The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets have provided baseball fans with an exciting series and it’s coming down to the wire.
The pregame narrative: This three-leg parlay consists of the over on an alternate total, a pitcher prop on Sean Manaea and a player prop on Mookie Betts.
Check out my Mets vs. Dodgers predictions for Game 6 of the NLCS on Oct. 20.
Mets vs. Dodgers SGP predictions
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Parlay: Over 7.5 runs + Manaea under 15.5 outs + Betts over 1.5 total bases (+310)
Over 7.5 runs (-150): I wrote more thoroughly on this leg in my NLCS Game 6 picks, but let me summarize.
Each game in this series has gone over this total with an average of 11.4 runs. That is crazy considering the Mets have been shut out twice.
All that tells me is both of these teams hold enough firepower to have an offensive explosion on any night.
Manaea started Game 2 in a much similar situation against the Dodgers’ bullpen and the game ended with 10 runs.
SGP legs
Manaea under 15.5 outs (-167): This isn’t a shot at Manaea but rather a good spot to fade any starter in a high-pressure game.
Unless the lefty is pitching a perfect game, it’s hard to see him going more than five innings, and with the offence L.A. is producing in this series (7.2 runs per game) – I can picture trouble at some point in the first five innings.
He’s cleared this line once in three postseason starts despite having a 2.65 ERA. Not a single Mets pitcher has cleared this line through five games of this series.
Betts over 1.5 total bases (+115): This leg drives up the value.
Betts has been on a tear in the playoffs. He’s batting .300 with 12 hits – seven went for extra bases (four HRs, three doubles).
The slugger has cleared this line in five of his last eight games and has six hits in his last 10 at-bats.
Adding a plus-money play into an SGP isn’t usually my forte but I opted to here because of how effective Betts is right now.
He has a .294 average and is slugging .735 in 34 career at-bats against Manaea.
Picks made at 8:25 a.m. on 10/20/24.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.