NBA parlay picks Nov. 29: Ride with Pacers, Nets on alt spreads

NBA parlay picks

After a one-day hiatus for U.S. Thanksgiving, the NBA is back in full force with 10 Black Friday games.

The pregame narrative: In my three-leg parlay, I’m backing a favourite, an underdog and an alt over. Look for the Brooklyn Nets to stay competitive and for the Indiana Pacers to snap out of a slump against a familiar foe.

Check out the full NBA parlay picks for Nov. 29.

NBA parlay picks

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Parlay: Nets +7.5 + Celtics/Bulls over 234.5 points + Pacers -3.5 (+258)

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Nets +7.5 (-180): Big ups to Brooklyn for breezing through its recent three-game West Coast road trip. The Nets beat the Kings, Warriors and Suns as 9-point underdogs or larger in each game.

Brooklyn’s ATS record (13-5-1) is the second-best in the NBA, so I’m happy to back this squad with a bunch of extra points on its own court.

In fairness, Orlando has a solid record ATS record as well (12-8). But the Magic have some notable home/road splits:

  • Home: 8-1 ATS, +16.4 net rating, 117.0 offensive rating
  • Road: 4-7 ATS, -3.7 net rating, 105.1 offensive rating

The Nets have covered this number in 14 of 19 games this season. Last year, they beat the Magic in both matchups in Brooklyn.

Other picks

Celtics/Bulls over 234.5 points (-210): The Celtics score because they’re efficient. The Bulls score because they’re fast.

Either way, both teams rank in the top five in points per game, averaging 238.4 points collectively.

Last year, the over went 3-0 in the Celtics/Bulls matchups. And seven of Chicago’s past nine games have cleared this total.

Pacers -3.5 (-182): The Pacers are in a rough spot right now, going 0-5-1 ATS in their past six games. But a matchup against the Detroit Pistons should cure that.

Detroit is on a five-game ATS losing streak, and Indiana has owned this head-to-head matchup in recent meetings.

Since the start of last year, Indiana is 5-0 straight up and ATS against Detroit. The Pacers have won each of those games by at least six points, with an average victory margin of 14 points.

One of these teams will break out of a slump, and I don’t see why it’d be the Pistons.

Picks made at 1:00 p.m. on 11/28/2024.

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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.