Today’s NBA parlay picks include a team total, a game total and a spread.
The pregame narrative: Fading anybody on the road against the Orlando Magic has been a winning recipe, so I’m sticking to that by fading the Detroit Pistons’ team total. Elsewhere, the Houston Rockets should remain dominant at home while there should be ample scoring when the Memphis Grizzlies face the Chicago Bulls.
Check out the full NBA parlay picks for Nov. 23.
NBA parlay picks
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Parlay: Pistons under 100.5 points + Rockets -9.5 + Grizzlies/Bulls over 233.5 points (+250)
Pistons under 100.5 points (-167): No team is defending its home court better than Orlando right now.
The Magic are 7-0 inside Kia Center with league-best marks in:
- Opponent PPG (94.7)
- Opponent FG% (41.6)
- Defensive rating (97.4)
- Net rating (17.4)
Each of the Magic’s past five opponents at home finished below 95 points, and I can’t see the Pistons bucking that trend.
Detroit is 22nd in the NBA in points per game on the road, averaging 109.0. That might make this under look questionable, but opponent and pace of play are paramount.
The Pistons and Magic are both among the seven slowest teams in terms of possessions per game. Orlando is happy to turn this into a slog against a Detroit squad that ranks 20th in offensive efficiency.
Last season, Detroit finished with just 91 points apiece in two road games at Orlando.
Other picks
Rockets -9.5 (-182): Are the Rockets the biggest surprises of the season? At 12-5, they’re at least in the conversation.
- Houston, seeking its first playoff berth since 2020, ranks fifth in the NBA in net rating (+9.7)
- The Rockets rank second in opponent eFG% (49.6) and third in opponent PPG (105.1)
At home, the Rockets are 8-2 this season with an average victory margin of 13.7 points. When they’re on the road to victory, they tend to bury the opposition.
Houston is also 8-2 ATS at home this season and 12-5 ATS overall.
Just last night, the Rockets beat the Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points. In Saturday’s rematch, another double-digit-point win should be in order.
Grizzlies/Bulls over 233.5 points (-239): Overs are 10-7 in Chicago games this year and 11-5 for Memphis. Get these two squads on the same court and watch the points pile up.
Tonight’s showdown is a melding of styles. The Bulls and Grizzlies rank first and third, respectively, in possessions per game, which means both are content to lace up for a track meet.
Last month, the Grizzlies hosted the Bulls at FedExForum and the teams shot a combined 45.5% from the floor. That’s nothing special, but since they played at such a frantic pace, they still combined for 249 points without needing overtime.
This over is 7-2 in Chicago’s past nine games, and seven of those went over this number.
Picks made at 2:00 p.m. on 11/23/2024.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.