The Portland Trail Blazers host the Orlando Magic for Thursday’s NBA nightcap.
The pregame narrative: Orlando is struggling and Portland is surging. This +270 SGP features the Trail Blazers to cover an alternate spread at home, alongside prop bets on Deni Avdija and Franz Wagner.
Check out my Magic vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 30.
Magic vs. Trail Blazers predictions
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Parlay: Trail Blazers +10.5 + Avdija over 16.5 points + Wagner over 1.5 threes (+280)
Trail Blazers +10.5 (-335): Portland has won five of its last six games — including a 101-79 drumming of the Magic in Orlando on Jan. 23 — so banking 10.5 points seems safe.
The Blazers have been a solid ATS this season with a 12-8-0 record as a home underdog. In those games, they own a -6.6 average margin of victory, which is comfortably inside this number.
Orlando, meanwhile, has hit the ditch even with its stars back in the lineup.
The Magic have lost eight of their last 10 and have failed to win by 10-plus points in 27 straight games. They also are 9-15-0 ATS on the road.
Other SGP legs
Avdija over 16.5 points (-132): Maybe Avdija is having a moment, or maybe it’s the start of something greater — either way, the fifth-year forward is on a tear.
Check out his numbers since being re-inserted into the starting lineup on Dec. 28:
- 18.9 PPG
- 50.5 FG%
- 17+ points in 9/14 games
The 2020 No. 9 overall pick never got rolling with the Washington Wizards but has been an impact player in his first year with the Blazers.
Avdija is coming off two huge games, scoring 28 and 30 points, respectively, against the Oklahoma City Thunder and Milwaukee Bucks.
I’ll back him to stay hot.
Wagner over 1.5 threes (-139): I spoke about this in today’s top NBA prop bets and will double-dip in this SGP.
Wagner makes his fourth start since returning from an oblique injury and doesn’t appear to be on a minutes restriction.
He’s played 30 and 40 minutes in his last two games and has cleared this line twice:
- Jan. 27 vs. Miami: 2-for-10 from deep
- Jan. 25 vs. Detroit: 4-for-8 from deep
I love this play from a volume standpoint alone but it’s still nice to know Portland has the sixth-worst 3-point defence (37.2%) in the NBA.
Picks made at 9:49 a.m. on 01/30/25.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.