best bet: Randle under 1.5 threes (-112)
Randle had one of the best games of his season when he last faced the Suns, amassing 35 points on 11-of-20 shooting — including a 5-of-11 clip from 3-point range.
But that was back in mid-November, and I won’t let one game overshadow the rough stretch Randle is currently on.
Here’s what Randle has accomplished beyond the arc since Jan. 4 (13 games):
- 0.8 3PM
- 4.2 3PA
- 18.5 3PT%
- 2+ threes in 1/13 games
The ex-Knick is coming off a 3-for-8 effort from deep on Monday. But that was his first time hitting over 1.5 threes in more than three weeks.
Yes, he torched the Suns when he last faced them, but they aren’t a particularly enticing matchup. Phoenix allows the 13th-lowest 3PT% and the 15th-fewest attempted 3s in the NBA.
Randle is attempting 4.7 threes per night this season, and the way he’s shooting it right now, it’s best to side with this under.
Key stat: Randle has gone under 1.5 threes in 30 of 46 games (65.2%).
Quick pick
Wembanyama over 3.5 blocks (+115): This is a Wemby-sized line that should be attainable for the Defensive Player of the Year frontrunner.
Wembanyama paces the NBA in blocks (3.9/game) and has swatted 12 shots across his two matchups against the Los Angeles Clippers.
Since Dec. 15, the second-year superstar has cashed this bet in 10 of 18 matchups, averaging 4.7 blocks in that span.
L.A.’s opponents only average 4.7 total blocks, which are the 12th-fewest in the NBA. But Wemby changes the equation.
Picks made at 9:05 a.m. ET on 01/29/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.