The Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys meet in Arlington for America’s Game of the Week.
The pregame narrative: Detroit is coming off a bye week against a banged-up Dallas defence. I’m taking the Lions to win alongside player props on Jahmyr Gibbs and CeeDee Lamb.
Check out my Lions vs. Cowboys same-game parlay predictions for Week 6 below.
Lions vs. Cowboys same-game parlay predictions
Full NFL Week 6 betting markets: Click here
Parlay: Lions moneyline + Gibbs over 57.5 rushing yards + Lamb over 83.5 receiving yards (+360)
Lions moneyline (-165): The last time we saw the Lions they put up 42 points on the Seattle Seahawks in prime time.
With a week off, I expect them to bully a depleted Cowboys defence.
Dallas escaped its Week 5 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers with a win but it wasn’t pretty. The Cowboys needed a last-second, go-ahead touchdown and scored just 20 points while turning the ball over three times.
But this isn’t about Dallas’ offence.
Micah Parsons and Demarcus Lawrence leave a huge gap on the defensive line. Detroit is one of the league’s best teams at running the ball — more on that later — and has dynamite receiving threats to exploit play actions.
The Lions’ only loss was a game where it outgained the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 237 yards. I think they’re the class of the NFC and should cruise to a road victory.
Other parlay picks
Gibbs over 57.5 rushing yards (-114): Gibbs is in a true timeshare with fellow tailback David Montgomery but I think they can both smash their respective lines.
Dallas ranks dead last in defensive EPA per rush (+0.103), per RBSDM.com, and has allowed an average of 232 rushing yards in its two home games.
Gibbs has gone well over this line in three straight games, logging 84, 83 and 78 yards at an impressive 5.7 yards per attempt.
Lamb over 83.5 receiving yards (-115): The Lions’ rush defence is elite and the Cowboys’ rushing attack is non-existent. That means Lamb should be fed early and often, especially if Dallas is chasing as I suspect.
Lamb went under this number against the Steelers as Jalen Tolbert became the unlikely hero, but I can’t see that happening again.
Last year, Lamb led the league in targets (181) and receptions (135) and was second to only Tyreek Hill in receiving yards (1,749).
Just over 10% of that production came in Dallas’ Week 17 matchup against the Lions when Lamb racked up 13 catches for 227 yards and a score.
Picks made at 11:45 a.m. on 10/11/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.