Mets vs. Giants Sunday Night Baseball prop bets: Fade Francisco Lindor and Matt Chapman

Mets vs. Giants prop bets

The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants wrap up their series on Sunday Night Baseball.

The pregame narrative: New York, a winner of six in a row, turns to pitcher Kodai Senga to complete the sweep. San Francisco is having its first planned bullpen game of the year, with rookie righty Carson Seymour expected to have a bulk role.

Check out my Mets vs. Giants prop bets, featuring fades on Francisco Lindor and Matt Chapman.

Mets vs. Giants prop bets

Best Bet: Lindor under 0.5 runs (-137)

New York is finding ways to win ballgames, even with its best players struggling.

Take a look at how Lindor and his teammates have performed since the second half of the season began on July 18:

  • Lindor: .167/.189/.278 splits, 29 wRC+
  • Pete Alsono: .138/.161/.241 splits, 8 wRC+
  • Juan Soto: .138/.286/.276 splits, 61 wRC+
  • Jeff McNeil: .188/.435/.250 splits, 124 wRC+

Lindor is batting second for the Mets tonight, ahead of Soto, Alonso and McNeil.

I’m not particularly confident Lindor can get aboard multiple times, and I struggle to see how that trio is going to drive him home.

The shortstop has a hit in three straight games, but he was hitless in six straight before that.

Key stat: Lindor is batting .216 on the road this year, failing to score in 29 of 50 games.

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Best MLB picks

Chapman under 0.5 hits (+107): Chapman is known to be a streaky hitter, but even at his best, he’s a power-over-average kind of guy.

  • The former Toronto Blue Jay hasn’t batted north of .250 since 2018.
  • Chapman is hitting .241 this year and .230 this month.
  • He particularly struggles against RHPs (.232 BA) and at home (.199 BA).

Chapman has one hit in seven at-bats this series and should have his hands full with Senga, who boasts a diverse and dangerous arsenal.

The Japanese righty has a 1.79 ERA this year while holding right-hitting batters to a paltry .189 batting average.

Mets vs. Giants prop bets made at 11:48 a.m. ET on 07/27/2025.

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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.