The New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners close the book on their season series on Thursday night at Yankee Stadium.
The pregame narrative: New York is 4-1 with a +16 run differential against Seattle this season, including a pair of comfortable wins the past two nights. Seattle should have the pitching advantage tonight, though, with Bryan Woo facing Marcus Stroman.
Check out my Mariners vs. Yankees prop bets for July 10, featuring Woo, Jasson Dominguez and Cal Raleigh.
Mariners vs. Yankees prop bets
Best Bet: Dominguez over 0.5 runs (-118)
After spending much of the season in the heart of the Yankees’ batting order, Dominguez has recently risen to the leadoff spot.
That’s exactly where you want to be for a runs prop — especially with how hot New York’s lineup is.
Over the past two weeks, the Yankees rank second in wRC+ (138) and slugging percentage (.504). They’ve also scored 6.2 runs per game in that span.
Dominguez has contributed plenty to the recent offensive surge. In his past 13 games (12 starts), the rookie-eligible outfielder has scored nine runs while posting a 1.041 OPS.
Getting on base is one thing, but Dominguez has a stellar cast behind him that can bring him around.
New York’s Nos. 2, 3 and 5 hitters — Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. — all rank in the top 20 in wRC+ over the past two weeks.
Although Dominguez is a switch-hitter, he fares much better from the left side. He’s got a .285/.361/.500 slash line against right-handed pitchers this year.
Key Stat: Dominguez has spent three of the past four games in the leadoff spot, and he’s scored four runs in those games.
Best MLB picks
Woo over 5.5 Ks (-150): There’s a lot of juice on this prop, which is the reason it hasn’t risen to best bet territory.
But I do expect Woo to cover the line based on his recent strikeout success and his consistently robust workload.
- Woo has 6+ Ks in 5 of 6 starts since the beginning of June. He’s averaging 6.8 Ks per game in that span.
- On the season, Woo is 11-6 vs. this line.
- Woo has completed 6.0 innings or more in all 17 outings this season.
Over the past 30 days, the Yankees have the ninth-highest K rate in the majors (23.1%). And Woo has a 29.2 K% against New York’s active lineup (14 Ks in 48 plate appearances).
Raleigh under 0.5 runs (+115): Raleigh has been an exceptionally tough player to fade this season, but I want to give it a go tonight.
The switch-hitting catcher has finally found himself in a mini-slump, batting .159 over his past 13 games. Also, he’s 0-for-7 with four Ks vs. Stroman.
After a few rough outings to begin the season, Stroman hit the injured list. His results have been better in two starts since his return:
- June 29: 5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 R
- July 4: 5.0 IP, 7 H, 3 R
Raleigh likely won’t stay down for long, but this plus-money price has piqued my interest.
Mariners vs. Yankees prop bets made at 12:22 p.m. ET on 07/10/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.