Three moneyline favourites make up Saturday’s MLB parlay picks.
The pregame narrative: The Los Angeles Dodgers are looking for win behind Bobby Miller. I’m expecting them to get it done while adding on San Diego Padres moneyline. Lastly, I’m backing the Cleveland Guardians as a small underdog to round out a +430 ticket.
Check out the best MLB parlay picks for Saturday, August 17.
MLB parlay picks
MLB markets: Click Here | MLB stats: Click Here
Parlay: Dodgers moneyline + Padres moneyline + Guardians moneyline (+430)
Dodgers moneyline (-132): Miller hasn’t had the best numbers in his seven outings this season. The righty has a whopping 8.07 ERA and 1.83 WHIP, which includes getting shelled for nine runs against the Philadelphia Phillies in his last start on July 9 before being sent to the minors.
There is a silver lining, however.
In his first start of the season, Miller threw 6.0 scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals. He allowed just three runners and struck out 11 batters.
The 25-year-old proved to be a quality MLB starter in his rookie season, recording an 11-4 record and 3.76 ERA. He missed two months with shoulder inflammation, which could explain why he struggled upon returning in July.
Miller is the reason we’re getting a nice number on the L.A. moneyline and I’m predicting a good matchup here for him to get back on track. After all, St. Louis’ lineup is just 7-for-32 against him (.218) with 13 Ks.
If that doesn’t go to plan, it’s nice to know bettors have the Dodgers’ offence to fall back on.
The lineup has limited at-bats against Cardinals’ starter Andre Pallante but it shouldn’t matter. The righty has a 6.75 ERA over his last three starts at home.
Other parlay picks
Padres moneyline (-200): My parlay picks yesterday fell one short and it was the Padres who let me down. However, today’s matchup is even better.
San Diego sends Dylan Cease to the mound and the ace has had success against this offence in the past. The Rockies’ lineup is 13-for-60 (.217) lifetime against Cease with 21 Ks.
Opposite him starts Kyle Freeland who has had a different outcome against San Diego’s lineup.
The Padres’ bats are 51-for-158 (.323) in their careers against Freeland with only 19 strikeouts. I’m expecting the offence to do some damage.
Although they lost yesterday, the Padres are still 19-4 in their last 23 games and have a distinct advantage on the mound tonight.
Guardians moneyline (+102): To close out this parlay, I’m taking a shot on the Guardians at plus-money.
Cleveland sends Tanner Bibee to the mound and he’s been efficient all season long.
Bibee boasts a 10-4 record and a 3.39 ERA. Over his last four starts, the right-handed hurler has given up four earned runs in 22.2 innings. Two of those starts came against the high-scoring Padres and Twins.
In contrast, Milwaukee Brewers’ starter Freddy Peralta has given up 13 earned runs in 22.1 IP across his last four starts. During those outings, Peralta allowed seven homers.
Before losing last night, Cleveland was on a five-game win streak where the side averaged 4.8 runs per game. I like the pitching matchup for the Guardians here and think it’s worth taking them at the underdog price.
Picks made at 10:01 a.m. on 08/17/24.
Looking to get started? Sign up here.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.