The top of the Masters odds board is stacked with big names, but there are plenty of viable long shots in play.
The latest: Former champion Patrick Reed is in form and has my attention. I’m also backing Daniel Berger and have a bet on a player who carries 250-to-1 odds.
Check out my Masters long shot picks for the major championship beginning on April 10.
Masters long shot picks
Best bet: Reed to win (+6,600)
I don’t think anyone wants to see Reed win the Masters, but that doesn’t mean he can’t do it.
The 2018 champion is coming off a solid T7 at LIV Miami at a tough Trump National Doral course and finished second on an Asian Tour event before that.
He’s still one of the game’s top putters and has an immaculate track record at Augusta. Check out what Reed has done since his win:
- Six straight made cuts
- Three top 10s
- T4 in 2023
He finished T12 last year while ranking sixth in strokes gained: putting and third in SG: around-the-green, per DataGolf.
If the irons were cooperating (he ranked 50th in SG: approach), he would’ve been right in the mix.
Key stat: Reed is gaining an average of 1.67 strokes per round at Augusta, the 14th most of anyone in this field with more than one start.
Quick picks
Berger to win (+12,500): I’ve been banging the Berger drum all year, so why stop now? The Floridian was once a top 10 player in the world and is slowly making his way back after missing 18 months with a back injury.
He’s made six straight cuts heading into the Masters, posting positive SG: PUTT and APP in all of them.
During that run, he has a runner-up at the WM Phoenix Open and two top 15s at signature events. Berger’s game fits this course, and I expect him to turn up.
Tom Hoge to win (+25,000): Will Hoge win this week? Probably not. But I can’t make sense of his 250-to-1 odds.
He’s coming off back-to-back top-five finishes, one of which was a T3 at the Players Championship.
Hoge is an elite ball striker who is rolling the rock well. He doesn’t have a great history at majors and is making just his third Masters start, but you could do much worse at this number.
When I’m making my best prop picks later this week, you can believe I’ll have Hoge in some capacity.
Masters long shot picks made at 9:23 a.m. on 04/08/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.