Mike Trout headlines my MLB prop bets for Sunday.
Today’s MLB props narrative: Trout is still hammering the ball, but he hasn’t been rewarded as much as expected so far in 2025. He’ll face a struggling pitcher this afternoon and should be able to do damage.
Check out my best MLB prop bets for June 8, which include predictions on Heliot Ramos and Nolan Arenado.
MLB prop bets
Best Bet: Ramos over 0.5 runs (+125)
Ramos isn’t a household name, but he’s working toward that status with his production at the plate.
The 25-year-old was an all-star last season and is well on his way to that status again. He’s posted a .295/.361/.488 slash line for the Giants in 63 games.
After starting the year as primarily a heart-of-the-order hitter, Ramos has worked his way up the lineup. He’s batted in the first or second spot in 15 consecutive games.
Ramos hasn’t put up elite batted-ball numbers, but he’s solid across the board.
According to Baseball Savant, he ranks in the 73rd percentile or better in average exit velocity, barrel rate and expected slugging percentage.
Typically, with Spencer Strider on the other side, it might be difficult to bet on a runs prop like this. But Strider really hasn’t been himself.
His expected ERA (6.41) is among the worst in the majors, and his fastball velocity (95.2 mph) is down three miles an hour from where it was a few seasons ago. That’s what elbow surgery can do to a player.
Strider isn’t as imposing as usual, and Ramos is a rising star for the Giants. I think there’s some value here.
Key stat: Ramos has scored in 15 of his past 25 games, posting a 1.011 OPS in that span.
Best MLB picks
Arenado over 0.5 RBI (+170): Arenado came in clutch for the Cardinals yesterday, delivering a walk-off RBI single in the ninth against the Dodgers.
It hasn’t been a stellar season for him, but the third baseman continues racking up opportunities to make an impact.
Arenado ranks eighth in the majors in plate appearances with runners in scoring position (81). He averages 1.7 PAs with runners on second and/or third per game.
Today, Arenado faces a longtime (and familiar) foe in Clayton Kershaw. The veteran third baseman is 22-for-74 (.297) with a .554 SLG in this head-to-head matchup.
Arenado has cashed this bet in 12 of his past 20 games. If he has another RISP opportunity, I like his chances.
Trout over 1.5 total bases (-115): This isn’t a great price when you look at how Trout has fared. But his batted-ball quality remains elite, and this is a matchup he should be able to take advantage of.
Trout and the Angels will face Seattle’s George Kirby, who is still trying to find his way. Three starts into his 2025 season, Kirby has allowed 13 runs on 21 hits in just 13.2 innings (8.56 ERA).
In the past, Trout has batted 3-for-6 with a home run and two walks against Kirby.
Also, Trout has a .602 xSLG, per Baseball Savant, which far out-paces his actual SLG (.470). He has the ninth-highest slugging discrepancy in the majors.
MLB prop picks made at 9:42 a.m. ET on 06/08/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.