Two hitters and one pitcher make up Saturday’s MLB prop bets.
Today’s MLB props narrative: The Pittsburgh Pirates and Colorado Rockies combined for 33 runs on Friday, but southpaw Austin Gomber should be able to work deep into today’s game. Elsewhere, look for Manny Machado to stay red-hot in a plus matchup.
Check out my favourite MLB prop bets for Saturday, Aug. 2, featuring Luis Robert Jr.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Gomber over 15.5 outs (+116)
On a day with Paul Skenes, Zach Wheeler, Tarik Skubal and Spencer Strider pitching, my favourite pitcher prop is on a guy with a 6.28 ERA throwing at one of the most hitter-friendly venues in baseball.
That’s a tough sell, but I’ll explain why it’s worth a bet.
Yesterday’s game at Coors Field was a barnburner and forced the Rockies to use four relievers in a bulk role, with each throwing two-plus innings.
Gomber should have a long leash tonight, and he’s going up against a Pirates team that really struggles to hit left-handed pitching.
- PIT vs. LHPs this season: 29th in batting average (.218), 30th in wRC+ (70)
- PIT vs. LHPs last 30 days: 28th in batting average (.197), 28th in wRC+ (68)
Pittsburgh did put up 16 runs yesterday, but only three of those came against a lefty — Carson Palmquist — and it was largely because he walked five batters in 2.1 IP.
Gomber, for all of his faults — and there are plenty — keeps the ball in the zone. His 5.6% walk rate ranks in the 89th percentile.
Key stat: Gomber has held this Pirates lineup to a .186 batting average over 51 combined plate appearances. He threw 6.0 shutout innings against them last season.
Best MLB picks
Machado over 1.5 bases (-103): Machado extended his hitting streak to nine games with a single last night. In that span, he’s batting .500 with four doubles and two home runs.
That’s a pretty good place to start, and it gets even better when you look at his matchup.
The San Diego Padres take on Michael McGreevy (4.91 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals for the second time in a week, and Machado feasted in the first meeting, going 3-for-3 with two doubles.
The slugger is batting .319 against RHPs this year.
McGreevy has given up 23 hits in his last three starts (16.1 IP).
Robert to score (+133): Robert has been a wrecking ball since returning from the injured list on July 8, and I want in.
- .352 batting average
- .429 on-base percentage
- 14 runs in 16 games
The outfielder singled and scored last night and now has a run in four straight games.
Tonight, the Chicago White Sox take on Kyle Hendricks and the Los Angeles Angels, and Robert has had the righty’s number.
He’s 5-for-12 against Hendricks with a walk and two home runs.
Hendricks has been hit hard by righties all year (.298/.332/.538 slash line), and he posted a 5.03 ERA in July.
MLB prop picks made at 8:54 a.m. ET on 08/02/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.