Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Austin Reaves both have great opportunities to score in bunches on Friday night.
The pregame narrative: I like Reaves on a back-to-back, which is a situation he’s thrived in this season. SGA has excelled against pretty much everyone, and the Houston Rockets are no exception. Elsewhere, Donovan Mitchell is a worthy fade on his points prop.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 4.
NBA prop bets
Best Bet: Reaves over 2.5 threes (-125)
Reaves did his best Steph Curry impression last night, going 9-for-16 from beyond the arc in an exciting matchup against the Warriors.
I love this prop for Reaves, both because he’s shooting it well right now and because opportunities should come his way in the back-to-back setting.
- Luka Doncic might take the night off after playing 37-plus minutes in six consecutive games. He’s rested in three of six back-to-backs since joining the Lakers.
- LeBron James is unlikely to sit out, but his track record as a 3-point shooter is rough when playing on zero rest: 29.4 3PT%, 1.7 makes per game (9 games).
Reaves has only missed one of L.A.’s 11 back-to-backs this season. I could see him having a significant role against the New Orleans Pelicans.
Speaking of the Pelicans, they should provide a plus matchup for him. On a per-game basis, New Orleans allows the third-most made 3s (14.6) on the second-most attempts (40.0).
In his past 12 games, Reaves has cashed this bet eight times. He’s shooting 39.4 % from deep on 8.7 attempts in that span.
Key stat: Reaves is averaging 2.7 threes in 10 games on zero rest this season.
Best NBA picks
Mitchell under 25.5 points (-108): Without Victor Wembanyama manning the floor, the San Antonio Spurs are an easier team to score against.
But I think that benefit is more directly tied to big men than to guards like Mitchell.
- The Spurs allow the ninth-fewest points per game to opposing point guards (24.0), according to Betting Pros.
- Mitchell, who averages 24.0 PPG, finished with 25 points when he faced the Spurs last week. And that was without Evan Mobley in the lineup.
The Mobley-Jarrett Allen combo should be a force for Cleveland, and I don’t see Mitchell needing to do as much.
Mitchell has hit this under in eight of his past 11 games, averaging 22.1 PPG in that span.
Gilgeous-Alexander over 31.5 points (-117): As high as this line is, it actually sits comfortably below Gilgeous-Alexander’s scoring average for the year (32.8 PPG).
And the Rockets have proven to be a desirable matchup for the runaway MVP favourite.
Check out what he’s done in seven games against the Rockets since the start of last season:
- 34.9 PPG
- 56.8 FG%
- 29+ points in 7 of 7
- 32+ points in 5 of 7
When the Rockets last saw him, Gilgeous-Alexander put up 51 points on 18-of-30 shooting.
Houston allows the third-most points to opposing PGs — as well as the second-fewest assists.
NBA prop picks made at 9:35 a.m. ET on 04/04/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.