The undefeated Winnipeg Jets welcome the Toronto Maple Leafs into town on Monday night.
The pregame narrative: Winnipeg is 8-0-0 largely thanks to the stellar play of Connor Hellebuyck. Toronto, meanwhile, has lost three straight with three different goalies. I’m taking the under on an alternate game total but do expect Mitch Marner and Kyle Connor to contribute.
Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Jets same-game parlay predictions for Oct. 28.
Maple Leafs vs. Jets predictions
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Parlay: Under 7.5 goals + Marner over 0.5 points + Scheifele over 0.5 points (+225)
Over 7.5 goals (-345): Hellebuyck won the Vezina Trophy last year and would be right in the mix if the season ended today.
Sure, we’re only a few weeks in, but the American is sporting a 1.66 GAA and .940 SV% through six starts (both second among NHL goalies). Hellebuyck also ranks eighth in Money Puck’s goals saved above expected (4.5).
Two spots above him on that list is Anthony Stolarz (5.0 goals saved above expected), who has made a strong first impression with the Maple Leafs’ faithful.
The 30-year-old netminder owns a 2.19 GAA and .927 SV%, and five of his seven starts have fallen under this total.
With two hot goalies playing I can’t see this turning into a track meet.
SGP legs
Marner over 0.5 points (-265): A seven-goal cushion gives us enough leeway to back two players finding the stat sheet, and Marner is an obvious choice for the Leafs.
He was involved in each of Toronto’s three goals on Saturday and is up to 10 points on the season while playing north of 20 minutes a night.
Marner hasn’t quite caught fire yet, but he’s riding shotgun with Auston Matthews and is on the team’s top power play unit. That means he should have plenty of opportunities to produce.
Connor over 0.5 points (-225): Connor also sits at 10 points and has found the stat sheet in every game so far.
The sharpshooter skates on Line 1 alongside an elite playmaker (Mark Scheifele) and is Winnipeg’s top power play option.
Connor leads all Jets in shots (29) and chances (55), according to Natural Stat Trick.
NHL picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 10/28/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.