The Phoenix Suns and Los Angeles Lakers meet for the second time in four days.
The pregame narrative: The Lakers are 3-0 with a win over the Suns in Los Angeles on Friday. I expect Phoenix to return the favour on its home court and have prop bets on Austin Reaves and Kevin Durant to round out this +310 SGP.
Check out my Lakers vs. Suns same-game parlay predictions for Oct. 28.
Lakers vs. Suns predictions
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Parlay: Suns +3.5 + Reaves over 24.5 PRA + Durant over 24.5 points (+310)
Suns +3.5 (-315): I think Phoenix wins tonight but will bank a few points just to be safe.
Each of Los Angeles’ three wins came within the friendly confines of Crypto.com Arena. The Lakers went 20-24 on the road last season (regular season and playoffs included) and have lost six of their last seven games at Footprint Center.
LeBron James is still elite and Anthony Davis is playing out of his mind, but L.A. has gotten a tad lucky.
The Lakers shot 20 more free throws than the Suns on Friday and Davis, specifically, is attempting 15.0 free throws per game after averaging 6.9 last season. He is due for some regression and Phoenix should get a better whistle at home.
The Suns just handed the reigning Western Conference champion Dallas Mavericks a 12-point defeat and I think they keep the good times rolling tonight.
SGP legs
Reaves over 24.5 PRA (-136): Reaves is any coach’s dream player. He’s efficient from the field, plays solid defence, and can stuff the stat sheet in more ways than one.
The fourth-year shooting guard has cleared this line in every game and is averaging 30.7 PRA so far. His best outing was a 25-4-8 performance against the Suns on Friday.
Reaves is averaging 12.7 field goal attempts per game and that volume is what I’m looking for.
Phoenix also gave up the seventh-most rebounds and ninth-most assists to shooting guards last season, according to Fantasy Pros.
Durant over 24.5 points (-143): LeBron gets a ton of deserved respect for performing in the later years of his career but Durant is just as machine-like.
The four-time scoring champion hasn’t averaged fewer than 25.0 points per game since his rookie season and has put up north of 27.0 PPG in both of his full seasons with Phoenix.
He’s cleared this line in each game so far and is coming off back-to-back performances of 30-plus points, shooting 11-of-17 against the Lakers last Friday.
KD averaged 28.0 PPG at home last season and cleared this mark in 26 of 36 games played at Footprint Center (72.2%).
Picks made at 1:54 p.m. on 10/28/24.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.